Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Motherwell FC win on 2025-12-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21d145ea9a3b34262ffcd3797947ef24ee23bf0f73aa1be56f0238ec95758146
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,011
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,385
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,011 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Yes | 22c | 18,179$3,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,998.54 | 92 | 27.2%25 W · 67 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 78c | 7,664$5,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,677.48 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 78c | 6,088$4,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,339.4 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 78c | 2,400$1,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 79c | 828.54$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.55 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked No | 78c | 689$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.58 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 19c | 621.58$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.49 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed No | 78c | 548.72$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.72 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 78c | 240.9$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed Yes | 21c | 140.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed Yes | 20c | 137$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Yes | 20c | 135$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 21c | 127$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.67 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…0d78backed Yes | 19c | 80$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b33…8c31backed No | 78c | 77.91$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Yes | 19c | 65.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 19c | 59.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 144 | 35.4%51 W · 93 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 21c | 59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0e…12bdbacked No | 78c | 57.95$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed No | 78c | 53.28$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.72 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd35…ecebbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0501…61ecbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed No | 78c | 32.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…b60cbacked No | 78c | 32.01$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf470…67fdbacked No | 78c | 27.42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 79c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 151 | 62.3%94 W · 57 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 79c | 15.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.32 | 137 | 70.8%97 W · 40 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 76cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77ed…53f7backed No | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Motherwell FC win on 2025-12-27?this page
- Will Rangers FC vs. Motherwell FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Rangers FC win on 2025-12-27?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.