La Liga · resolved market
Will Burgos CF win on 2026-02-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe1d39e0b160b3b54f3860f9fb1b86c76c21edcdfc5818db54f5afc6364f8fd0d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,958
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,085
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,958 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 15c | 4,679$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.27 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e36…6ce1backed No | 55c | 941.82$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.82 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 61cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 45c | 748.37$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.92 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Yes | 28c | 628.43$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.19 | 208 | 43.3%90 W · 118 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 73c | 488.96$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.32 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 45c | 481.97$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.89 | 494 | 47%232 W · 262 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 73c | 348.57$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.3 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 73c | 322.05$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.59 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa566…72debacked Yes | 63c | 242.74$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 140 | 23.6%33 W · 107 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 79c | 114.18$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 160 | 40%64 W · 96 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 50c | 103.19$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.23 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 73c | 86.49$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.09 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed No | 76c | 65.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.78 | 117 | 40.2%47 W · 70 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 46c | 63.28$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.11 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…1e2fbacked No | 56c | 61$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.84 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0501…61ecbacked Yes | 33c | 50.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 50c | 48.16$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.14 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 76c | 41.98$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.98 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5700…a854backed Yes | 47c | 40.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…51b7backed No | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 216 | 48.6%105 W · 111 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6350…ae47backed No | 57c | 25.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24a4…d49ebacked Yes | 45c | 25.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c2…3cc1backed No | 56c | 25.13$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1f…2130backed Yes | 45c | 25.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed No | 55c | 24.55$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Yes | 44c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 54c | 23.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 319 | 52.4%167 W · 152 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Burgos CF win on 2026-02-14?this page
- Will Burgos CF vs. Cádiz CF end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Cádiz CF win on 2026-02-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.