South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-02-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa03a496d8392f17ab372b5574fd9f204d468e7e95db60a5d86b323e0ca60775
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,362
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,232
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,362 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed No | 69c | 5,936$4,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840.31 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 31c | 5,912$1,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,814.02 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 25c | 2,054$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.88 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 69c | 642.71$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.47 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 70c | 568.42$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.86 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed No | 69c | 343$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.33 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…37f8backed Yes | 31c | 323$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.13 | 86 | 24.4%21 W · 65 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed No | 69c | 145.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.05 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 31c | 106.11$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.64 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97f6…66e2backed No | 69c | 104.68$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.45 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked No | 69c | 80$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 218 | 37.6%82 W · 136 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Yes | 30c | 71$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…0859backed No | 70c | 67.2$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe82…7056backed No | 69c | 59.71$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.51 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…fe0abacked No | 70c | 52.93$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.88 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 69c | 48.39$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ec…aeaabacked Yes | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -39%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7126…ccdbbacked No | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed No | 69c | 41.5$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x870f…08ebbacked No | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12e3…a336backed No | 70c | 36.6$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd7…4863backed No | 70c | 36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a48…db20backed Yes | 30c | 34.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab2c…7e7cbacked No | 70c | 30.64$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc98a…edacbacked No | 70c | 30.64$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa15…95e3backed No | 70c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8076…2f96backed No | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77ed…6102backed No | 70c | 28.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11de…4e67backed No | 69c | 26.45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…08d3backed No | 70c | 23.17$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b2…fba9backed No | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e85…443ebacked No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9acf…bd74backed No | 70c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74ea…15b7backed No | 70c | 16.74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-02-01?this page
- Will CA Barracas Central vs. CD Riestra end in a draw?Yes won
- Will CD Riestra win on 2026-02-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.