South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CD Riestra win on 2026-02-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x36ee7e1a2be91385768485ba6899fe989ba4c2a4870866cd11cf3f8fbd8d91c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,486
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,481
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,486 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 25c | 2,124$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,584.56 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed No | 45c | 2,077$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.04 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 28c | 1,901$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.93 | 181 | 29.8%54 W · 127 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Yes | 32c | 1,457$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.17 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 68c | 1,221$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.32 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 70c | 1,058$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.8 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 72c | 870.28$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.34 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 33c | 867.87$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.84 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 63c | 790.14$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.11 | 187 | 42.2%79 W · 108 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 76c | 500.54$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.26 | 274 | 42%115 W · 159 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 22c | 463$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.14 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed No | 67c | 450.75$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.75 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 67c | 430.3$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed No | 27c | 399$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.65 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed No | 26c | 342.52$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.25 | 95 | 22.1%21 W · 74 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 33c | 240$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 250 | 21.6%54 W · 196 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…a3a6backed Yes | 33c | 212$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.96 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 27c | 200$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97f6…66e2backed Yes | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Yes | 32c | 166.75$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.36 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8076…2f96backed Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Yes | 33c | 119.76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.52 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…50c9backed Yes | 40c | 110$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Yes | 32c | 106.5$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.08 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 218 | 37.6%82 W · 136 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 28c | 84$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.77 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | +10.5wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7f86…8ad6backed Yes | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.89 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -9.0wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x77ed…6102backed Yes | 33c | 46.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 67c | 44.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.98 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe82…7056backed Yes | 32c | 40.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3da…566cbacked Yes | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd26c…fc57backed No | 67c | 39$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedc2…e450backed No | 67c | 39$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62e6…f251backed No | 67c | 39$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x663b…e26cbacked No | 67c | 39$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 68c | 34.88$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd1…0100backed No | 67c | 31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x646c…3210backed Yes | 76c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…9b15backed No | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed No | 68c | 20.34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 78c | 18.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 74c | 13.68$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 293 | 62.5%183 W · 110 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Riestra win on 2026-02-01?this page
- Will CA Barracas Central vs. CD Riestra end in a draw?Yes won
- Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-02-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.