CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Legacy (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b230562d55f584d63d773bf0ee3712a0996d72ed6ad83fcec3ba0866ada7238
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Legacyof MIBR, Legacy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,921
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,273
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,921 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbec7…5977backed Legacy | 75c | 16,163$12,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,041.19 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe8…3549backed Legacy | 70c | 13,481$9,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,015.2 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5836…4d03backed Legacy | 72c | 6,498$4,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,820.13 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed MIBR | 27c | 6,090$1,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,644.3 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed MIBR | 28c | 4,857$1,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,347.16 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed MIBR | 29c | 4,400$1,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,293 | 166 | 53%88 W · 78 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked MIBR | 29c | 3,155$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.95 | 205 | 39.5%81 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed MIBR | 29c | 2,864$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.12 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…62bdbacked Legacy | 72c | 2,200$1,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.99 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Legacy | 72c | 2,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed MIBR | 1c | 1,995$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.73 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed MIBR | 9c | 1,762$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.61 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked MIBR | 25c | 1,588$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.81 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed MIBR | 27c | 1,569$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.5 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed MIBR | 30c | 1,524$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.19 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9777…6b53backed MIBR | 19c | 1,508$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.12 | 197 | 32.5%64 W · 133 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed MIBR | 28c | 1,500$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Legacy | 80c | 1,495$1,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.18 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Legacy | 76c | 1,427$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.28 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed MIBR | 28c | 1,400$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked MIBR | 29c | 1,344$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.53 | 298 | 55%164 W · 134 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed MIBR | 26c | 1,200$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.5 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed MIBR | 30c | 1,100$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf155…76bdbacked Legacy | 73c | 1,083$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed MIBR | 27c | 965.81$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.27 | 447 | 43.8%196 W · 251 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed MIBR | 28c | 892.86$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 209 | 46.9%98 W · 111 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed MIBR | 30c | 888.88$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.16 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed MIBR | 28c | 875.94$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.26 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked Legacy | 69c | 800$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248 | 341 | 47.5%162 W · 179 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked MIBR | 28c | 642.86$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 526 | 36.5%192 W · 334 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed MIBR | 31c | 603.38$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.27 | 156 | 55.8%87 W · 69 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f4…88e6backed MIBR | 20c | 495.2$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 120 | 27.5%33 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x260c…7130backed MIBR | 35c | 480$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed MIBR | 28c | 407.14$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 178 | 47.2%84 W · 94 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…df59backed MIBR | 28c | 358.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.28 | 154 | 42.2%65 W · 89 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed MIBR | 28c | 335.01$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 242 | 33.9%82 W · 160 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed MIBR | 27c | 291.78$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.78 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabfe…70d3backed MIBR | 35c | 285.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd56c…1cf9backed MIBR | 29c | 280$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.2 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd084…27eabacked MIBR | 27c | 274.05$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.99 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a94…5e99backed MIBR | 27c | 270.27$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.97 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1939…22e8backed MIBR | 28c | 201.3$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.36 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked MIBR | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed MIBR | 24c | 199.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.95 | 540 | 32.4%175 W · 365 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd572…5510backed MIBR | 27c | 181.48$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1d…95debacked MIBR | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed MIBR | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 503 | 40.2%202 W · 301 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd13e…ca33backed MIBR | 30c | 169.96$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.99 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked MIBR | 27c | 150$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 436 | 40.6%177 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed MIBR | 22c | 150$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked MIBR | 29c | 149.59$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.99 | 176 | 33%58 W · 118 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8df0…96a6backed Legacy | 69c | 148.82$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.13 | 92 | 64.1%59 W · 33 L | +10.0wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked MIBR | 8c | 136.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e2…d949backed Legacy | 74c | 134.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.57 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x677f…1228backed MIBR | 27c | 117.03$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 137 | 40.9%56 W · 81 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed MIBR | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed MIBR | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5206…0f4cbacked MIBR | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 265 | 35.5%94 W · 171 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed MIBR | 30c | 86.22$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.53 | 317 | 35.6%113 W · 204 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d6…532cbacked MIBR | 27c | 81$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.87 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +4.6wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0486…fbc2backed Legacy | 73c | 78.63$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.23 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…2b0cbacked MIBR | 28c | 75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed MIBR | 27c | 74.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 293 | 50.2%147 W · 146 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b2…fba9backed MIBR | 27c | 72.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1974…bc18backed MIBR | 28c | 69.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe3…d075backed MIBR | 29c | 69.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Legacy | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a58…149dbacked MIBR | 28c | 67.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 76 | 25%19 W · 57 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed MIBR | 28c | 67.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 198 | 43.9%87 W · 111 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed MIBR | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4499…d102backed MIBR | 39c | 65.62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Legacy | 71c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 139 | 37.4%52 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…91acbacked Legacy | 72c | 55.65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.65 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed MIBR | 28c | 42.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 285 | 49.5%141 W · 144 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…1591backed MIBR | 27c | 40.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x558c…ca77backed Legacy | 79c | 38.68$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.18 | 182 | 65.9%120 W · 62 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Legacy | 72c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ad…44febacked Legacy | 71c | 19.87$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c46…6a2abacked Legacy | 70c | 16.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Legacy (BO3)this page
- Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Legacy - Map 1 WinnerLegacy won
- Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Legacy - Map 2 WinnerLegacy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.