Europa Conference League · resolved market
SC Braga vs. FK Austria Wien: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb08335375f7beb71a5763fb2a913b148737d50c562c3870c7f9d9c1af41d6c96
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,880
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,065
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,880 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 52c | 8,246$4,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,257.48 | 785 | 44.8%352 W · 433 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed Over | 37c | 8,183$2,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,186.64 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 47c | 5,427$2,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,890.87 | 2,478 | 33.9%840 W · 1,638 L | -95.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…4c80backed Under | 20c | 5,000$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.56 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd2…afcebacked Under | 56c | 3,575$1,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,985.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 3,555$1,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,854.12 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Under | 1c | 3,251$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.51 | 93 | 20.4%19 W · 74 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 65c | 2,793$1,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,826.52 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 66c | 2,125$1,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,408.66 | 2,344 | 41.6%976 W · 1,368 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 48c | 1,733$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.24 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 60c | 1,565$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.36 | 1,611 | 38.8%625 W · 986 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad31…c93abacked Over | 29c | 1,409$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.97 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 71c | 862.32$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.59 | 1,037 | 46.1%478 W · 559 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 27c | 626.15$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.54 | 797 | 32.2%257 W · 540 L | -16.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Under | 33c | 460.72$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.28 | 167 | 46.7%78 W · 89 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29d2…7babbacked Over | 23c | 399.98$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.98 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 23c | 374$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.68 | 453 | 48.3%219 W · 234 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…0e48backed Over | 46c | 281.96$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.63 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8366…54ffbacked Under | 54c | 276.53$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.14 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…c32abacked Over | 55c | 271.53$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.53 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 60c | 222.65$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.59 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 36c | 217.24$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.89 | 978 | 46.2%452 W · 526 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Under | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3824…e756backed Under | 58c | 169.02$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.03 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a6…ef29backed Under | 19c | 139.28$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -47%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 52c | 129.52$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.22 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 49c | 108.97$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.89 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 80c | 108.23$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.74 | 451 | 35.9%162 W · 289 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 51c | 102.04$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.04 | 706 | 39.5%279 W · 427 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Under | 30c | 102$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 278 | 46.4%129 W · 149 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Over | 51c | 96.41$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.24 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Over | 27c | 87$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.51 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 52c | 76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.76 | 134 | 67.9%91 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b2…fba9backed Under | 21c | 72.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07e8…faaebacked Over | 55c | 70.05$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.52 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Under | 23c | 70$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 31c | 60.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 334 | 46.7%156 W · 178 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed Under | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 42 | 78.6%33 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 75cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabd9…dc3abacked Under | 54c | 55.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8227…f436backed Over | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50e…45c5backed Under | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed Under | 46c | 45.04$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 65c | 44.69$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.83 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Over | 61c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 63c | 39.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 2,175 | 37.6%817 W · 1,358 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x862f…200bbacked Over | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 78cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 34c | 37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 239 | 50.2%120 W · 119 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under | 72c | 37$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 55c | 35.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 294 | 70.1%206 W · 88 L | +21.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 59c | 34.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 639 | 57.1%365 W · 274 L | +35.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 48c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.54 | 390 | 52.6%205 W · 185 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Under | 66c | 30.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.11 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d2…c938backed Over | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +4.0wins | +0.20per pick | 65cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8084…abe8backed Over | 78c | 28.21$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 78cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 60c | 26.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 155 | 62.6%97 W · 58 L | +22.9wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked Under | 63c | 20.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +148.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SC Braga vs. FK Austria Wien: O/U 1.5this page
- SC Braga vs. FK Austria Wien: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- SC Braga vs. FK Austria Wien: FK Austria Wien O/U 0.5Under won
- SC Braga vs. FK Austria Wien: FK Austria Wien O/U 2.5Under won
- SC Braga vs. FK Austria Wien: O/U 2.5Under won
- SC Braga vs. FK Austria Wien: O/U 3.5Under won
- SC Braga vs. FK Austria Wien: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: SC Braga (-1.5)SC Braga won
- Spread: SC Braga (-2.5)FK Austria Wien won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.