Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Kansas Jayhawks (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4be5f8175ce7f1e12e701d79136ac8c4b76e4375713e2e011e193641de00f66
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kansas Jayhawksof Kansas Jayhawks, BYU Cougars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,290
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,472
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,290 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked BYU Cougars | 53c | 3,192$1,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,707 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed BYU Cougars | 56c | 2,300$1,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Kansas Jayhawks | 45c | 1,856$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.08 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Kansas Jayhawks | 47c | 1,516$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.95 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kansas Jayhawks | 45c | 1,491$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.28 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d0f…f3e6backed BYU Cougars | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Kansas Jayhawks | 44c | 800$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Kansas Jayhawks | 47c | 403$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.59 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c4…bb5dbacked BYU Cougars | 60c | 348.03$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.82 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kansas Jayhawks | 45c | 296.95$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.19 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Kansas Jayhawks | 40c | 212.83$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.7 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb6…25eabacked Kansas Jayhawks | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 226 | 40.7%92 W · 134 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed BYU Cougars | 46c | 199$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.54 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Kansas Jayhawks | 47c | 171.68$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.99 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Kansas Jayhawks | 47c | 166.14$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.05 | 252 | 39.3%99 W · 153 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed BYU Cougars | 55c | 160.06$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.57 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Kansas Jayhawks | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.43 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef0…7adebacked BYU Cougars | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed BYU Cougars | 58c | 87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.46 | 415 | 54.2%225 W · 190 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Kansas Jayhawks | 42c | 87$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.46 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked BYU Cougars | 57c | 83.16$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Kansas Jayhawks | 41c | 64.33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.92 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Kansas Jayhawks | 41c | 37.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.96 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe09c…f300backed Kansas Jayhawks | 47c | 33.72$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.87 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaa…3ea5backed BYU Cougars | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Kansas Jayhawks | 47c | 26.69$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.15 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Kansas Jayhawks (-4.5)this page
- BYU Cougars vs. Kansas JayhawksKansas Jayhawks won
- BYU Cougars vs. Kansas Jayhawks: O/U 157.5Over won
- BYU Cougars vs. Kansas Jayhawks: O/U 158.5Over won
- BYU Cougars vs. Kansas Jayhawks: O/U 159.5Over won
- Spread: Kansas Jayhawks (-3.5)Kansas Jayhawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.