Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Florida Gators (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x841ca8b96262d042ca9795bfaa680713eaaa2031944718a82ef0adce68d9500f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Florida Gatorsof Florida Gators, Alabama Crimson Tide
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,179
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,419
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,179 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf1f4…544cbacked Florida Gators | 58c | 60,687$34,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,720.5 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 43c | 39,500$16,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,949.99 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 41c | 10,378$4,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,243.7 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 49c | 4,577$2,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,236.92 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 42c | 2,610$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.2 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…e6e2backed Florida Gators | 56c | 1,788$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.23 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.01 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d0f…f3e6backed Florida Gators | 58c | 1,500$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.98 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 42c | 1,429$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 42c | 1,165$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.54 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 40c | 973$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.65 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa63c…27a4backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 46c | 640$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.4 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 42c | 353$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.26 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 43c | 258.54$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.17 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 41c | 243.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.97 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 42c | 212.84$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.39 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 43c | 206.06$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.61 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Florida Gators | 51c | 151$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.99 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Florida Gators | 57c | 141.15$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.15 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70b2…1950backed Florida Gators | 59c | 122.29$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.29 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Florida Gators | 54c | 120$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 315 | 37.8%119 W · 196 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 43c | 116.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 41c | 107.29$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.99 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 42c | 85.71$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 213 | 42.3%90 W · 123 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Florida Gators | 58c | 71.43$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 429 | 34.3%147 W · 282 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 42c | 70.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 196 | 53.1%104 W · 92 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4855…6a41backed Florida Gators | 56c | 68.21$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.21 | 326 | 52.8%172 W · 154 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Florida Gators | 58c | 65.64$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.25 | 349 | 52.1%182 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Florida Gators | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 237 | 54.4%129 W · 108 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Florida Gators (-7.5)this page
- Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Florida GatorsFlorida Gators won
- Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Florida Gators: O/U 174.5Over won
- Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Florida Gators: O/U 175.5Over won
- Spread: Florida Gators (-8.5)Florida Gators won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.