Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Florida Gators
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a147c12f40db3d41d97990cef68285595f25a67fda27987837d758c59ed1301
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Florida Gatorsof Alabama Crimson Tide, Florida Gators
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,586
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,404
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,586 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 23c | 2,765$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.95 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Florida Gators | 78c | 2,160$1,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.14 | 415 | 54.2%225 W · 190 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Florida Gators | 77c | 2,019$1,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.56 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 10c | 1,816$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.62 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Florida Gators | 77c | 1,717$1,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.42 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 11c | 1,655$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.37 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Florida Gators | 77c | 1,332$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.36 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 22c | 1,044$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.83 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 22c | 999.99$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 226 | 45.6%103 W · 123 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 27c | 972.9$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.27 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x987e…fe89backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 12c | 933.33$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f43…c0c2backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 27c | 794.24$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Florida Gators | 80c | 722.34$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.63 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf83d…367dbacked Florida Gators | 78c | 710.48$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.01 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Florida Gators | 75c | 696.16$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.04 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 23c | 652.06$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.2 | 77 | 27.3%21 W · 56 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 22c | 539$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.27 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 22c | 499.98$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.99 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 24c | 495.83$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 143 | 25.9%37 W · 106 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 22c | 386$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.92 | 371 | 42.6%158 W · 213 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Florida Gators | 73c | 357.19$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.16 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c0…69d0backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 22c | 327.27$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 21c | 315$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.15 | 397 | 44.8%178 W · 219 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 21c | 302.68$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.41 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8126…9d18backed Florida Gators | 79c | 300$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 18c | 283.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.17 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x926c…a86bbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 23c | 260.87$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 114 | 39.5%45 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ed…86ddbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 29c | 162.07$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 22c | 149.45$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.88 | 230 | 28.3%65 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Florida Gators | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c34…c8b8backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 29c | 122.73$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 143 | 39.9%57 W · 86 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd120…19fcbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 19c | 103.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -6.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5f…56a0backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 23c | 87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 254 | 36.6%93 W · 161 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…b00bbacked Florida Gators | 78c | 76.92$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6d…2a5bbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd537…4bfabacked Florida Gators | 74c | 67.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.44 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 20c | 55.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…d1e7backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 24c | 45.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 182 | 30.8%56 W · 126 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd85d…01c1backed Florida Gators | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…57f1backed Florida Gators | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0b…0874backed Florida Gators | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Florida Gators | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.65 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Florida Gators | 71c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Florida Gators | 79c | 20.37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.28 | 273 | 58.6%160 W · 113 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Florida Gatorsthis page
- Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Florida Gators: O/U 174.5Over won
- Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Florida Gators: O/U 175.5Over won
- Spread: Florida Gators (-7.5)Florida Gators won
- Spread: Florida Gators (-8.5)Florida Gators won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.