MLB · resolved market
Braves vs. Guardians
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x226e7546c2c477d66b92c3fafed7e1b7d33b37f052805c572998e27dfd904c63
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bravesof Braves, Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,838
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,442
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,838 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Braves | 63c | 14,837$9,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,548.39 | 171 | 56.1%96 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe785…e106backed Guardians | 51c | 10,879$5,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,548.07 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Guardians | 63c | 8,381$5,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,310.18 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Braves | 49c | 8,000$3,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,080 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Braves | 48c | 4,879$2,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,549.67 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed32…20d6backed Guardians | 15c | 2,898$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.63 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcab0…4cd3backed Guardians | 21c | 2,626$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.38 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Braves | 48c | 2,570$1,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,323.48 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Braves | 39c | 2,332$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,432.05 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed Guardians | 51c | 1,891$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.32 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Guardians | 31c | 1,886$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.11 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Braves | 48c | 1,336$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.94 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4891…0165backed Guardians | 15c | 1,302$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Braves | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Guardians | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Guardians | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Braves | 49c | 999.98$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.99 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Guardians | 29c | 795.89$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.19 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Guardians | 51c | 770.74$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.08 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Guardians | 53c | 654.56$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.92 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Braves | 47c | 637.98$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.13 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Braves | 52c | 610.73$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.15 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Guardians | 54c | 608.7$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.7 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Guardians | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…c116backed Braves | 50c | 589.2$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.19 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Guardians | 54c | 547.53$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.12 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Braves | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Guardians | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc6…f0f8backed Braves | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95de…42d5backed Braves | 72c | 417.22$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.22 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Braves | 46c | 400$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Braves | 37c | 378.38$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.38 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Guardians | 30c | 337.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…f330backed Guardians | 54c | 300.99$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 146 | 49.3%72 W · 74 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Braves | 74c | 300$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Guardians | 53c | 299.98$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.99 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Guardians | 36c | 290.54$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.5 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Braves | 29c | 250$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.5 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Braves | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Braves | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Guardians | 20c | 210$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.8 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Braves | 49c | 203.94$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.01 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Braves | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Guardians | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 182 | 49.5%90 W · 92 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Guardians | 52c | 197.04$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.49 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked Braves | 70c | 196$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.84 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Guardians | 11c | 195.09$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.21 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Guardians | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Braves | 46c | 180.74$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.6 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Braves | 47c | 176.6$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Braves | 68c | 150$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Guardians | 51c | 133.33$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Guardians | 50c | 126.28$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.14 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74c4…4493backed Guardians | 53c | 120$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Braves | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.14 | 397 | 39.5%157 W · 240 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Braves | 27c | 103.9$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.85 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Braves | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Braves | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7f…7f9fbacked Guardians | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Guardians | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…61ddbacked Guardians | 75c | 93.33$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e2…ecd0backed Braves | 49c | 83.28$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.28 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Guardians | 44c | 83.1$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.62 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc655…8467backed Braves | 48c | 80.77$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Guardians | 52c | 80.77$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1,299 | 56.7%737 W · 562 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Braves | 23c | 77.96$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.96 | 544 | 41.2%224 W · 320 L | -22.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Guardians | 51c | 75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 228 | 49.1%112 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…56cfbacked Braves | 47c | 74.89$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.69 | 280 | 53.9%151 W · 129 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Guardians | 48c | 72.48$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.52 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Braves | 48c | 72.28$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.34 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Guardians | 28c | 71.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 182 | 36.3%66 W · 116 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf391…73c3backed Braves | 40c | 63.75$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 295 | 52.2%154 W · 141 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4de9…4ab1backed Guardians | 40c | 56$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.34 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Guardians | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6752…fafbbacked Guardians | 37c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x041c…88c5backed Guardians | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 187 | 50.3%94 W · 93 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa567…fe27backed Braves | 50c | 43.56$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Braves | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Braves | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 512 | 45.1%231 W · 281 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf961…46bcbacked Guardians | 53c | 42.23$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eff…978ebacked Braves | 50c | 40.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…8fbbbacked Guardians | 52c | 40.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc2…4aacbacked Guardians | 52c | 40.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb469…d5d2backed Guardians | 52c | 40.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8357…05a8backed Guardians | 52c | 40.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd946…1259backed Guardians | 52c | 40.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de0…2041backed Braves | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x265b…1133backed Braves | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x86eb…6373backed Braves | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.8wins | +0.32per pick | 52cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2a35…ce26backed Braves | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x036e…df10backed Braves | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d4…e199backed Guardians | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67fd…2b74backed Braves | 45c | 37.23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.48 | 166 | 51.8%86 W · 80 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ed…68f2backed Guardians | 52c | 37.13$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd4…e888backed Guardians | 78c | 35.31$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.38 | 36 | 77.8%28 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Braves | 47c | 34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc676…f35cbacked Guardians | 54c | 31.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Guardians | 44c | 30.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd287…7485backed Braves | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 543 | 52.3%284 W · 259 L | +27.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…7505backed Braves | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 121 | 38%46 W · 75 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.