MLB · resolved market
Orioles vs. Astros
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a44241e05093efb3f410db8e6a69fad711bd014a16d5dfe06fa2d55d238c765
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oriolesof Orioles, Astros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $138,402
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $138,410
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $138,402 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 446 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe785…e106backed Orioles | 46c | 47,609$22,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,563.83 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3aff…e954backed Astros | 54c | 36,251$19,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,575.48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Astros | 55c | 7,131$3,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,901.21 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Astros | 53c | 5,638$2,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,988.14 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Astros | 53c | 4,793$2,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,564.49 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2fd…b3cebacked Orioles | 43c | 4,628$1,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,637.84 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Astros | 57c | 4,600$2,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,602 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Astros | 54c | 4,520$2,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,440.8 | 163 | 52.1%85 W · 78 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Orioles | 44c | 4,061$1,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,274.26 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3447…3495backed Astros | 57c | 3,930$2,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,240.1 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Orioles | 46c | 2,888$1,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.74 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Astros | 1c | 2,667$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Astros | 54c | 2,000$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Orioles | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.98 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Orioles | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.98 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Orioles | 56c | 1,670$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.5 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c4…6ea5backed Astros | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Astros | 49c | 1,446$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.5 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9afdbacked Astros | 59c | 1,353$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363d…fe75backed Astros | 30c | 1,071$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 212 | 42.5%90 W · 122 L | -13.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Orioles | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Orioles | 43c | 764$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.48 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Astros | 50c | 692$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.3 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Orioles | 57c | 659.04$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.49 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Orioles | 43c | 603.51$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92ed…82c6backed Astros | 2c | 599.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Astros | 55c | 574.67$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.07 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Astros | 54c | 565$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.1 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Astros | 54c | 565$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.3 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Astros | 57c | 526$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.82 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Orioles | 43c | 513$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.41 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Orioles | 43c | 449.15$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.02 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc6…f0f8backed Orioles | 45c | 440.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.98 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Orioles | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26e9…4a51backed Astros | 27c | 400$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67fd…2b74backed Astros | 55c | 399.99$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 166 | 51.8%86 W · 80 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Orioles | 45c | 399.99$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.99 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Astros | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Orioles | 45c | 349.99$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.5 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Orioles | 44c | 345$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.2 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Orioles | 46c | 304$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.16 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Astros | 54c | 286.84$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.9 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Astros | 53c | 250$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.5 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Astros | 54c | 249.99$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.99 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Orioles | 46c | 245.89$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.97 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Orioles | 47c | 231$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.43 | 260 | 56.5%147 W · 113 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Orioles | 45c | 223$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.65 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03fe…27e8backed Astros | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5a…d1bbbacked Astros | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…afbbbacked Orioles | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2019…a6a9backed Orioles | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7752…490bbacked Astros | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3236…8f9ebacked Astros | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…b555backed Astros | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…88e6backed Astros | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c61…a273backed Orioles | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e48…c9cabacked Orioles | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6caa…d782backed Astros | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea21…9033backed Astros | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfa…2fa8backed Astros | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc81…40c9backed Orioles | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c37…a9efbacked Orioles | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8187…fbe2backed Astros | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab77…cd04backed Orioles | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46fe…78dabacked Orioles | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | +9.3wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +37%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ff…42f7backed Orioles | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9194…cc43backed Astros | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +6.7wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +27%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x97cd…1d85backed Orioles | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e5…0bccbacked Orioles | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +5.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce4f…0170backed Astros | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf45…413abacked Astros | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ebb…670dbacked Astros | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb65a…3aa3backed Astros | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda76…0838backed Astros | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -7.4wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e3…fbbebacked Astros | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x223e…602bbacked Astros | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e7…c54abacked Astros | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa079…ed58backed Astros | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb79f…8197backed Orioles | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56f5…0071backed Astros | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f1…a93dbacked Astros | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc3…1270backed Orioles | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +6.2wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea60…f4f6backed Orioles | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 53 | 67.9%36 W · 17 L | +9.3wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf397…3adfbacked Astros | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfea…35d3backed Astros | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x436b…c7ccbacked Astros | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd3…eecfbacked Astros | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea5…a429backed Astros | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb8…6feebacked Astros | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e12…c5d1backed Astros | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd22b…6880backed Astros | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8d…70efbacked Orioles | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddca…5ab9backed Astros | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5013…5aaebacked Astros | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca45…d552backed Orioles | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf215…abcfbacked Astros | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c28…6944backed Astros | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12bd…982bbacked Orioles | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ca…499cbacked Orioles | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6020…9e3cbacked Orioles | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.