Movies · resolved market
Will "His & Hers" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 13, 2026)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2885d682cb66cb6447e50a9cefba076a784b67268f57868c6b0c8b228b6f98a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,767
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,607
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,767 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x13b6…ba85backed Yes | 15c | 1,108$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.2 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d4…5735backed Yes | 11c | 934$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.74 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf8…c7afbacked Yes | 12c | 886$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.32 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6558…e485backed Yes | 15c | 862$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.3 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ae…44adbacked Yes | 16c | 673$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.68 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…c2e0backed Yes | 17c | 672$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.24 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f5c…91bfbacked Yes | 15c | 459$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.85 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00b2…6cb7backed Yes | 16c | 409$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f3…09e0backed Yes | 11c | 383$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.13 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6499…05d2backed Yes | 15c | 364$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6891…1146backed Yes | 15c | 323$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.45 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2b…ebedbacked Yes | 13c | 279$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.27 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 34cpaid | -85.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb8…ec8dbacked Yes | 15c | 224$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e2…4c8bbacked Yes | 15c | 219$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.85 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Yes | 17c | 193$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.57 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…f8a1backed Yes | 15c | 191$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.65 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c61…ac8bbacked Yes | 9c | 176.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 9c | 150$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 278 | 1.8%5 W · 273 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa53e…f9f6backed No | 77c | 142$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.66 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 10c | 131$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 116 | 4.3%5 W · 111 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes | 10c | 127.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 90 | 1.1%1 W · 89 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 6cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 17c | 121.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.42 | 1,218 | 17.8%217 W · 1,001 L | -124.0wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 13c | 114.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 170 | 10%17 W · 153 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a88…513ebacked Yes | 15c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "His & Hers" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 13, 2026)this page
- Will "Run Away" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 13, 2026)Yes won
- Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 13, 2026)No won
- Will "Unlocked: A Jail Experiment: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 13, 2026)No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.