Lionel Messi: 2+ assists

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6fb0eb8c5709c0e9a5e3a7d30019fbbfc12a25feb5b4ba07e1968cd81fde5974

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 19, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $83,189
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $80,251

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,189 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x37f4…49afbacked Yes	7c	8,994$629 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$628.52	190	37.4%71 W · 119 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	+31.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Yes	7c	3,483$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	154	41.6%64 W · 90 L	+12.7wins	+0.08per pick	33cpaid	+23.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7f69…f76dbacked Yes	8c	3,125$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	51	21.6%11 W · 40 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	+3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x47ff…7ccbbacked Yes	8c	2,200$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176	254	18.1%46 W · 208 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	+21%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Yes	7c	2,000$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	144	40.3%58 W · 86 L	+6.2wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Yes	7c	1,693$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.51	193	17.1%33 W · 160 L	-7.0wins	-0.04per pick	21cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9067…8cf5backed Yes	7c	1,535$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	71	35.2%25 W · 46 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	7c	1,457$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.19	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef8d…b115backed Yes	7c	1,429$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	102	24.5%25 W · 77 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaa6…3e62backed Yes	8c	1,400$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108	319	20.1%64 W · 255 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x078e…9d94backed Yes	8c	1,250$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	51	37.3%19 W · 32 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa76c…dc83backed Yes	8c	1,250$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	160	16.3%26 W · 134 L	-11.0wins	-0.07per pick	23cpaid	-47.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8c51…3c8fbacked Yes	8c	1,250$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-76%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x18c4…bc41backed Yes	8c	1,250$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	36	11.1%4 W · 32 L	-4.9wins	-0.14per pick	25cpaid	-33.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5626…80f0backed Yes	8c	1,250$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	62	1.6%1 W · 61 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	5cpaid	-79.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x73fb…ed58backed Yes	1c	1,100$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	78	38.5%30 W · 48 L	-3.3wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Yes	7c	975$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.15	977	42%410 W · 567 L	-6.5wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x178d…797bbacked Yes	6c	866.21$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.31	22	13.6%3 W · 19 L	-2.0wins	-0.09per pick	23cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x96d7…cc8fbacked Yes	5c	814$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.7	64	23.4%15 W · 49 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-41.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e76…37acbacked Yes	7c	769.07$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.83	76	10.5%8 W · 68 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1571…1a1cbacked Yes	7c	717.73$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	31cpaid	+30.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdef8…21e5backed Yes	8c	660.71$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	+1.3wins	+0.08per pick	40cpaid	-8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb026…d4fdbacked Yes	7c	634.52$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.42	50	30%15 W · 35 L	-2.6wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-31%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd8c8…a93ebacked Yes	8c	625$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	21	14.3%3 W · 18 L	-2.0wins	-0.09per pick	24cpaid	-55.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes	9c	505$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	1,019	31.6%322 W · 697 L	-10.2wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2c8…fad0backed Yes	4c	500$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	29	6.9%2 W · 27 L	-2.8wins	-0.10per pick	16cpaid	-78.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc404…bb69backed Yes	8c	500$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	22	22.7%5 W · 17 L	+1.3wins	+0.06per pick	17cpaid	-8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xacb5…d643backed Yes	5c	500$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	28	14.3%4 W · 24 L	-3.1wins	-0.11per pick	25cpaid	-40.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x40b5…6b5fbacked Yes	8c	437.5$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	200	25.5%51 W · 149 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes	5c	400$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1,388	15.1%210 W · 1,178 L	-16.0wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Yes	6c	393.42$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.61	298	13.8%41 W · 257 L	+5.7wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9a0…da23backed Yes	5c	366.17$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	97	13.4%13 W · 84 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9413…0cb8backed Yes	7c	357.14$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.07per pick	10cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7ee…c55ebacked Yes	8c	312.5$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.09per pick	24cpaid	-53.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71e7…f81cbacked Yes	8c	312.5$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	93	10.8%10 W · 83 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c59…11acbacked Yes	8c	312.5$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	31	12.9%4 W · 27 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb9b4…ad16backed Yes	8c	312.5$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-18%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes	7c	310.31$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.61	3,286	49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L	+6.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked Yes	8c	310$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	423	32.9%139 W · 284 L	-17.3wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-21%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x999f…addbbacked Yes	6c	300$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	29	27.6%8 W · 21 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	24cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8fc…022bbacked Yes	7c	290$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.3	91	29.7%27 W · 64 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked Yes	7c	261.31$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.29	41	34.1%14 W · 27 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8271…1b26backed Yes	8c	250$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	28	32.1%9 W · 19 L	+2.1wins	+0.07per pick	25cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd5a1…587ebacked Yes	8c	250$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	21cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd2f…f7babacked Yes	7c	242.86$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.41per pick	9cpaid	+392.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x08b9…9880backed Yes	14c	214.29$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0341…9294backed Yes	7c	214.29$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	494	26.7%132 W · 362 L	-9.8wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-14%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ff2…5b93backed Yes	8c	200$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	63	41.3%26 W · 37 L	+5.9wins	+0.09per pick	32cpaid	+18.8%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5f3f…ae90backed Yes	8c	200$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e69…e630backed Yes	8c	187.5$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.0wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf3c…31cfbacked Yes	8c	187.5$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	15	6.7%1 W · 14 L	-2.5wins	-0.17per pick	23cpaid	-46.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc84e…2d9bbacked Yes	8c	187.5$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	33	12.1%4 W · 29 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-15%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd724…3269backed Yes	8c	187.5$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x06a3…f232backed Yes	7c	171.43$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	20cpaid	-56.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes	7c	159.31$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.01	3,077	47%1,447 W · 1,630 L	-11.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x59cc…88c8backed Yes	7c	153.14$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.72	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6087…61e8backed Yes	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	86	27.9%24 W · 62 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x528f…7795backed Yes	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	42	40.5%17 W · 25 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x05cc…679bbacked Yes	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	16	12.5%2 W · 14 L	-3.0wins	-0.18per pick	31cpaid	-69.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x397a…f81cbacked Yes	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dc5…84c1backed Yes	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	+2.1wins	+0.15per pick	21cpaid	+282.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7da6…e27ebacked Yes	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	60	13.3%8 W · 52 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	+37.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16bf…3db6backed Yes	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xccd4…dd7ebacked Yes	13c	114$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52e7…d9bdbacked Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-46.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 106. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Lionel Messi: 2+ assiststhis page
Alex Baena: 1+ assistsNo won
Alex Baena: 1+ goalsNo won
Alex Baena: 1+ shotsYes won
Alex Baena: 2+ goalsNo won
Alex Baena: 2+ shotsNo won
Alex Baena: 3+ shotsNo won
Alex Baena: 4+ shotsNo won
Alex Baena: 5+ shotsNo won
Alexis Mac Allister: 1+ assistsNo won
Alexis Mac Allister: 1+ goalsNo won
Alexis Mac Allister: 1+ shotsNo won
Alexis Mac Allister: 2+ assistsNo won
Alexis Mac Allister: 2+ goalsNo won
Alexis Mac Allister: 2+ shotsNo won
Alexis Mac Allister: 2+ shots on targetNo won
Alexis Mac Allister: 3+ shotsNo won
Cucurella: 1+ shotsYes won
Cucurella: 1+ shots on targetNo won
Cucurella: 2+ shotsNo won
Dani Olmo: 1+ assistsNo won
Dani Olmo: 1+ goalsNo won
Dani Olmo: 1+ shotsYes won
Dani Olmo: 2+ assistsNo won
Dani Olmo: 2+ goalsNo won
Dani Olmo: 2+ shotsYes won
Dani Olmo: 4+ shotsNo won
David Raya: 2+ savesNo won
Enzo Fernández: 1+ assistsNo won
Enzo Fernández: 1+ goalsNo won
Enzo Fernández: 1+ shotsNo won
Enzo Fernández: 2+ assistsNo won
Enzo Fernández: 2+ goalsNo won
Enzo Fernández: 2+ shotsNo won
Enzo Fernández: 3+ shotsNo won
Enzo Fernández: 4+ shotsNo won
Fabián Ruiz: 1+ assistsNo won
Fabián Ruiz: 1+ goalsNo won
Ferrán Torres: 1+ assistsNo won
Ferrán Torres: 1+ goalsNo won
Gavi Paez: 1+ goalsNo won
Giovani Lo Celso: 1+ goalsNo won
Giuliano Simeone: 1+ assistsNo won
Giuliano Simeone: 1+ goalsNo won
Juan Musso: 2+ savesNo won
Julián Álvarez: 1+ assistsNo won
Julián Álvarez: 1+ goalsNo won
Julián Álvarez: 1+ shotsNo won
Julián Álvarez: 2+ goalsNo won
Julián Álvarez: 2+ shotsNo won
Julián Álvarez: 4+ shotsNo won
Lamine Yamal: 1+ assistsNo won
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsNo won
Lamine Yamal: 1+ shotsYes won
Lamine Yamal: 2+ assistsNo won
Lamine Yamal: 2+ goalsNo won
Lamine Yamal: 2+ shotsYes won
Lamine Yamal: 3+ goalsNo won
Lamine Yamal: 3+ shotsYes won
Lamine Yamal: 4+ shotsNo won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Lionel Messi: 2+ assists

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event