Fifa International · resolved market
Marcus Rashford: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe82ed275438eab6b8775bf309ff6cc6fdf27694f9842dcee1d31b327a2d21949
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,097
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,875
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,097 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9caf…94dcbacked Yes | 19c | 13,339$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd75…0149backed Yes | 18c | 2,458$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.37 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed Yes | 17c | 841.71$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.29 | 105 | 49.5%52 W · 53 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47ff…7ccbbacked Yes | 21c | 550$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.5 | 254 | 18.1%46 W · 208 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x494e…d3dbbacked Yes | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.94 | 389 | 24.4%95 W · 294 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7200…9299backed Yes | 13c | 447.55$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.17 | 169 | 46.2%78 W · 91 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 11c | 414.89$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.04 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6128…6847backed Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 21cpaid | +19%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4cc…6135backed Yes | 19c | 270$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 164 | 28.7%47 W · 117 L | +9.9wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98cf…a15abacked Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d02…bb89backed Yes | 18c | 243.25$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.97 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd050…c915backed Yes | 18c | 222.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +11.5wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Yes | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa6…3e62backed Yes | 19c | 200$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 319 | 20.1%64 W · 255 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…b85dbacked Yes | 19c | 191.63$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.41 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7e…dd3cbacked Yes | 17c | 161.44$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.24 | 153 | 25.5%39 W · 114 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16c8…1badbacked Yes | 18c | 161.11$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 197 | 42.1%83 W · 114 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde33…3af0backed Yes | 18c | 138.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6752…5977backed Yes | 18c | 134.49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -70.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032d…7168backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 80 | 31.3%25 W · 55 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c2…9389backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 19%11 W · 47 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f48…0e01backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 151 | 30.5%46 W · 105 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f79…5487backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 88 | 21.6%19 W · 69 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fd…b710backed Yes | 19c | 104.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 330 | 40%132 W · 198 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…8148backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 24cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 298 | 13.8%41 W · 257 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…98abbacked Yes | 23c | 88.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 195 | 53.3%104 W · 91 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1d…43e2backed Yes | 19c | 87.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe3…0744backed Yes | 17c | 85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd5…b6f4backed Yes | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed No | 79c | 79.05$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 855 | 50.6%433 W · 422 L | +54.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…2e36backed No | 77c | 76.52$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca9…9293backed Yes | 18c | 73.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf1d…ff33backed Yes | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0121…f722backed No | 79c | 71.43$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Yes | 15c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd25…4042backed Yes | 19c | 68.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 22cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4a…6ae4backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +6.4wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 79c | 40.95$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.71 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked No | 80c | 24.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 669 | 32.1%215 W · 454 L | +16.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 90. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Marcus Rashford: 1+ goalsthis page
- Adrien Rabiot: 1+ assistsNo won
- Adrien Rabiot: 1+ goalsNo won
- Adrien Rabiot: 1+ shotsYes won
- Adrien Rabiot: 3+ shotsNo won
- Anthony Gordon: 1+ assistsNo won
- Anthony Gordon: 1+ goalsNo won
- Anthony Gordon: 1+ shotsNo won
- Anthony Gordon: 2+ shotsNo won
- Aurélien Tchouameni: 1+ assistsNo won
- Aurélien Tchouameni: 1+ goalsNo won
- Aurélien Tchouameni: 1+ shotsNo won
- Bradley Barcola: 1+ goalsYes won
- Bradley Barcola: 1+ shotsYes won
- Bradley Barcola: 1+ shots on targetYes won
- Bradley Barcola: 2+ shotsYes won
- Brice Samba: 2+ savesNo won
- Bukayo Saka: 1+ assistsNo won
- Bukayo Saka: 1+ goalsYes won
- Bukayo Saka: 2+ goalsYes won
- Declan Rice: 1+ assistsYes won
- Declan Rice: 1+ goalsYes won
- Declan Rice: 1+ shotsYes won
- Declan Rice: 2+ goalsNo won
- Declan Rice: 2+ shotsNo won
- Désiré Doué: 1+ assistsNo won
- Désiré Doué: 1+ goalsNo won
- Désiré Doué: 1+ shotsNo won
- Désiré Doué: 2+ goalsNo won
- Désiré Doué: 2+ shotsNo won
- Désiré Doué: 3+ shotsNo won
- Désiré Doué: 4+ shotsNo won
- Eberechi Eze: 1+ assistsYes won
- Eberechi Eze: 1+ goalsNo won
- Elliot Anderson: 1+ goalsNo won
- Elliot Anderson: 1+ shotsNo won
- Harry Kane: 1+ assistsNo won
- Harry Kane: 1+ goalsNo won
- Harry Kane: 1+ goals + assistsNo won
- Harry Kane: 1+ shotsNo won
- Harry Kane: 2+ goalsNo won
- Harry Kane: 2+ shotsNo won
- Harry Kane: 3+ goalsNo won
- Harry Kane: 3+ shotsNo won
- Harry Kane: 4+ shotsNo won
- Jude Bellingham: 1+ assistsNo won
- Jude Bellingham: 1+ goalsYes won
- Jude Bellingham: 1+ shotsYes won
- Jude Bellingham: 2+ assistsNo won
- Jude Bellingham: 2+ goalsNo won
- Jude Bellingham: 2+ shotsYes won
- Jude Bellingham: 3+ goalsNo won
- Jude Bellingham: 3+ shotsNo won
- Jules Koundé: 1+ shotsNo won
- Kylian Mbappé: 1+ assistsYes won
- Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsYes won
- Kylian Mbappé: 2+ assistsNo won
- Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsYes won
- Kylian Mbappé: 3+ goalsNo won
- Kylian Mbappé: 3+ goals + assistsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.