Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 2 Cabo Verde?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30051cc0147ac78ea2fe207431de368c1469a3c3d975b8a2d3d0390c05333d7b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $979,053
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $957,874
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $979,053 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 1c | 351,262$2,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,562.93 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90b9…9afebacked Yes | 0c | 119,616$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +111.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes | 1c | 17,828$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.6 | 727 | 22.7%165 W · 562 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb87b…3626backed Yes | 3c | 14,999$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.97 | 245 | 26.5%65 W · 180 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1083…4b9cbacked Yes | 0c | 10,665$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7942…b60bbacked Yes | 1c | 7,402$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21e7…4041backed Yes | 1c | 7,143$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 126 | 6.3%8 W · 118 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Yes | 2c | 6,639$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.78 | 373 | 50.1%187 W · 186 L | +45.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +28%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x945d…4c3dbacked Yes | 4c | 6,409$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 41 | 7.3%3 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…4997backed Yes | 2c | 6,399$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 235 | 13.2%31 W · 204 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +52%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe049…393cbacked Yes | 2c | 6,208$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8a…2d3cbacked Yes | 2c | 6,000$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 262 | 16%42 W · 220 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +35%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6b…b245backed Yes | 0c | 5,845$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 63 | 20.6%13 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc66d…038fbacked Yes | 0c | 5,835$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x576a…c4f0backed Yes | 0c | 5,755$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc86c…49bebacked Yes | 1c | 5,290$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7d…f097backed Yes | 1c | 4,733$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 109 | 15.6%17 W · 92 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4926…e7cdbacked Yes | 0c | 3,908$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x883d…d2e8backed Yes | 1c | 3,333$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 87 | 11.5%10 W · 77 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb73…53b0backed Yes | 4c | 3,304$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.38 | 159 | 30.8%49 W · 110 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Yes | 3c | 3,040$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.94 | 226 | 39.4%89 W · 137 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb5…a739backed Yes | 2c | 3,009$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 97 | 33%32 W · 65 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Yes | 0c | 2,931$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 512 | 28.9%148 W · 364 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x868b…2106backed Yes | 2c | 2,759$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 206 | 26.2%54 W · 152 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefe9…7aaabacked Yes | 1c | 2,730$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.76 | 74 | 12.2%9 W · 65 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 3c | 2,571$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.69 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfd…038bbacked Yes | 1c | 2,400$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 364 | 23.6%86 W · 278 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes | 2c | 2,395$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 502 | 14.5%73 W · 429 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…f102backed Yes | 1c | 2,392$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.1 | 564 | 10.5%59 W · 505 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4a…b3c5backed Yes | 1c | 2,187$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 356 | 12.6%45 W · 311 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f17…c1dbbacked Yes | 2c | 1,999$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 288 | 8%23 W · 265 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cfc…661ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,859$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 127 | 11.8%15 W · 112 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5648…a6c4backed Yes | 2c | 1,732$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 207 | 8.2%17 W · 190 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aac…0e7abacked Yes | 1c | 1,637$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 456 | 27.9%127 W · 329 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3225…3a5abacked Yes | 1c | 1,538$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 103 | 31.1%32 W · 71 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe785…1ccdbacked Yes | 1c | 1,400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 154 | 20.8%32 W · 122 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bc…03efbacked Yes | 2c | 1,333$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 87 | 16.1%14 W · 73 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…10b4backed Yes | 2c | 1,333$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 724 | 24.7%179 W · 545 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dad…ee77backed Yes | 2c | 1,333$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 128 | 32.8%42 W · 86 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e83…3bb7backed Yes | 2c | 1,319$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 1,206 | 32.7%394 W · 812 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc094…c8d4backed Yes | 1c | 1,316$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 337 | 29.1%98 W · 239 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a7…87b6backed Yes | 2c | 1,304$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 99 | 26.3%26 W · 73 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeec…99c8backed Yes | 2c | 1,250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 116 | 19%22 W · 94 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,206$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 630 | 35.7%225 W · 405 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2d…c9abbacked Yes | 1c | 1,154$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 62 | 17.7%11 W · 51 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a06…d62fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,154$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 458 | 20.3%93 W · 365 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…1a03backed Yes | 2c | 1,147$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 99 | 15.2%15 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…8497backed Yes | 2c | 1,116$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 5.6%3 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01b9…50dcbacked Yes | 2c | 1,095$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 171 | 15.2%26 W · 145 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f3…2e03backed Yes | 2c | 1,093$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 77 | 11.7%9 W · 68 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5816…8167backed Yes | 1c | 1,048$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 169 | 20.1%34 W · 135 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…cf16backed Yes | 2c | 937.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 626 | 6.7%42 W · 584 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95f8…87dbbacked Yes | 2c | 933.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 17cpaid | +172.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes | 2c | 800$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 388 | 17%66 W · 322 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…c77ebacked Yes | 2c | 782.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 39 | 12.8%5 W · 34 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes | 3c | 759.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 719 | 39.1%281 W · 438 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c6…1462backed Yes | 2c | 756.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 311 | 19.3%60 W · 251 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1834…e164backed Yes | 1c | 714.64$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 3c | 711.02$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa573…f034backed Yes | 2c | 699.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 59 | 16.9%10 W · 49 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x700b…8d0bbacked Yes | 4c | 663.9$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.56 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…6359backed Yes | 2c | 625$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 114 | 11.4%13 W · 101 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaca…a8abbacked Yes | 2c | 625$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c8…9aa3backed Yes | 2c | 625$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 2c | 600$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 98 | 29.6%29 W · 69 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd102…5dd7backed Yes | 4c | 555.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -65%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed Yes | 5c | 548$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 332 | 37.3%124 W · 208 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56b4…d80ebacked Yes | 4c | 517.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed Yes | 6c | 497$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 335 | 38.8%130 W · 205 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b35…4a36backed Yes | 4c | 466.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 175 | 6.3%11 W · 164 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd00…d1afbacked Yes | 4c | 414.93$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 455 | 28.4%129 W · 326 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1597…6edebacked Yes | 3c | 400$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 470 | 29.1%137 W · 333 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed Yes | 7c | 337.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.81 | 363 | 35.8%130 W · 233 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…fcfebacked Yes | 6c | 271.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 96 | 7.3%7 W · 89 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e58…94bdbacked Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 121 | 18.2%22 W · 99 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40ab…93c4backed Yes | 4c | 238.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 77 | 11.7%9 W · 68 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +84.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 2 Cabo Verde?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 0 Cabo Verde?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 1 Cabo Verde?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 2 Cabo Verde?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 3 Cabo Verde?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Cabo Verde?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 1 Cabo Verde?Yes won
- Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 2 Cabo Verde?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 3 Cabo Verde?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Cabo Verde?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Cabo Verde?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 3 Cabo Verde?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Cabo Verde?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Cabo Verde?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 2 Cabo Verde?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 3 Cabo Verde?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.