Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 3 Cabo Verde?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x907af163a3485356e42eb7d9374c1a3e080a70d8562421c64af76f2f06342232
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $754,028
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $583,634
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $754,028 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 0c | 245,501$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.7 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…7047backed Yes | 0c | 78,978$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.53 | 175 | 6.9%12 W · 163 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +112.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb254…3115backed Yes | 0c | 60,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 74 | 0%0 W · 74 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7942…b60bbacked Yes | 0c | 30,424$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c36…89ffbacked Yes | 1c | 17,928$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.31 | 290 | 17.6%51 W · 239 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576a…c4f0backed Yes | 0c | 17,329$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe049…393cbacked Yes | 1c | 17,162$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5bc…2c49backed Yes | 0c | 7,517$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe785…1ccdbacked Yes | 0c | 6,820$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 154 | 20.8%32 W · 122 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…3371backed Yes | 0c | 5,228$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.13 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7d…f097backed Yes | 1c | 4,503$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.85 | 109 | 15.6%17 W · 92 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…8497backed Yes | 0c | 4,381$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 54 | 5.6%3 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e83…3bb7backed Yes | 0c | 2,687$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 1,206 | 32.7%394 W · 812 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c8…9aa3backed Yes | 0c | 2,508$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00b7…af97backed Yes | 0c | 2,500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 73 | 19.2%14 W · 59 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa286…b3babacked Yes | 0c | 2,500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4e…b0f8backed Yes | 0c | 2,500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34d5…131ebacked Yes | 0c | 2,104$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 75 | 6.7%5 W · 70 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…10b4backed Yes | 1c | 1,339$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 724 | 24.7%179 W · 545 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 3 Cabo Verde?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 0 Cabo Verde?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 1 Cabo Verde?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 2 Cabo Verde?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 3 Cabo Verde?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Cabo Verde?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 1 Cabo Verde?Yes won
- Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 2 Cabo Verde?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 3 Cabo Verde?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Cabo Verde?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Cabo Verde?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 2 Cabo Verde?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 3 Cabo Verde?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Cabo Verde?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Cabo Verde?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 2 Cabo Verde?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.