CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ECSTATIC vs Team Nemesis - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x52454f4ce41d431665c3813434797ebd03b2a7e38c7280baf0cad1918c3d8dff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Nemesisof ECSTATIC, Team Nemesis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,313
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,210
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,313 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f18…9aa7backed ECSTATIC | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked ECSTATIC | 46c | 1,719$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.49 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…3887backed Team Nemesis | 50c | 1,625$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.56 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked ECSTATIC | 56c | 1,574$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.11 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed ECSTATIC | 59c | 1,322$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.97 | 496 | 46.6%231 W · 265 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Team Nemesis | 62c | 1,139$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.78 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c14…68f3backed ECSTATIC | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed ECSTATIC | 31c | 682.47$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.47 | 655 | 46.9%307 W · 348 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Team Nemesis | 51c | 642.93$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.93 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked ECSTATIC | 8c | 530.95$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.54 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05b7…9f3abacked ECSTATIC | 36c | 530.04$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.35 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked ECSTATIC | 38c | 524.1$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.92 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf44…760bbacked Team Nemesis | 59c | 458.2$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.04 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…bf2fbacked ECSTATIC | 30c | 455.12$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.1 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked ECSTATIC | 35c | 445.71$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.95 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ECSTATIC | 25c | 414.96$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.96 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed ECSTATIC | 37c | 364.66$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.14 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked ECSTATIC | 11c | 361$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.16 | 313 | 28.4%89 W · 224 L | -21.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed ECSTATIC | 8c | 360$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed Team Nemesis | 49c | 358.69$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.7 | 244 | 57%139 W · 105 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked ECSTATIC | 13c | 341.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.92 | 363 | 34.2%124 W · 239 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c67…e40ebacked ECSTATIC | 60c | 327.94$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.76 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed ECSTATIC | 34c | 306.36$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.99 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6510…36d1backed ECSTATIC | 9c | 301$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.13 | 73 | 21.9%16 W · 57 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed ECSTATIC | 11c | 279.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Team Nemesis | 65c | 270.32$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.69 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Team Nemesis | 37c | 264.39$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.79 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Team Nemesis | 52c | 213.66$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.51 | 112 | 40.2%45 W · 67 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked ECSTATIC | 15c | 209.22$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.38 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed ECSTATIC | 10c | 200$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 368 | 45.9%169 W · 199 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed ECSTATIC | 6c | 190$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 217 | 39.2%85 W · 132 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa02b…70d6backed ECSTATIC | 58c | 182.73$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.07 | 178 | 57.3%102 W · 76 L | +27.9wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +47%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3259…68adbacked ECSTATIC | 58c | 177.69$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed ECSTATIC | 44c | 176.32$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.1 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed ECSTATIC | 13c | 171$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.53 | 452 | 24.3%110 W · 342 L | -52.4wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked ECSTATIC | 41c | 163.96$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.96 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ECSTATIC | 34c | 148.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.3 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8083…0b28backed ECSTATIC | 38c | 131$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.78 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…31d6backed ECSTATIC | 22c | 129.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 278 | 31.7%88 W · 190 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked ECSTATIC | 38c | 104.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x912e…0eaebacked ECSTATIC | 15c | 103$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 364 | 34.1%124 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed ECSTATIC | 50c | 102.63$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.57 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed ECSTATIC | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 573 | 22.3%128 W · 445 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Team Nemesis | 49c | 98.92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.45 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc02…e0d4backed Team Nemesis | 49c | 98.8$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…3b7dbacked ECSTATIC | 46c | 96.76$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.51 | 318 | 52.8%168 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54ac…47e6backed Team Nemesis | 53c | 95.19$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 673 | 72.2%486 W · 187 L | +119.1wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked ECSTATIC | 44c | 90.72$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.95 | 840 | 37.9%318 W · 522 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed Team Nemesis | 51c | 90.15$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.06 | 493 | 76.1%375 W · 118 L | +96.8wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Team Nemesis | 43c | 68.81$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.34 | 623 | 50.9%317 W · 306 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Team Nemesis | 71c | 68.44$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.55 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed ECSTATIC | 31c | 64.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed ECSTATIC | 30c | 64.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d1…272fbacked ECSTATIC | 69c | 58.87$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.37 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -6.6wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9f43…843abacked ECSTATIC | 22c | 57.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -10.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5a…d48abacked ECSTATIC | 36c | 57.08$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.73 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…cf81backed ECSTATIC | 56c | 49.04$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 106 | 55.7%59 W · 47 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…526dbacked ECSTATIC | 60c | 48.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 224 | 44.6%100 W · 124 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3e…5bc0backed ECSTATIC | 60c | 43.91$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.15 | 153 | 58.2%89 W · 64 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc161…bd88backed ECSTATIC | 60c | 40.81$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.39 | 266 | 57.9%154 W · 112 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…51dbbacked ECSTATIC | 57c | 35.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 401 | 48.4%194 W · 207 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaff…5f75backed ECSTATIC | 45c | 30.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 52 | 23.1%12 W · 40 L | -9.3wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x63a5…1fbfbacked ECSTATIC | 66c | 29.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…4093backed ECSTATIC | 58c | 26.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 226 | 50%113 W · 113 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe36…9413backed ECSTATIC | 55c | 22.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ECSTATIC vs Team Nemesis - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: ECSTATIC vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 PlayoffsTeam Nemesis won
- Counter-Strike: ECSTATIC vs Team Nemesis - Map 1 WinnerTeam Nemesis won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: ECS (-1.5) vs Team Nemesis (+1.5)Team Nemesis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.