Euroleague · resolved market
Tianjin Pioneers vs. Ningbo Rockets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x39c7b2005ada68cbf8f4fa5f0e92da797938daf54739a6cad4df9acfbf513c66
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tianjin Pioneersof Tianjin Pioneers, Ningbo Rockets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,802
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,880
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,802 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3414…067abacked Ningbo Rockets | 45c | 1,236$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.39 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…1c8fbacked Tianjin Pioneers | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Ningbo Rockets | 47c | 707.99$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.76 | 162 | 35.2%57 W · 105 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Tianjin Pioneers | 53c | 622.64$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.64 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Tianjin Pioneers | 58c | 173.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.17 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Tianjin Pioneers | 54c | 169.98$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…6631backed Ningbo Rockets | 9c | 148.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Ningbo Rockets | 38c | 145.56$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.76 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Ningbo Rockets | 35c | 113.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.74 | 159 | 8.2%13 W · 146 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4371…4fd9backed Tianjin Pioneers | 62c | 61.44$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.58 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Ningbo Rockets | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf828…b277backed Tianjin Pioneers | 56c | 47.51$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e2…3000backed Ningbo Rockets | 57c | 47.07$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…53dabacked Tianjin Pioneers | 55c | 46.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6e…c865backed Tianjin Pioneers | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c3c…0696backed Ningbo Rockets | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb53c…c76ebacked Tianjin Pioneers | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Tianjin Pioneers | 72c | 32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Tianjin Pioneers | 55c | 32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Tianjin Pioneers | 55c | 29.15$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ad…44febacked Ningbo Rockets | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Ningbo Rockets | 44c | 24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked Tianjin Pioneers | 59c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed Tianjin Pioneers | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98df…41b7backed Tianjin Pioneers | 55c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.