Euroleague · resolved market
Shanxi Loongs vs. Liaoning Flying Leopards
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xebbc5099ed6961ff43e7696fa2a99b4a7ce406aaecda205e28c4667eb5830b0e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shanxi Loongsof Shanxi Loongs, Liaoning Flying Leopards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,042
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,309
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,042 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Liaoning Flying Leopards | 19c | 1,206$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Liaoning Flying Leopards | 24c | 210.42$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Shanxi Loongs | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.31 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…6631backed Shanxi Loongs | 72c | 168.17$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.99 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 24c | 143.41$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.11 | 159 | 8.2%13 W · 146 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Shanxi Loongs | 77c | 118.07$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.99 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebb1…e7afbacked Shanxi Loongs | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…ba25backed Shanxi Loongs | 79c | 91.32$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Shanxi Loongs | 77c | 90$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b96…f098backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 26c | 88.14$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9edc…b088backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 23c | 82.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 118 | 35.6%42 W · 76 L | +10.8wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +27%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2560…0b02backed Shanxi Loongs | 74c | 82.38$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e2…3000backed Shanxi Loongs | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…4432backed Shanxi Loongs | 77c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf413…807abacked Liaoning Flying Leopards | 37c | 54.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Liaoning Flying Leopards | 30c | 45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 24c | 44.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f3…f487backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 35c | 42.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa49…6330backed Shanxi Loongs | 67c | 29.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.71 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +103.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed Shanxi Loongs | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.