Euroleague · resolved market
Shanghai Sharks vs. Guangzhou Loong Lions
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc463916bac77f77fd84a5aa0163e628da4c75fe742d681d7eaa244fb9b9f366
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shanghai Sharksof Shanghai Sharks, Guangzhou Loong Lions
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,636
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,212
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,636 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Shanghai Sharks | 68c | 8,779$6,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,768.94 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 33c | 3,392$1,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.43 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 31c | 2,337$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.6 | 181 | 44.2%80 W · 101 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 32c | 1,542$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.63 | 265 | 44.5%118 W · 147 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9edc…b088backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 118 | 35.6%42 W · 76 L | +10.8wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +27%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 30c | 983.94$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 11c | 904.02$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09e7…f753backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 32c | 771.32$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a07…923fbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 34c | 331.41$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.68 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 7c | 217.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 14c | 215.88$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbea…5b1abacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 13c | 155.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Shanghai Sharks | 73c | 128.7$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.9 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe67…db98backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 21c | 99.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 17cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 25c | 82.95$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b96…f098backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 23c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 31c | 57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 159 | 8.2%13 W · 146 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Shanghai Sharks | 77c | 52.76$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.11 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e2…3000backed Shanghai Sharks | 73c | 37.08$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Shanghai Sharks | 69c | 36.04$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 34c | 36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c3c…0696backed Shanghai Sharks | 75c | 33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.