Euroleague · resolved market
Liaoning Flying Leopards vs. Shenzhen Leopards
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c35080da69c37631891cc57d6675e6d345b0dc7533e29b20ff8e17b267351a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shenzhen Leopardsof Liaoning Flying Leopards, Shenzhen Leopards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,337
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,155
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,337 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 0c | 3,748$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.64 | 159 | 8.2%13 W · 146 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Shenzhen Leopards | 35c | 795.97$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.75 | 162 | 35.2%57 W · 105 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Liaoning Flying Leopards | 54c | 668.57$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.63 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 64c | 424.62$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.85 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Shenzhen Leopards | 46c | 341.32$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.61 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Shenzhen Leopards | 57c | 307$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.48 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Shenzhen Leopards | 43c | 296$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.46 | 265 | 44.5%118 W · 147 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 59c | 283.87$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.31 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e2…3000backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 49c | 176.96$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.44 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf413…807abacked Liaoning Flying Leopards | 65c | 90.01$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.75 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Liaoning Flying Leopards | 14c | 90$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 65c | 87$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.55 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Shenzhen Leopards | 59c | 74.48$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.78 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 65c | 58.98$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.54 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e5…5a2cbacked Shenzhen Leopards | 34c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb53c…c76ebacked Liaoning Flying Leopards | 53c | 48$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 65c | 48$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b96…f098backed Shenzhen Leopards | 32c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.4 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Shenzhen Leopards | 51c | 29.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 53c | 27.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 122 | 68.9%84 W · 38 L | +15.5wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Liaoning Flying Leopards | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3fc…6c2dbacked Liaoning Flying Leopards | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.