La Liga · resolved market
Will CD Leganés win on 2026-01-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x508616221a75db398967579fa40386d10fcc28673e900fe274eab3051464862f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,496
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,858
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,496 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 50c | 7,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 50c | 4,415$2,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,218.26 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 50c | 1,635$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.4 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 51c | 976.42$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.9 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 51c | 788.96$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.59 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 55c | 275.67$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.19 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 494 | 47%232 W · 262 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 54c | 190$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.4 | 424 | 58%246 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…754abacked Yes | 44c | 183.57$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.57 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 50c | 168$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 50c | 155$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 351 | 48.4%170 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed No | 16c | 122$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…85a2backed Yes | 50c | 110$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 50c | 98.45$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.23 | 335 | 44.2%148 W · 187 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a09…76e9backed No | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f4…dec3backed Yes | 50c | 79.76$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.88 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 54cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6385…aecfbacked Yes | 50c | 61.76$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.71 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2d…379dbacked Yes | 34c | 60$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65a6…3e59backed No | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…1420backed Yes | 50c | 33.56$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.78 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +5.2wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5700…a854backed Yes | 50c | 30.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x640f…4cc0backed Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Yes | 52c | 24.42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…3daebacked Yes | 55c | 21.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Leganés win on 2026-01-24?this page
- Will CD Leganés vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B end in a draw?No won
- Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol B win on 2026-01-24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.