Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Utah State Aggies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24d3258af5eeb41cd617c759a3b660799308b86ebd92d469674317bb2791c1d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Utah State Aggiesof Nevada Wolf Pack, Utah State Aggies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,719
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,578
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,719 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Utah State Aggies | 71c | 7,623$5,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,231.85 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 29c | 3,605$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.22 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 15c | 2,040$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.98 | 140 | 27.1%38 W · 102 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ca…3748backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 39c | 1,317$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 32c | 1,280$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.82 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 26c | 1,203$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.54 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…a90dbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 21c | 564.49$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.77 | 149 | 25.5%38 W · 111 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5165…175bbacked Utah State Aggies | 73c | 542.15$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.87 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…1787backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 164 | 45.1%74 W · 90 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 18c | 327$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.8 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 8c | 282.6$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.58 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9121…bd6cbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 11c | 249.35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.43 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 13c | 232.01$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.87 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 10c | 164.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.84 | 399 | 3.3%13 W · 386 L | -21.0wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08c1…7fbebacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 19c | 126.25$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 152 | 40.1%61 W · 91 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 26c | 118$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 20c | 115$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 17c | 110$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 10c | 107.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 181 | 29.3%53 W · 128 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f31…3e23backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 24c | 93.37$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.15 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ab…361bbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 13c | 84.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 98 | 21.4%21 W · 77 L | -17.7wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 15c | 74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 32c | 65.88$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Utah State Aggies | 75c | 65.51$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.58 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Utah State Aggies | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Utah State Aggies | 71c | 37.38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Utah State Aggies | 77c | 29.87$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Utah State Aggies | 78c | 23.15$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.02 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Utah State Aggiesthis page
- Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Utah State Aggies: O/U 151.5Under won
- Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Utah State Aggies: O/U 152.5Under won
- Spread: Utah State Aggies (-13.5)Nevada Wolf Pack won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.