TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Niagara Purple Eagles vs. Canisius Golden Griffins

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Niagara Purple Eaglesof Niagara Purple Eagles, Canisius Golden Griffins
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$20,793
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$21,551

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,793 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Canisius Golden Griffins58c4,246$2,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,461.35,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Niagara Purple Eagles46c2,212$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,204.465,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Canisius Golden Griffins59c1,500$885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8855152.9%27 W · 24 L-5.5wins-0.11per pick64cpaid-15.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Niagara Purple Eagles53c1,437$759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$678.843,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Niagara Purple Eagles42c1,328$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$773.7612,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Niagara Purple Eagles44c1,254$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$695.964,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Canisius Golden Griffins33c649.9$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.28843.2%38 W · 50 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+22.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Niagara Purple Eagles42c613.99$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.071,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Canisius Golden Griffins58c582$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.562454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Niagara Purple Eagles53c447.72$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.12,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe33c…2bd1backed Canisius Golden Griffins50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001625%4 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+53.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Niagara Purple Eagles50c322.64$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.1773549.1%361 W · 374 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Niagara Purple Eagles42c309$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.2282048.2%395 W · 425 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Canisius Golden Griffins62c298$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.7611346.9%53 W · 60 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd3f…a8bdbacked Niagara Purple Eagles42c247.14$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.345250%26 W · 26 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+22.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Niagara Purple Eagles51c201.48$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.881,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8d6d…aeb9backed Niagara Purple Eagles44c200$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1125642.9%24 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fec…728ebacked Canisius Golden Griffins59c200$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3759…6b3bbacked Niagara Purple Eagles42c199.99$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.9910652.8%56 W · 50 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Canisius Golden Griffins40c182$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.191,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Canisius Golden Griffins56c172.15$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.4139744.8%178 W · 219 L+9.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Niagara Purple Eagles46c161.13$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.531,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Niagara Purple Eagles58c145.2$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.72,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Niagara Purple Eagles49c133.39$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.1657335.6%204 W · 369 L-27.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Niagara Purple Eagles64c131.44$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.6448051%245 W · 235 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Canisius Golden Griffins49c121$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.712,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Canisius Golden Griffins58c120.28$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.764,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Niagara Purple Eagles43c120$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.457448.3%277 W · 297 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Niagara Purple Eagles44c114.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.9218851.6%97 W · 91 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Niagara Purple Eagles32c114.4$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.6445953.8%247 W · 212 L-1.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a64…6769backed Niagara Purple Eagles44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.6417950.8%91 W · 88 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5165…175bbacked Niagara Purple Eagles53c111.72$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.519849%48 W · 50 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Canisius Golden Griffins36c100.3$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.111,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Niagara Purple Eagles38c100$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621,48743%639 W · 848 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b90…3d27backed Canisius Golden Griffins36c95.89$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.5217122.8%39 W · 132 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-27.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Niagara Purple Eagles64c95.4$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7632343%139 W · 184 L-18.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Canisius Golden Griffins34c84.39$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.694,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Niagara Purple Eagles41c68.8$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.623,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Canisius Golden Griffins58c60$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.0514846.6%69 W · 79 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ab…361bbacked Canisius Golden Griffins35c56.35$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209821.4%21 W · 77 L-17.7wins-0.18per pick40cpaid-55.5%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Canisius Golden Griffins61c54$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.052,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Canisius Golden Griffins40c51.4$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.562,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc54f…dce8backed Canisius Golden Griffins40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2064322.9%147 W · 496 L-17.1wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Canisius Golden Griffins58c47.04$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.321342.3%90 W · 123 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Niagara Purple Eagles58c38$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.141,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc995…3053backed Canisius Golden Griffins61c32.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202050%10 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Canisius Golden Griffins41c29.57$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2466831.4%210 W · 458 L-43.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Niagara Purple Eagles45c29$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9553635.6%191 W · 345 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16e9…aeefbacked Canisius Golden Griffins58c27.16$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.86250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28bb…d0d6backed Canisius Golden Griffins58c26.6$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.54666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+28.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Niagara Purple Eagles54c26.12$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.961,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Niagara Purple Eagles41c26$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.342,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Canisius Golden Griffins42c25.8$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.923,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Niagara Purple Eagles72c22$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.1649747.5%236 W · 261 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdd0…4938backed Canisius Golden Griffins57c22$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.542842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Niagara Purple Eagles59c17.55$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.2494036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.