TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

UT Martin Skyhawks vs. Morehead State Eagles

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
UT Martin Skyhawksof UT Martin Skyhawks, Morehead State Eagles
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$13,155
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$13,949

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,155 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked UT Martin Skyhawks69c2,212$1,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$693.045,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Morehead State Eagles13c1,737$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.351,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Morehead State Eagles12c1,170$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.972,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Morehead State Eagles22c1,123$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.8238343.6%167 W · 216 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Morehead State Eagles37c1,017$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.562,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Morehead State Eagles45c999.99$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4505152.9%27 W · 24 L-5.5wins-0.11per pick64cpaid-15.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3da4…28d7backed Morehead State Eagles70c822.58$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.7115861.4%97 W · 61 L+7.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+0.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed UT Martin Skyhawks35c573.29$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.63,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3010…a27cbacked Morehead State Eagles18c460.86$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.9514021.4%30 W · 110 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x20ae…f107backed UT Martin Skyhawks29c419.6$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.4342327.2%115 W · 308 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Morehead State Eagles3c337$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.113,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Morehead State Eagles56c285$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.851,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked UT Martin Skyhawks55c282.02$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.9112,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked UT Martin Skyhawks33c252$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.7218129.3%53 W · 128 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid+3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked UT Martin Skyhawks61c184.05$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.144,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d84…6df0backed UT Martin Skyhawks59c159.37$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.2753646.5%249 W · 287 L-24.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed UT Martin Skyhawks55c145.45$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.4549849.6%247 W · 251 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Morehead State Eagles12c111.11$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.74,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Morehead State Eagles41c103.32$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.3699045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed UT Martin Skyhawks55c69.95$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.481,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Morehead State Eagles58c68.83$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.071,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xca6d…492bbacked Morehead State Eagles56c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.215048%24 W · 26 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe88b…fa5abacked UT Martin Skyhawks28c50$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3634649.1%170 W · 176 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed UT Martin Skyhawks55c48.8$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.962,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9de1…f272backed UT Martin Skyhawks59c40$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.47040%28 W · 42 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72f9…629abacked Morehead State Eagles43c34$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.621650%8 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ab…361bbacked UT Martin Skyhawks44c30$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.89821.4%21 W · 77 L-17.7wins-0.18per pick40cpaid-55.5%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Morehead State Eagles54c28$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.122,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed UT Martin Skyhawks46c28$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1219454.6%106 W · 88 L+10.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Morehead State Eagles54c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.81,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0cd1…0b70backed Morehead State Eagles72c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.44770.2%33 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick70cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeff8…1bcfbacked UT Martin Skyhawks57c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.63246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked UT Martin Skyhawks56c19$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.271,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.