Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Rider Broncs vs. Fairfield Stags
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa728cac8a1d31f0c2b336b2f1ccbabcfb43ce676f13851fe621caf1a2c5280ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fairfield Stagsof Rider Broncs, Fairfield Stags
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,574
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,465
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,574 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7e3a…3246backed Rider Broncs | 8c | 4,748$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.82 | 149 | 40.3%60 W · 89 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rider Broncs | 5c | 3,901$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.05 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Rider Broncs | 6c | 2,328$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.63 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Fairfield Stags | 76c | 1,655$1,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.06 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Rider Broncs | 6c | 1,600$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.57 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f4…5bc0backed Rider Broncs | 22c | 1,422$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.84 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Rider Broncs | 22c | 1,165$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.4 | 397 | 44.8%178 W · 219 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Fairfield Stags | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Rider Broncs | 24c | 672$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.13 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rider Broncs | 14c | 622.09$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.48 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Fairfield Stags | 72c | 533.78$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.62 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb48…6ad1backed Fairfield Stags | 78c | 519.55$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Rider Broncs | 8c | 511.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.75 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked Rider Broncs | 12c | 400$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.89 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Rider Broncs | 22c | 304.46$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.13 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Rider Broncs | 10c | 273.37$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.34 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Fairfield Stags | 76c | 268.28$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Rider Broncs | 5c | 226.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Fairfield Stags | 78c | 215$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90eb…68dfbacked Rider Broncs | 38c | 211.97$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.25 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Rider Broncs | 14c | 207.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed Rider Broncs | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 133 | 13.5%18 W · 115 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…a90dbacked Rider Broncs | 44c | 200$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.79 | 149 | 25.5%38 W · 111 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x584d…d358backed Fairfield Stags | 79c | 170.19$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.39 | 92 | 64.1%59 W · 33 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Fairfield Stags | 56c | 153.36$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.22 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…669fbacked Rider Broncs | 18c | 150$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 88 | 14.8%13 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x313d…6f98backed Fairfield Stags | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Rider Broncs | 13c | 111.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Rider Broncs | 23c | 106.3$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 150 | 37.3%56 W · 94 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70c8…006cbacked Fairfield Stags | 78c | 102.56$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 140 | 62.9%88 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…6a50backed Fairfield Stags | 79c | 100.11$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f49…1befbacked Rider Broncs | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 57 | 14%8 W · 49 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1523…2e5fbacked Rider Broncs | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Rider Broncs | 15c | 86.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 213 | 42.3%90 W · 123 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2288…e482backed Rider Broncs | 23c | 80$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Rider Broncs | 22c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 225 | 52.9%119 W · 106 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Rider Broncs | 40c | 56.04$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.42 | 158 | 61.4%97 W · 61 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…aca7backed Fairfield Stags | 77c | 51.6$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Fairfield Stags | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.06 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0919…fcbcbacked Rider Broncs | 21c | 48.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Fairfield Stags | 77c | 37.83$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.83 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Fairfield Stags | 79c | 34.19$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.18 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…ac0abacked Fairfield Stags | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 356 | 50.8%181 W · 175 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec8…397bbacked Fairfield Stags | 77c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Fairfield Stags | 76c | 20.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 350 | 50.3%176 W · 174 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd1…0b70backed Fairfield Stags | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61b9…f46abacked Fairfield Stags | 76c | 18.61$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.47 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdb…22debacked Fairfield Stags | 78c | 18.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ddf…7441backed Fairfield Stags | 78c | 17.86$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.93 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +82.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…5988backed Fairfield Stags | 78c | 16.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.67 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7992…fe8dbacked Fairfield Stags | 78c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3286…35b7backed Fairfield Stags | 78c | 14.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rider Broncs vs. Fairfield Stagsthis page
- Rider Broncs vs. Fairfield Stags: O/U 142.5Under won
- Spread: Fairfield Stags (-8.5)Rider Broncs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.