Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Stony Brook Seawolves vs. Drexel Dragons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x032cabcb7903041f5c7dc6d18d544aaad6fa79e6b26dad6b2195e96fa90dbd93
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Drexel Dragonsof Stony Brook Seawolves, Drexel Dragons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,287
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,442
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,287 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Stony Brook Seawolves | 25c | 1,436$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Drexel Dragons | 75c | 1,359$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.55 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Drexel Dragons | 66c | 637.21$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.72 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Stony Brook Seawolves | 35c | 599.96$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.99 | 181 | 29.3%53 W · 128 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Drexel Dragons | 65c | 308.21$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.61 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a45…41f6backed Stony Brook Seawolves | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Drexel Dragons | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.56 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Drexel Dragons | 62c | 153$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.14 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71d…3f27backed Stony Brook Seawolves | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Drexel Dragons | 75c | 140.96$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.12 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x954b…eb22backed Stony Brook Seawolves | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Stony Brook Seawolves | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Drexel Dragons | 67c | 90.46$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.16 | 152 | 50%76 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4970…21f6backed Drexel Dragons | 66c | 90$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +7.2wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Stony Brook Seawolves | 35c | 65.75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.24 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Drexel Dragons | 60c | 64$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 279 | 55.2%154 W · 125 L | +22.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Drexel Dragons | 66c | 44$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Drexel Dragons | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba34…7e93backed Drexel Dragons | 77c | 38.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.83 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Stony Brook Seawolves | 41c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…4997backed Stony Brook Seawolves | 38c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Drexel Dragons | 78c | 31.03$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.83 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9431…6270backed Stony Brook Seawolves | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf2…6640backed Stony Brook Seawolves | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7219…fcf7backed Stony Brook Seawolves | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf71c…488bbacked Stony Brook Seawolves | 38c | 27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a1…be8bbacked Stony Brook Seawolves | 38c | 27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Drexel Dragons | 58c | 23.81$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Drexel Dragons | 62c | 22.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Drexel Dragons | 63c | 21.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.81 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b9…e6d3backed Drexel Dragons | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd1…0b70backed Drexel Dragons | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.1 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Drexel Dragons | 69c | 19.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34da…ac26backed Drexel Dragons | 66c | 19.14$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 52cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5f…4884backed Drexel Dragons | 74c | 16.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Drexel Dragons | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stony Brook Seawolves vs. Drexel Dragonsthis page
- Spread: Drexel Dragons (-5.5)Drexel Dragons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.