Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Seattle Redhawks vs. Oregon State Beavers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ce882315b2f3526aadbf480d805bf11336f3f186ac73eb2eaec79e72b942559
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oregon State Beaversof Seattle Redhawks, Oregon State Beavers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,220
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,199
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,220 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Oregon State Beavers | 64c | 17,786$11,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,410.24 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Seattle Redhawks | 35c | 16,908$5,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,957.83 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Oregon State Beavers | 68c | 10,323$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,322.68 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Seattle Redhawks | 29c | 8,121$2,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,381.53 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Oregon State Beavers | 72c | 2,753$1,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.59 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Seattle Redhawks | 67c | 2,424$1,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,615.66 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Seattle Redhawks | 42c | 2,388$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.82 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28b9…9719backed Seattle Redhawks | 63c | 1,920$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.48 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Oregon State Beavers | 53c | 1,514$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.4 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Oregon State Beavers | 33c | 1,500$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Seattle Redhawks | 62c | 1,445$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.2 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3214…63d6backed Seattle Redhawks | 24c | 1,271$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.96 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Seattle Redhawks | 17c | 1,228$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.7 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Seattle Redhawks | 42c | 1,221$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.82 | 158 | 61.4%97 W · 61 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Seattle Redhawks | 21c | 1,173$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.99 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Seattle Redhawks | 25c | 1,137$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.97 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Oregon State Beavers | 37c | 999.59$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.74 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Seattle Redhawks | 20c | 955.34$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.2 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Seattle Redhawks | 63c | 888$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.44 | 181 | 47%85 W · 96 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dca…a7acbacked Seattle Redhawks | 65c | 821.98$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.29 | 252 | 54.8%138 W · 114 L | -15.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Oregon State Beavers | 35c | 797$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.82 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Seattle Redhawks | 27c | 765.67$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.92 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Seattle Redhawks | 24c | 726.42$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.92 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Oregon State Beavers | 33c | 725$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.75 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Seattle Redhawks | 64c | 625$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Oregon State Beavers | 34c | 618$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.64 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Seattle Redhawks | 36c | 473$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.23 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Seattle Redhawks | 37c | 465.7$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.93 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Seattle Redhawks | 34c | 462.9$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.45 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…a90dbacked Oregon State Beavers | 43c | 459.05$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.39 | 149 | 25.5%38 W · 111 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Oregon State Beavers | 37c | 360$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.8 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Oregon State Beavers | 40c | 293.89$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.97 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Seattle Redhawks | 42c | 288.09$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.15 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x892f…820ebacked Seattle Redhawks | 21c | 190.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Oregon State Beavers | 43c | 161.72$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.5 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Seattle Redhawks | 26c | 157.61$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Seattle Redhawks | 36c | 120$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 346 | 49.1%170 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Seattle Redhawks | 50c | 118.41$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.05 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Oregon State Beavers | 48c | 115.73$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.26 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e49…bd4bbacked Seattle Redhawks | 22c | 104.15$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.36 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x954b…eb22backed Oregon State Beavers | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8103…7eeebacked Seattle Redhawks | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Seattle Redhawks | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 181 | 29.3%53 W · 128 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ee…6899backed Oregon State Beavers | 64c | 74.08$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…a51abacked Seattle Redhawks | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Seattle Redhawks | 22c | 71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Oregon State Beavers | 34c | 65.24$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.91 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Oregon State Beavers | 33c | 62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.64 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Oregon State Beavers | 35c | 60$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 152 | 50%76 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda0b…ac7dbacked Seattle Redhawks | 63c | 51.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.76 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c34…c8b8backed Oregon State Beavers | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.83 | 143 | 39.9%57 W · 86 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a29…b807backed Oregon State Beavers | 46c | 49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.46 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe09e…5047backed Oregon State Beavers | 63c | 43.03$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x490b…f3f0backed Seattle Redhawks | 65c | 34.78$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb343…9813backed Oregon State Beavers | 38c | 32.42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Oregon State Beavers | 44c | 28.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.87 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb815…342fbacked Seattle Redhawks | 42c | 26.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x648c…c77ebacked Seattle Redhawks | 55c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd1…0b70backed Seattle Redhawks | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Seattle Redhawks | 70c | 19.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb768…b6f7backed Oregon State Beavers | 60c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5f…4884backed Seattle Redhawks | 62c | 16.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a3f…38e4backed Oregon State Beavers | 72c | 16.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.54 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Redhawks vs. Oregon State Beaversthis page
- Seattle Redhawks vs. Oregon State Beavers: O/U 138.5Under won
- Seattle Redhawks vs. Oregon State Beavers: O/U 139.5Under won
- Spread: Seattle Redhawks (-4.5)Oregon State Beavers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.