South American Leagues · resolved market
Will AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2026-07-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a175ae5d72a8cceb9f375dfc56877de5a22bfbdd16d3925a6b752bb11efa9c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,197
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,130
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,197 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 18c | 6,193$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095.52 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5a…8445backed No | 5c | 4,000$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 77c | 3,964$3,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.69 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 32c | 3,627$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160.59 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 72c | 3,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b62…5cc8backed No | 31c | 3,000$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.95 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 28c | 1,939$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.45 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked No | 3c | 1,613$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.69 | 127 | 38.6%49 W · 78 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 72c | 1,592$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.99 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 31c | 1,192$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.37 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 71c | 1,129$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.3 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde39…2fa1backed No | 2c | 999.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.58 | 108 | 28.7%31 W · 77 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 29c | 648.21$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.99 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…352fbacked No | 14c | 580$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49e0…9af1backed Yes | 69c | 456.52$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 27c | 431.66$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.63 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Yes | 69c | 375$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.11 | 429 | 62.2%267 W · 162 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2047…de86backed Yes | 70c | 308.57$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfff7…7c28backed Yes | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 77c | 266.05$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.19 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 33c | 236.76$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.76 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 75c | 230.72$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.98 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 75c | 230.72$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.98 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 58c | 228.84$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.11 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Yes | 68c | 207.47$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.39 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Yes | 69c | 163.5$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.29 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 12c | 158.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 30c | 136.01$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes | 72c | 128.22$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.31 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 72c | 124.13$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.29 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 23c | 108.92$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0b…2500backed No | 20c | 96.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 156 | 25.6%40 W · 116 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68f8…12c8backed Yes | 69c | 94.74$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.74 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 63c | 84$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.09 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c31…5380backed Yes | 73c | 81.1$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.9 | 114 | 57%65 W · 49 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Yes | 68c | 71.56$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.9 | 264 | 65.9%174 W · 90 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked Yes | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…1525backed Yes | 62c | 70$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.7 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf15…a1febacked Yes | 69c | 69.44$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.53 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed No | 30c | 65.39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Yes | 70c | 59.4$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 155 | 54.2%84 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Yes | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 70c | 47$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 382 | 33%126 W · 256 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 34c | 43.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +5.6wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 76c | 43.22$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92ab…2ed6backed No | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -4.5wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yes | 69c | 36.22$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5837…8cdebacked Yes | 70c | 27.75$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 61cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8dbe…0801backed Yes | 70c | 27.14$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf1d…9591backed Yes | 69c | 27.03$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 71c | 25.11$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.16 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Yes | 76c | 22.68$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 333 | 65.5%218 W · 115 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 67c | 17.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d3e…534ebacked Yes | 72c | 15.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.27 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2026-07-28?this page
- Will AA Argentinos Juniors vs. AA Estudiantes end in a draw?No won
- Will AA Estudiantes win on 2026-07-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.