WNBA · resolved market
Sparks vs Liberty
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65b8b517173ea08d8872bc0434e8d7cc81f4e162cd3b4e126893777c6c6f7274
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sparksof Sparks, Liberty
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,408
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,764
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,408 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Sparks | 18c | 6,495$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,295.47 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Sparks | 59c | 3,876$2,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,605.07 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Liberty | 50c | 2,608$1,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,302.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Sparks | 15c | 1,970$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,674.61 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x743e…16aebacked Liberty | 57c | 1,669$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.26 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Liberty | 75c | 1,585$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,187.78 | 128 | 57.8%74 W · 54 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Liberty | 32c | 1,563$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Sparks | 53c | 1,299$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.32 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Sparks | 20c | 1,016$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.35 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Sparks | 17c | 973.22$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.77 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Sparks | 55c | 816.87$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.02 | 232 | 34.5%80 W · 152 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Sparks | 62c | 728.34$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.31 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Sparks | 16c | 687.91$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.85 | 103 | 37.9%39 W · 64 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Sparks | 29c | 649.32$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.82 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Sparks | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.24 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Liberty | 45c | 558.12$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.3 | 318 | 47.8%152 W · 166 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Sparks | 26c | 500$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Liberty | 34c | 417.03$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.81 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Liberty | 46c | 316$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.89 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Sparks | 17c | 300$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Sparks | 17c | 248$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.84 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Sparks | 17c | 200$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Liberty | 53c | 188.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Liberty | 63c | 181.93$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.34 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -10.3wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Sparks | 51c | 163.5$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.9 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Liberty | 54c | 160.42$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.98 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80b1…f64abacked Liberty | 39c | 153.5$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 52 | 21.2%11 W · 41 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Liberty | 38c | 149.6$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.37 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed Sparks | 56c | 141.07$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.07 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e6…79b5backed Sparks | 69c | 137$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.47 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 75cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x385a…08d1backed Sparks | 19c | 100$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.43 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Sparks | 16c | 100$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 141 | 36.2%51 W · 90 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Sparks | 16c | 99.44$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.87 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +4.6wins | +0.17per pick | 24cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Sparks | 71c | 97.92$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.92 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4542…cba2backed Sparks | 19c | 83.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.83 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Liberty | 35c | 83.33$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.17 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe05e…1ab8backed Liberty | 41c | 49.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed Liberty | 45c | 44.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.