Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on March 7?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf115523810d59168abebbdc1ff51b45d6daa0ee82f3528b2ef46d9aed0867e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,902
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,902 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x32b7…9cfabacked No | 2c | 2,035$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed Yes | 11c | 1,510$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,339.53 | 570 | 44.9%256 W · 314 L | +36.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f8…2734backed Yes | 21c | 1,206$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.15 | 313 | 41.5%130 W · 183 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bfe…aa01backed Yes | 36c | 1,086$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.18 | 78 | 23.1%18 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7726…4aeebacked Yes | 38c | 899.58$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.41 | 112 | 27.7%31 W · 81 L | +12.3wins | +0.11per pick | 17cpaid | +175.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Yes | 18c | 869.46$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.63 | 346 | 17.9%62 W · 284 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 67c | 832.57$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.69 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 24c | 756.16$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.13 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…29b4backed Yes | 14c | 716.97$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.83 | 963 | 13.7%132 W · 831 L | +33.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2079…ca17backed Yes | 7c | 716.75$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.75 | 96 | 26%25 W · 71 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked Yes | 15c | 714.91$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.88 | 1,032 | 24.3%251 W · 781 L | +40.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x672f…13ccbacked Yes | 47c | 683.54$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.52 | 330 | 58.8%194 W · 136 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0011…fc7ebacked Yes | 10c | 605.86$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.89 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 15cpaid | +42%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…fa0cbacked Yes | 13c | 604.6$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.8 | 242 | 16.9%41 W · 201 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…f204backed Yes | 17c | 599.94$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.95 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | +17.9wins | +0.16per pick | 33cpaid | +104.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…42e8backed No | 48c | 520$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.1 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x014f…ea08backed No | 74c | 472.44$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.78 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…947bbacked No | 56c | 439.99$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.65 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +17.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf967…1adfbacked No | 45c | 417.26$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.5 | 312 | 62.5%195 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked No | 17c | 416.02$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.97 | 346 | 18.8%65 W · 281 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad62…2aa9backed Yes | 49c | 404.64$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.6 | 165 | 32.7%54 W · 111 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c1…bec3backed Yes | 10c | 395.6$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.15 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffb…119dbacked Yes | 58c | 378.82$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.16 | 430 | 21.9%94 W · 336 L | +22.0wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 13c | 369.33$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.97 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 71c | 358.67$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.85 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce0c…9c24backed No | 40c | 341.62$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c78…42e6backed No | 18c | 340.7$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 597 | 42%251 W · 346 L | +96.8wins | +0.16per pick | 26cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…e908backed Yes | 14c | 336.39$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.29 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacba…5ce7backed Yes | 9c | 321.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.18 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0adc…c214backed Yes | 7c | 293.7$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.42per pick | 25cpaid | +425.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes | 16c | 293.41$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.56 | 44 | 15.9%7 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 7c | 280.42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.65 | 2,823 | 11.2%316 W · 2,507 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 67c | 265.02$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 1,605 | 42.9%689 W · 916 L | -86.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74be…d9dbbacked Yes | 24c | 255.57$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.32 | 94 | 29.8%28 W · 66 L | +7.1wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe713…fb5abacked Yes | 8c | 241.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.11 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 29cpaid | +237%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 8c | 236.17$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.16 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…3840backed Yes | 14c | 231$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.32 | 1,153 | 27.1%312 W · 841 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0754…a576backed Yes | 70c | 218.11$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.13 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa6…6cb8backed No | 77c | 215.6$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a28…3821backed Yes | 13c | 205.35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 13cpaid | +162.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2bf…5892backed Yes | 14c | 180.75$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.26 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94ca…5482backed Yes | 80c | 176.55$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.79 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 27c | 165.98$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.78 | 1,592 | 30.8%491 W · 1,101 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0de9…3d1fbacked Yes | 51c | 161.99$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.8 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe274…eea3backed No | 66c | 150.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…e0dabacked Yes | 11c | 149.94$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133 | 1,861 | 23.8%443 W · 1,418 L | +47.9wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…141dbacked No | 14c | 143.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 1,256 | 38.2%480 W · 776 L | +53.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd2…b7f8backed Yes | 53c | 142.94$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.86 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ac…44eabacked Yes | 13c | 139.95$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.77 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4222…3df6backed Yes | 12c | 136.82$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.63 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +84.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a05…8d34backed No | 64c | 131.46$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 36c | 128$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.24 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865d…47aabacked Yes | 11c | 125.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.41 | 164 | 32.9%54 W · 110 L | +12.7wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43ab…f630backed Yes | 12c | 120.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.11 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…d760backed Yes | 12c | 120$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.6 | 1,010 | 40.3%407 W · 603 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c91…d4cebacked Yes | 33c | 119.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.99 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4261…c5f3backed Yes | 17c | 106.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +478%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x263c…6114backed Yes | 28c | 106.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.96 | 151 | 33.8%51 W · 100 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed Yes | 14c | 104.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.38 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3774…b424backed Yes | 16c | 100.4$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.71 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfecc…77dabacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.5 | 404 | 38.1%154 W · 250 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e8…64e4backed No | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae8…5a42backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.8 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9dd…1870backed No | 21c | 99.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 16c | 96.65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.63 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb988…0936backed Yes | 15c | 91.28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 13cpaid | +117.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4986…aacbbacked Yes | 48c | 90.97$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.97 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 29c | 90.85$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.02 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x98c3…6ca1backed Yes | 11c | 89.94$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.94 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…49bebacked Yes | 15c | 89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +231.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked No | 47c | 86.04$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.86 | 1,026 | 60.8%624 W · 402 L | +11.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7961…eaa8backed Yes | 78c | 85.81$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 69 | 73.9%51 W · 18 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Yes | 65c | 83.76$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.72 | 999 | 61.8%617 W · 382 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0b…30aebacked Yes | 13c | 76.93$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.93 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 75c | 76.83$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.48 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8288…4c83backed Yes | 35c | 64.61$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.7 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb5…7bf7backed Yes | 68c | 57.9$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 77c | 55$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.81 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x514f…2be0backed No | 67c | 52.2$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.96 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Yes | 56c | 48.35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 358 | 43.9%157 W · 201 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f59…9e40backed Yes | 31c | 48.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.28 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf46…db67backed Yes | 26c | 47.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.81 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc18e…44e3backed No | 24c | 45.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Yes | 43c | 44.65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c3…20e0backed Yes | 28c | 44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.52 | 637 | 57.6%367 W · 270 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa01…b923backed Yes | 67c | 42$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59fe…14fdbacked No | 69c | 40.01$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 572 | 32.9%188 W · 384 L | -104.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 31-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…b73fbacked Yes | 35c | 39.31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.67 | 181 | 64.1%116 W · 65 L | +29.3wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +37%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0205…dc0cbacked No | 64c | 35.6$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc70…1103backed Yes | 79c | 35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.32 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d2…0ecfbacked Yes | 68c | 34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 205 | 46.8%96 W · 109 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44c4…e3bfbacked Yes | 76c | 29.09$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…a48ebacked No | 73c | 27.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 77 | 64.9%50 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x893c…7d6dbacked Yes | 70c | 26.85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ecc…d023backed Yes | 45c | 24.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.27 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf114…6eccbacked Yes | 70c | 23.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 1,090 | 74.2%809 W · 281 L | +179.3wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x43b1…aba6backed Yes | 56c | 20.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 774 | 28.6%221 W · 553 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…ce09backed Yes | 70c | 20.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a9…75f9backed Yes | 77c | 20.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.69 | 262 | 53.4%140 W · 122 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on March 7?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on March 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on March 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on March 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C or higher on March 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C or below on March 7?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.