Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 6°C on March 8?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e1077f2ac1dcc89807e5a6a377a0fecb31fb1dd1124a2a788f68db05dcab207
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,240
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,240 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb289…e614backed Yes | 30c | 3,110$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf166…eef8backed No | 70c | 1,560$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd01…3792backed No | 70c | 1,550$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 24c | 536.23$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.31 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e40…f89cbacked No | 76c | 468.05$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.25 | 245 | 69.8%171 W · 74 L | +30.9wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 28c | 413.72$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.93 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…42e8backed Yes | 23c | 399.98$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.99 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa6…6cb8backed Yes | 25c | 399.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed No | 77c | 331.88$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.12 | 570 | 44.9%256 W · 314 L | +36.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d72…8e62backed Yes | 8c | 299.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,817 | 8.1%148 W · 1,669 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3af…f4f8backed Yes | 5c | 284.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 9c | 275.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.73 | 769 | 24.3%187 W · 582 L | -16.3wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…7ed6backed No | 70c | 273.3$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.55 | 919 | 67%616 W · 303 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a4…73ebbacked Yes | 28c | 270.42$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.46 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 12c | 269.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.72 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 9c | 254.4$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9582…0ddbbacked Yes | 31c | 240.21$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 119 | 30.3%36 W · 83 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…2be6backed Yes | 9c | 219.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…ad4dbacked No | 78c | 217.89$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.89 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 78c | 203.52$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.42 | 860 | 50.9%438 W · 422 L | +29.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c4…e119backed Yes | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 71c | 193.68$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.02 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…3840backed Yes | 29c | 167$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.12 | 1,153 | 27.1%312 W · 841 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe31e…ec88backed Yes | 11c | 160.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 559 | 19.1%107 W · 452 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 29c | 147.61$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.13 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 25c | 144.53$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 1,592 | 30.8%491 W · 1,101 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…141dbacked No | 71c | 134.9$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.73 | 1,256 | 38.2%480 W · 776 L | +53.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca5…9ababacked No | 70c | 127.98$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.39 | 94 | 34%32 W · 62 L | -10.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 8c | 126$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf05b…d0b7backed Yes | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 296 | 42.9%127 W · 169 L | +19.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 29c | 123.65$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.32 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3aa…6977backed Yes | 29c | 118$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6372…4a25backed No | 65c | 117.17$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.03 | 410 | 70.5%289 W · 121 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa2…8351backed Yes | 23c | 115$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes | 27c | 113.05$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.69 | 44 | 15.9%7 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 25c | 109$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.65 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98d1…019abacked Yes | 30c | 108.57$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.27 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 72c | 104.1$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.38 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 24c | 101.13$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.46 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefae…3acebacked Yes | 29c | 100.2$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.66 | 268 | 27.2%73 W · 195 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb84…4fbcbacked Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 110 | 25.5%28 W · 82 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a38…ada9backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 236 | 33.1%78 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x014f…ea08backed No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1600…9236backed Yes | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 354 | 32.5%115 W · 239 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd11c…ff7dbacked Yes | 26c | 99.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 347 | 48.7%169 W · 178 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09c5…9e8abacked Yes | 32c | 98.05$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 213 | 33.8%72 W · 141 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8d…a96cbacked Yes | 23c | 94.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.72 | 810 | 29.1%236 W · 574 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c49…8740backed Yes | 16c | 78.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…e0dabacked Yes | 30c | 78$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 1,861 | 23.8%443 W · 1,418 L | +47.9wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b9…3377backed No | 66c | 76.32$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.95 | 140 | 71.4%100 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6db…810ebacked No | 67c | 74.71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.71 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a2…3ffdbacked Yes | 18c | 71.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +419.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1382…7820backed Yes | 29c | 67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 147 | 36.1%53 W · 94 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ced…e412backed Yes | 22c | 64.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed Yes | 24c | 62.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce3…4291backed Yes | 33c | 60.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 2,165 | 23.8%516 W · 1,649 L | +83.8wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf083…3428backed Yes | 34c | 59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x094a…1274backed Yes | 35c | 57.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 77 | 28.6%22 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1b…e88cbacked Yes | 25c | 57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a8…9f68backed Yes | 25c | 54.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 346 | 33.8%117 W · 229 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5a…77e5backed Yes | 30c | 53.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 97 | 24.7%24 W · 73 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 24c | 50.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad58…7624backed Yes | 35c | 49.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 542 | 32.3%175 W · 367 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6639…7202backed Yes | 36c | 49.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3024…8ecebacked Yes | 21c | 49.22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 172 | 37.2%64 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 21c | 49.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cc…102abacked Yes | 29c | 43.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…a2f8backed No | 67c | 43.24$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.27 | 118 | 72.9%86 W · 32 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4107…c4c5backed No | 75c | 41.89$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.49 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…dcebbacked Yes | 37c | 40.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94b5…1225backed No | 74c | 40.29$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64b0…ab64backed No | 71c | 39.01$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 294 | 59.5%175 W · 119 L | +20.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0856…560dbacked No | 77c | 39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22aa…e247backed Yes | 40c | 38.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6682…70f8backed No | 71c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5a…16d5backed No | 71c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0461…3d55backed No | 77c | 34$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 75c | 33.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 1,002 | 60.9%610 W · 392 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03d0…d647backed Yes | 31c | 33.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 71c | 31.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…d7c5backed No | 65c | 29.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 241 | 49.8%120 W · 121 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…4105backed Yes | 37c | 29.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 337 | 26.4%89 W · 248 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2706…437dbacked No | 71c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 68c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 68c | 27.1$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.62 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d99…99a2backed No | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1345…e4debacked No | 73c | 21.93$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 76 | 76.3%58 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7177…02b7backed No | 71c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcce…65afbacked No | 75c | 17.91$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.54 | 277 | 71.5%198 W · 79 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e70…50ebbacked No | 67c | 17.56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.85 | 315 | 67%211 W · 104 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe47…3af4backed No | 77c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bda…439fbacked No | 75c | 13.53$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.38 | 594 | 40.6%241 W · 353 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 6°C on March 8?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 1°C on March 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 2°C on March 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 3°C on March 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 4°C on March 8?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 5°C on March 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C on March 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C or higher on March 8?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.