TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Targu Mures: Felix Balshaw vs Martin Krumich

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Felix Balshawof Felix Balshaw, Martin Krumich
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$259,947
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$370,315

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $259,947 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x08a3…8666backed Felix Balshaw57c102,530$58,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,029.722965.5%19 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Martin Krumich42c77,375$32,538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,538.188,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Martin Krumich42c18,501$7,793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,793.1711,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa83c…a8f4backed Felix Balshaw74c4,250$3,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,102.91450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+69%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Martin Krumich34c3,760$1,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,269.74,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Martin Krumich37c3,492$1,303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,302.568,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20b4…bfa2backed Felix Balshaw44c2,283$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,283.3333540.9%137 W · 198 L+0.6wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0537…e9dcbacked Martin Krumich24c1,436$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34214246.5%66 W · 76 L+10.6wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+11.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0e32…ac88backed Martin Krumich68c1,434$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$974.981060%6 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Martin Krumich42c1,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4209,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Felix Balshaw56c948.2$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.873,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4a0…3accbacked Felix Balshaw58c870.39$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.892356.5%13 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Martin Krumich41c785.12$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.468,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Martin Krumich71c725.23$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.422,85439.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L-83.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd055…f90ebacked Martin Krumich43c720$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.6944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-33.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb16…96b5backed Felix Balshaw44c651.13$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.3944448.9%217 W · 227 L-13.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Felix Balshaw57c646.87$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.274,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Martin Krumich34c595$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.871,22823.1%284 W · 944 L-164.0wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-47%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Martin Krumich31c559.89$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.253,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc0da…7f11backed Felix Balshaw56c532.14$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.141747.1%8 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5f42…86b8backed Felix Balshaw69c531.53$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.25366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+55.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc93d…23d5backed Martin Krumich28c525.27$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.0424748.6%120 W · 127 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4738…9cfbbacked Felix Balshaw55c508.86$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.935747.9%171 W · 186 L+16.6wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Martin Krumich23c500$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11522344.8%100 W · 123 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4340…363dbacked Felix Balshaw39c361.82$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.7118445.7%84 W · 100 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc81…e889backed Martin Krumich45c357.98$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.0917942.5%76 W · 103 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f39…28dabacked Felix Balshaw76c339.95$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.953060%18 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Martin Krumich42c306$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.5230132.9%99 W · 202 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4c9…8803backed Martin Krumich36c302.47$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.0713743.1%59 W · 78 L+9.1wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9267…5696backed Felix Balshaw64c240.86$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.1121688%190 W · 26 L+35.2wins+0.16per pick72cpaid+22.4%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Martin Krumich64c232.38$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.893,67754.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L+107.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa670…55d2backed Felix Balshaw79c230$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.32755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea00…42e8backed Felix Balshaw41c226.83$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.833100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x561d…4134backed Felix Balshaw52c221.9$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.944949.4%222 W · 227 L+23.1wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1a06…d62fbacked Felix Balshaw29c217.25$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.251233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Martin Krumich61c214.12$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.64,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Martin Krumich45c212.21$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.912,28152%1,187 W · 1,094 L+82.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x468a…c764backed Felix Balshaw76c211.09$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.666150.8%31 W · 30 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Martin Krumich43c210.74$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.576,44946.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L-42.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked Felix Balshaw74c200.51$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.1315752.2%82 W · 75 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9eab…7e13backed Martin Krumich33c200$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+19.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x42da…86b9backed Felix Balshaw49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1023100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+74.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Martin Krumich40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Felix Balshaw57c199.99$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$853,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd729…7ef2backed Martin Krumich44c199.57$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.698450%42 W · 42 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaab1…9678backed Martin Krumich77c194.46$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504070%28 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Martin Krumich39c180.49$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.391,68845.4%766 W · 922 L-10.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9c9…6686backed Martin Krumich18c177.73$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.381,33746%615 W · 722 L+23.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a80…d472backed Felix Balshaw57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.441,18652.4%622 W · 564 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb64e…a85cbacked Felix Balshaw60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.67475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+17.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Martin Krumich46c163$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.471,79546.6%837 W · 958 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed4c…03cabacked Felix Balshaw47c150.38$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.38580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+28.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Martin Krumich27c145$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.051,76752.1%920 W · 847 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2be…af12backed Felix Balshaw47c140.56$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.132,03246.9%952 W · 1,080 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Felix Balshaw60c134.8$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.691,83153%971 W · 860 L-45.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Martin Krumich25c126$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.082,08252.3%1,088 W · 994 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbae0…7b62backed Martin Krumich44c121.73$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.564341.9%18 W · 25 L-4.2wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-20.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd155…8250backed Martin Krumich41c121.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.6235649.4%176 W · 180 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Felix Balshaw59c108.31$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.451,45950.1%731 W · 728 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Martin Krumich39c106$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.321,34949.8%672 W · 677 L-6.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Martin Krumich39c105.13$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413,22040.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Martin Krumich39c105.13$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413,42439.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L-12.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a4f…c4f2backed Felix Balshaw49c105$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.9833134.7%115 W · 216 L-17.2wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5803…3f3fbacked Felix Balshaw76c104.68$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6885348.9%417 W · 436 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c0b…c814backed Felix Balshaw58c104$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.1938459.9%230 W · 154 L+29.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+17.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa0be…e6c2backed Felix Balshaw56c103.55$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.564247.6%20 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2c8…d506backed Martin Krumich39c102.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4015937.7%60 W · 99 L-0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0f6…a5eebacked Martin Krumich42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4259954.9%329 W · 270 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97f6…66e2backed Martin Krumich19c93$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.236532.3%21 W · 44 L-6.7wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-35.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Martin Krumich44c88.89$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.111,45854%787 W · 671 L-33.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+64.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Martin Krumich53c88.57$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.9573951.7%382 W · 357 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Martin Krumich45c88.38$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.771,47535.2%519 W · 956 L-14.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9888…e6febacked Martin Krumich72c85$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.072,44745.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd93e…7434backed Martin Krumich24c84.83$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.369450%47 W · 47 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x31e7…fe2abacked Martin Krumich39c84.62$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331,35638.3%520 W · 836 L+2.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Martin Krumich30c80$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.081,72552.2%901 W · 824 L-8.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Martin Krumich37c78.92$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.275,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1bf4…f4c3backed Felix Balshaw65c76.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.926538.5%25 W · 40 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1071…503bbacked Felix Balshaw77c76.36$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.741050%5 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-25.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcfdb…7a75backed Felix Balshaw66c75.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7612560%75 W · 50 L-9.3wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-12.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Felix Balshaw61c73.57$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.431,48747.5%706 W · 781 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Martin Krumich46c73.33$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.92,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd1e…4754backed Martin Krumich36c68.92$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8843444.9%195 W · 239 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf95b…3ea6backed Felix Balshaw30c65.07$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+229.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Martin Krumich44c64.62$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.524,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Felix Balshaw56c59.62$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2799244.7%443 W · 549 L-29.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c97…5c66backed Martin Krumich52c57.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3048355.1%266 W · 217 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Felix Balshaw53c54.94$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.766,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8bb…7cefbacked Martin Krumich37c54.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8836743.6%160 W · 207 L+0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4eb2…1bfcbacked Felix Balshaw34c53$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.9828055.4%155 W · 125 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Martin Krumich43c52.45$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.623,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Felix Balshaw76c52$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.484,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb48…73ccbacked Martin Krumich34c50.15$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.23per pick45cpaid-51%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Martin Krumich62c49$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.526,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Martin Krumich44c47.01$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.453,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabbc…04a3backed Martin Krumich65c46.15$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3018957.7%109 W · 80 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked Martin Krumich68c45.44$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8540350.6%204 W · 199 L+13.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x169e…de26backed Martin Krumich61c42.62$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c09…a12bbacked Martin Krumich47c42.53$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.93955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-7.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe741…a9d1backed Felix Balshaw52c42.3$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.2925948.6%126 W · 133 L-1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.