Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 76°F or higher on April 7?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x378c0ecfb8f9ad325f15e267b5eff170d5f3172b5741a34d99fd045d4aca02e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,969
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,461
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,969 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x670d…0fb1backed No | 1c | 1,001$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x570a…5e04backed No | 2c | 969.39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca71…610bbacked Yes | 58c | 642.1$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.38 | 108 | 65.7%71 W · 37 L | +13.2wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe07e…0e7ebacked No | 12c | 596.14$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.4 | 334 | 50.6%169 W · 165 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf787…1b63backed Yes | 47c | 532.36$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.32 | 432 | 38%164 W · 268 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…c336backed Yes | 74c | 498.18$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.6 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1685…97abbacked No | 6c | 429.83$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.27 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 49c | 412.02$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.65 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 69c | 405.38$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.84 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf31…454abacked No | 39c | 398.2$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.94 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 13c | 334.71$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.76 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3182…4ff7backed No | 56c | 328.92$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.76 | 141 | 68.1%96 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d6…e027backed No | 45c | 317.57$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.99 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x594e…1c11backed Yes | 61c | 317.09$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.19 | 661 | 44.5%294 W · 367 L | +57.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…88e1backed Yes | 44c | 296.47$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.54 | 1,298 | 33.1%430 W · 868 L | +39.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 32c | 271.78$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.25 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…c714backed Yes | 54c | 262$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.05 | 1,977 | 18.8%371 W · 1,606 L | +8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 10c | 232.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.93 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…6fe5backed Yes | 61c | 217.71$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.96 | 1,452 | 36.8%534 W · 918 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 46c | 216.52$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.56 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 65c | 215.64$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.48 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b1…79d7backed No | 46c | 208.84$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.28 | 889 | 73.2%651 W · 238 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec4…f4a4backed No | 40c | 189.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -8.6wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 31c | 178.16$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.88 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…9f82backed Yes | 72c | 174.74$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.2 | 1,455 | 24.7%359 W · 1,096 L | -33.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfca…645abacked No | 42c | 174.31$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.57 | 140 | 25.7%36 W · 104 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf012…7354backed No | 13c | 173.54$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.09 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2079…ca17backed Yes | 47c | 153$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.62 | 96 | 26%25 W · 71 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 45c | 149.82$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.52 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe712…9a10backed Yes | 50c | 148.42$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.31 | 868 | 47.7%414 W · 454 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 32c | 129.73$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.64 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0b…2116backed No | 53c | 126.6$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.03 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…2877backed No | 40c | 124.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1fa…047dbacked No | 33c | 123.36$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.18 | 94 | 28.7%27 W · 67 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c4…b153backed Yes | 40c | 116.62$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.52 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5245…00c4backed Yes | 63c | 115.07$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.73 | 296 | 40.5%120 W · 176 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0a…5f98backed Yes | 57c | 104.8$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.94 | 395 | 35.4%140 W · 255 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81a0…3e10backed Yes | 58c | 99.06$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.07 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd271…37e0backed Yes | 52c | 98.57$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.75 | 310 | 29.7%92 W · 218 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76a6…b7dcbacked Yes | 59c | 95.89$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.41 | 148 | 34.5%51 W · 97 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5d…9491backed No | 56c | 90.18$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 308 | 59.1%182 W · 126 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3f…f038backed No | 50c | 90$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 661 | 41.8%276 W · 385 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…0058backed No | 56c | 85.91$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e44…eec7backed Yes | 64c | 79.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes | 68c | 79.55$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.59 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 66c | 76.23$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.18 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4d…34b7backed No | 37c | 76.08$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x726c…e6f0backed No | 53c | 75.58$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.06 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc7…54abbacked No | 59c | 73.97$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.98 | 186 | 50.5%94 W · 92 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f62…62b7backed No | 53c | 70.77$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.51 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed Yes | 54c | 69.19$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 1,160 | 57.3%665 W · 495 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0b…961fbacked No | 48c | 68.41$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.95 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaafb…e81ebacked Yes | 54c | 59.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.49 | 152 | 75.7%115 W · 37 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ccd…383bbacked Yes | 60c | 58.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 208 | 66.8%139 W · 69 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1304…751ebacked No | 41c | 55.41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.87 | 130 | 67.7%88 W · 42 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x966c…087fbacked No | 39c | 50.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 441 | 47.4%209 W · 232 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 48c | 50.57$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.44 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5b…aea3backed Yes | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2b…3d17backed Yes | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 87 | 62.1%54 W · 33 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ad…1588backed No | 37c | 49.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2e…c770backed Yes | 47c | 49.98$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.49 | 395 | 41.3%163 W · 232 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b3…532cbacked No | 46c | 49.18$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.71 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a33…13f3backed Yes | 59c | 48.76$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.99 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 57c | 48.67$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 37c | 46.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x879e…e339backed Yes | 73c | 43.76$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.01 | 175 | 55.4%97 W · 78 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb779…4df3backed No | 43c | 43.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f0…b7b1backed No | 43c | 41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.47 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.33per pick | 55cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4c77…ff72backed Yes | 46c | 40.71$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.78 | 45 | 71.1%32 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb830…2ff3backed No | 47c | 40.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked No | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -59%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x395f…bd17backed No | 48c | 39.81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6526…9c80backed Yes | 56c | 39.56$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.41 | 123 | 37.4%46 W · 77 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd417…9438backed No | 49c | 38.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40fd…9f9fbacked No | 44c | 35.86$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 111 | 45%50 W · 61 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a28…0e02backed No | 49c | 35.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1d…7ff3backed Yes | 72c | 33.75$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66c2…85f4backed No | 39c | 33.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +106.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 40c | 32.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3506…ad95backed No | 47c | 32.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd01…d8cdbacked Yes | 50c | 32.55$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 332 | 43.1%143 W · 189 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x438d…925dbacked Yes | 59c | 32.39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.21 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb49f…1821backed No | 41c | 32.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 1,061 | 53.2%564 W · 497 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf9…96e1backed No | 46c | 31.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4066…2407backed Yes | 47c | 30.31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.01 | 132 | 43.9%58 W · 74 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 55c | 29.71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.51 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b4c…ab6fbacked No | 46c | 29.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…ae21backed Yes | 56c | 29.13$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.73 | 353 | 62.9%222 W · 131 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd979…4a18backed Yes | 55c | 28.88$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.08 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +4.7wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffd…e7c6backed No | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 516 | 31.6%163 W · 353 L | -29.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b1…6754backed Yes | 47c | 28.72$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.22 | 354 | 65%230 W · 124 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3222…79ccbacked Yes | 53c | 27.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.97 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a00…929bbacked Yes | 69c | 26.87$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 54c | 26.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28ab…2048backed Yes | 47c | 26.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4528…c882backed No | 42c | 25.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3066…1e7bbacked Yes | 58c | 24.78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 92 | 70.7%65 W · 27 L | +10.7wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa2…15eabacked No | 48c | 24.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 141 | 35.5%50 W · 91 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3e…de43backed No | 55c | 24.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 76°F or higher on April 7?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on April 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on April 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on April 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on April 7?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.