TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Bengaluru 2: Ryuki Matsuda vs Christopher Papa

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Christopher Papaof Ryuki Matsuda, Christopher Papa
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$47,970
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$46,666

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,970 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Christopher Papa59c2,631$1,563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,068.247,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0182…301cbacked Ryuki Matsuda57c2,626$1,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,489.1313360.9%81 W · 52 L+0.6wins0.00per pick60cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Ryuki Matsuda55c2,162$1,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,192.348,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4d3…c2f0backed Ryuki Matsuda51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02033556.7%190 W · 145 L-27.7wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-15.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Ryuki Matsuda35c1,863$654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653.684,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Ryuki Matsuda14c1,710$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.688,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Ryuki Matsuda43c1,394$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.1111,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Christopher Papa55c1,281$703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.654,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9366…a9f6backed Christopher Papa40c1,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-43.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x710c…78eabacked Christopher Papa66c762.53$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.591,04058.2%605 W · 435 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Ryuki Matsuda31c697.06$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.286,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5fd…852dbacked Ryuki Matsuda46c664.34$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Christopher Papa61c646.06$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.192,04946.8%958 W · 1,091 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked Christopher Papa26c626$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.1652854.9%290 W · 238 L+20.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Ryuki Matsuda60c618.64$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.561,61550.6%817 W · 798 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Christopher Papa49c592.1$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.462,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98af…b216backed Ryuki Matsuda21c460$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.9217617%30 W · 146 L-15.9wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-45.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Ryuki Matsuda42c364.19$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.391,02843.3%445 W · 583 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Ryuki Matsuda58c344.82$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Christopher Papa38c308.66$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.372,46238.5%948 W · 1,514 L+93.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f6a…9888backed Christopher Papa53c246$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.621,22255%672 W · 550 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Ryuki Matsuda43c209.18$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.135,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x94a1…2075backed Christopher Papa41c199.99$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.996344.4%28 W · 35 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Christopher Papa21c178.08$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.686,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2728…4f96backed Ryuki Matsuda60c166.75$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002450%12 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ec8…e91abacked Christopher Papa67c150.28$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.591464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Ryuki Matsuda17c150$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.569438%264 W · 430 L+21.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Christopher Papa38c147.15$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.233,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ced…9753backed Christopher Papa38c147.15$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.233834.2%13 W · 25 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd69…91e4backed Christopher Papa71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.852100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Ryuki Matsuda55c130.82$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.992,08544.5%928 W · 1,157 L-51.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d29…f683backed Ryuki Matsuda59c130$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.433647.3%159 W · 177 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Christopher Papa66c126.68$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.813,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Christopher Papa38c120.67$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.773,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Ryuki Matsuda50c115.68$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.311,17451.9%609 W · 565 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Christopher Papa71c110.24$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.974,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Christopher Papa54c107.32$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.98,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a20…d606backed Christopher Papa71c103$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8792674.6%691 W · 235 L+1.7wins0.00per pick74cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Christopher Papa39c102.56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.567,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Ryuki Matsuda49c100.87$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.194,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Christopher Papa63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.141,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d18…6f62backed Ryuki Matsuda62c100$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6256062.5%350 W · 210 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc74d…9690backed Ryuki Matsuda17c100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1729039.3%114 W · 176 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed Christopher Papa38c100$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621,07655.5%597 W · 479 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda45…a2c6backed Ryuki Matsuda58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584850%24 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbbc…2b70backed Ryuki Matsuda17c100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1739941.9%167 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Ryuki Matsuda42c99.12$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.831,35443.9%595 W · 759 L-62.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-24.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfbad…4f53backed Ryuki Matsuda40c99.07$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4035444.6%158 W · 196 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Christopher Papa56c92.51$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.758639.6%232 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe71…8437backed Ryuki Matsuda48c84.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.4211239.3%44 W · 68 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ed1…18a8backed Christopher Papa52c69$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.1213256.1%74 W · 58 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+0.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9d3e…986cbacked Christopher Papa57c68.7$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.5463648%305 W · 331 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4ec…1cc8backed Ryuki Matsuda31c67.74$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2132333.4%108 W · 215 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f1c…390dbacked Ryuki Matsuda61c66.95$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.1110144.6%45 W · 56 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+49.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Christopher Papa49c66.66$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341,14853%608 W · 540 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Christopher Papa64c62.84$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.444,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Ryuki Matsuda33c57.18$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.872,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1831…6c99backed Christopher Papa77c54$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3835187.7%308 W · 43 L+66.4wins+0.19per pick69cpaid+29.6%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0xee11…19a9backed Christopher Papa39c52.62$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.17244.4%32 W · 40 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0862…dc29backed Ryuki Matsuda47c51$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9751339.4%202 W · 311 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x782b…ff64backed Ryuki Matsuda57c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4131366.8%209 W · 104 L+27.1wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x87d1…3744backed Christopher Papa60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201,10466.9%739 W · 365 L+36.9wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x78d2…d224backed Christopher Papa49c47.97$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.598665.1%56 W · 30 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Christopher Papa37c45.98$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.972,22945%1,002 W · 1,227 L+3.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11e3…5a40backed Ryuki Matsuda46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x629c…3f90backed Christopher Papa71c42.25$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2515570.3%109 W · 46 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84c7…bea7backed Christopher Papa36c41.67$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6766452.3%347 W · 317 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05b7…c24abacked Ryuki Matsuda61c39.59$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1515346.4%71 W · 82 L-11.1wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-13.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x28d6…ae27backed Christopher Papa51c39.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.172100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+106.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Ryuki Matsuda46c35.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3895846.6%446 W · 512 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49c5…3de7backed Ryuki Matsuda36c35$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4520857.2%119 W · 89 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc04c…cebfbacked Ryuki Matsuda55c34.45$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9567178.7%528 W · 143 L+49.1wins+0.07per pick71cpaid+10.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Ryuki Matsuda61c34.11$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.644,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0f6…a5eebacked Ryuki Matsuda53c33.62$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8259954.9%329 W · 270 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0199…4e86backed Ryuki Matsuda61c32.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012166.9%81 W · 40 L+10.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+12.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Ryuki Matsuda62c32.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,63955.1%903 W · 736 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Ryuki Matsuda63c32.16$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.262,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Ryuki Matsuda61c30$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.374955.1%413 W · 336 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Ryuki Matsuda59c28.47$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.82,41851.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L+10.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b81…88e7backed Ryuki Matsuda57c26.31$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1523658.1%137 W · 99 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x60a3…3850backed Ryuki Matsuda43c25.13$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6985624.4%209 W · 647 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Ryuki Matsuda57c25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1517460.3%105 W · 69 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f5f…8716backed Ryuki Matsuda60c25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xed0d…3646backed Ryuki Matsuda49c21.84$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.715454.5%84 W · 70 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Ryuki Matsuda53c20.37$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.81,21841.1%500 W · 718 L-30.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9132…6607backed Christopher Papa59c20.34$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.3416242%68 W · 94 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3368…2079backed Ryuki Matsuda59c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.82123.8%5 W · 16 L-4.0wins-0.19per pick43cpaid-46.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x352b…abd8backed Ryuki Matsuda50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1016046.3%74 W · 86 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed Christopher Papa54c19.98$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.13770.3%26 W · 11 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5151…fba8backed Christopher Papa71c17.47$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.0638074.5%283 W · 97 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick73cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9555…889abacked Christopher Papa70c16.31$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.8958067.8%393 W · 187 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.