Tennis · resolved market
Oeiras 4: Laslo Djere vs Colton Smith
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x444b7a50205063ceb2ee6673135c974c3167e879438a4523bcb1ae0b62fde107
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Laslo Djereof Laslo Djere, Colton Smith
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $81,734
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,423
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,734 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc4c3…2e3fbacked Laslo Djere | 7c | 21,360$1,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,841.77 | 33 | 6.1%2 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Laslo Djere | 13c | 7,151$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,189.03 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Laslo Djere | 14c | 3,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,579.99 | 4,760 | 49.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L | +176.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Laslo Djere | 8c | 2,617$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,405.34 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Laslo Djere | 21c | 2,001$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,580.99 | 3,884 | 35%1,358 W · 2,526 L | +92.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb5…a35dbacked Laslo Djere | 10c | 1,698$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,522.58 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Laslo Djere | 20c | 1,534$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,233.99 | 3,319 | 48.4%1,605 W · 1,714 L | -52.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed Colton Smith | 79c | 1,365$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.13 | 567 | 57.1%324 W · 243 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3354…5042backed Laslo Djere | 15c | 1,326$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125.68 | 173 | 59.5%103 W · 70 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Colton Smith | 79c | 1,258$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 949 | 68.1%646 W · 303 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Laslo Djere | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790 | 856 | 34.2%293 W · 563 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Laslo Djere | 20c | 999.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.98 | 317 | 36.9%117 W · 200 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Laslo Djere | 20c | 985.89$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.71 | 1,425 | 55.1%785 W · 640 L | +23.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe6…a99fbacked Laslo Djere | 4c | 820.75$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.93 | 759 | 12.1%92 W · 667 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9366…a9f6backed Colton Smith | 79c | 784.2$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.52 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Laslo Djere | 4c | 596.92$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.95 | 5,009 | 41.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L | -82.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Laslo Djere | 20c | 518.43$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.74 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Laslo Djere | 12c | 480.25$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.37 | 351 | 32.2%113 W · 238 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Laslo Djere | 15c | 325.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.11 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Laslo Djere | 16c | 323.75$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.95 | 2,099 | 44.5%935 W · 1,164 L | -51.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Laslo Djere | 20c | 307.34$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.14 | 2,521 | 38.4%969 W · 1,552 L | +93.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ced…9753backed Laslo Djere | 20c | 293.85$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.08 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Laslo Djere | 22c | 272.6$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.63 | 1,702 | 48.3%822 W · 880 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Laslo Djere | 20c | 230$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 345 | 49.9%172 W · 173 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Colton Smith | 20c | 227.65$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.31 | 1,001 | 45.4%454 W · 547 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Laslo Djere | 23c | 218.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.04 | 363 | 49.6%180 W · 183 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Colton Smith | 79c | 205.06$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60a3…3850backed Laslo Djere | 8c | 204.49$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.87 | 856 | 24.4%209 W · 647 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…39dabacked Laslo Djere | 20c | 186.71$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.37 | 185 | 51.9%96 W · 89 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x389d…995fbacked Laslo Djere | 20c | 186.71$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.37 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49c8…3c52backed Laslo Djere | 18c | 180.41$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.94 | 202 | 34.2%69 W · 133 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Laslo Djere | 18c | 173.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.76 | 1,824 | 46.5%849 W · 975 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Laslo Djere | 22c | 162.41$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.68 | 1,754 | 49.1%862 W · 892 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…20bebacked Laslo Djere | 8c | 157$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.44 | 482 | 14.1%68 W · 414 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Colton Smith | 78c | 150$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.55 | 430 | 67%288 W · 142 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Laslo Djere | 13c | 144.31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.76 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b3…4756backed Laslo Djere | 20c | 136.71$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.37 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…979abacked Laslo Djere | 20c | 136.71$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.37 | 181 | 48.1%87 W · 94 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Laslo Djere | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.33 | 1,456 | 45.1%656 W · 800 L | +42.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Colton Smith | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 855 | 68.3%584 W · 271 L | +24.6wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Laslo Djere | 13c | 125.61$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.72 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Laslo Djere | 21c | 112.96$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.67 | 491 | 42.8%210 W · 281 L | -15.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e39…fe16backed Laslo Djere | 18c | 108.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.83 | 716 | 21.1%151 W · 565 L | -29.3wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf83…915dbacked Laslo Djere | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 646 | 37.2%240 W · 406 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe658…2c42backed Colton Smith | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Laslo Djere | 19c | 87.84$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.15 | 503 | 40%201 W · 302 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Colton Smith | 78c | 82.23$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.19 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Laslo Djere | 18c | 70.84$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.77 | 190 | 51.1%97 W · 93 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Colton Smith | 19c | 67.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 1,120 | 56.5%633 W · 487 L | +52.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91d8…2a3ebacked Laslo Djere | 18c | 65.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.04 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Colton Smith | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 897 | 54.6%490 W · 407 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Colton Smith | 79c | 63.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d7…d801backed Colton Smith | 77c | 52.06$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 336 | 55.1%185 W · 151 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91c6…e35bbacked Colton Smith | 79c | 51.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.07 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -4.8wins | -0.30per pick | 61cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4ded…68a3backed Colton Smith | 80c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 885 | 60.2%533 W · 352 L | -13.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf39…3394backed Laslo Djere | 21c | 48.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.45 | 334 | 62.6%209 W · 125 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Laslo Djere | 23c | 44.69$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.41 | 2,087 | 54.1%1,130 W · 957 L | +64.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1c…390dbacked Colton Smith | 80c | 30.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.54 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Laslo Djere | 78c | 26.58$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.85 | 904 | 59.5%538 W · 366 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9081…8a6ebacked Colton Smith | 77c | 25.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 417 | 68.1%284 W · 133 L | -21.4wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Colton Smith | 79c | 22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…5eeabacked Laslo Djere | 80c | 18.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 230 | 73.9%170 W · 60 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 78cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca6e…acfabacked Colton Smith | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -5.7wins | -0.20per pick | 59cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x81a2…a062backed Colton Smith | 79c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 74cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Colton Smith | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.