CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: UPGRADE vs Black Phoenix (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd24d5cd8d7c8a7c03f885206bb7f118d94f9e26dfdfd4172e564dbacabcf4952
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Black Phoenixof UPGRADE, Black Phoenix
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $114,970
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $123,279
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,970 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Black Phoenix | 50c | 44,214$22,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,995.85 | 5,194 | 55.2%2,869 W · 2,325 L | +131.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked UPGRADE | 50c | 30,000$14,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,900 | 797 | 52.7%420 W · 377 L | +27.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd2…6657backed UPGRADE | 50c | 6,666$3,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,333 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked UPGRADE | 51c | 6,410$3,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,280.9 | 1,054 | 52.6%554 W · 500 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…f2d0backed Black Phoenix | 51c | 4,800$2,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,349.05 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | +7.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…3dddbacked Black Phoenix | 51c | 3,489$1,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,714.93 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -4.0wins | -0.25per pick | 56cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Black Phoenix | 49c | 2,121$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.83 | 1,710 | 53.2%909 W · 801 L | +65.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaaa…74d8backed UPGRADE | 49c | 2,070$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…ca3fbacked UPGRADE | 55c | 1,900$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.89 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Black Phoenix | 50c | 1,796$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.08 | 2,561 | 43.2%1,107 W · 1,454 L | +42.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9c…a518backed UPGRADE | 50c | 1,538$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.23 | 188 | 45.2%85 W · 103 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf404…daaabacked Black Phoenix | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 117 | 33.3%39 W · 78 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f41…547cbacked UPGRADE | 49c | 1,460$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712 | 247 | 47%116 W · 131 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked UPGRADE | 50c | 1,400$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 200 | 52%104 W · 96 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e18…872ebacked Black Phoenix | 50c | 1,201$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.25 | 114 | 71.1%81 W · 33 L | +18.2wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Black Phoenix | 50c | 1,111$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.5 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed UPGRADE | 50c | 1,070$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.98 | 358 | 54.2%194 W · 164 L | +13.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Black Phoenix | 49c | 1,063$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.54 | 2,608 | 41.2%1,075 W · 1,533 L | -123.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…00c9backed UPGRADE | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8e…0c69backed UPGRADE | 38c | 999.99$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 337 | 37.7%127 W · 210 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7498…8b4dbacked Black Phoenix | 72c | 919.82$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.36 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed UPGRADE | 48c | 834.5$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 332 | 43.4%144 W · 188 L | -15.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Black Phoenix | 50c | 816.32$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.16 | 500 | 55.2%276 W · 224 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…2d3dbacked Black Phoenix | 62c | 778.68$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.73 | 379 | 39.8%151 W · 228 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3e…5c5ebacked Black Phoenix | 48c | 753.75$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.6 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xadd6…8efebacked UPGRADE | 58c | 719.48$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Black Phoenix | 69c | 710.91$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.87 | 269 | 75.5%203 W · 66 L | +25.9wins | +0.10per pick | 66cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed UPGRADE | 50c | 707.21$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.61 | 634 | 54.6%346 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed UPGRADE | 57c | 706.41$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.92 | 227 | 52.9%120 W · 107 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Black Phoenix | 50c | 640.54$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.55 | 2,071 | 54%1,119 W · 952 L | +14.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6c…a2c3backed UPGRADE | 54c | 610.09$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.4 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fda…330cbacked UPGRADE | 50c | 610$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.03 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Black Phoenix | 49c | 569$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.19 | 223 | 53.8%120 W · 103 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1242…9077backed UPGRADE | 49c | 567$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.56 | 127 | 43.3%55 W · 72 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Black Phoenix | 50c | 548.97$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.97 | 135 | 67.4%91 W · 44 L | +19.1wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Black Phoenix | 48c | 507.77$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.97 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4923…6866backed Black Phoenix | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | +9.2wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…9e14backed Black Phoenix | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked UPGRADE | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 112 | 39.3%44 W · 68 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked UPGRADE | 47c | 496.9$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.7 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4212…f0d3backed UPGRADE | 48c | 496$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.08 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Black Phoenix | 64c | 477.59$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.03 | 3,375 | 45.7%1,542 W · 1,833 L | -84.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e65…694fbacked UPGRADE | 47c | 475.56$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.27 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -5.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Black Phoenix | 55c | 451.74$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.89 | 2,293 | 43.3%994 W · 1,299 L | -70.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6117…29ffbacked Black Phoenix | 57c | 439.84$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.73 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -5.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed UPGRADE | 48c | 434$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.32 | 2,732 | 30.3%829 W · 1,903 L | -120.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked UPGRADE | 49c | 403.43$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.45 | 805 | 34%274 W · 531 L | -51.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfabe…f1c9backed UPGRADE | 38c | 400$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d39…5408backed UPGRADE | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Black Phoenix | 51c | 400$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 605 | 41%248 W · 357 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Black Phoenix | 54c | 399.99$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.08 | 5,183 | 37.1%1,924 W · 3,259 L | -274.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c76…fcc2backed Black Phoenix | 40c | 366.07$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.06 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -4.5wins | -0.26per pick | 44cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1c81…5518backed Black Phoenix | 62c | 348.58$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.46 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked UPGRADE | 39c | 344.53$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.98 | 4,879 | 43.4%2,116 W · 2,763 L | -93.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb21b…88f9backed UPGRADE | 51c | 343.14$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 521 | 55.1%287 W · 234 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Black Phoenix | 52c | 340$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.2 | 5,954 | 37.7%2,247 W · 3,707 L | +77.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbab8…7edbbacked UPGRADE | 77c | 333.95$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +400%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Black Phoenix | 44c | 328.06$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.28 | 922 | 31.2%288 W · 634 L | -63.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9a…000dbacked UPGRADE | 48c | 314$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.72 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0241…fd36backed UPGRADE | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 416 | 55.3%230 W · 186 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed UPGRADE | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…70e3backed Black Phoenix | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Black Phoenix | 48c | 300$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157 | 693 | 48.2%334 W · 359 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42ce…c190backed UPGRADE | 42c | 290.48$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc386…386fbacked Black Phoenix | 52c | 287.23$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.11 | 272 | 45.2%123 W · 149 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee83…bc59backed UPGRADE | 53c | 282$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.46 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddd…1ad3backed UPGRADE | 50c | 281.22$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.66 | 187 | 54%101 W · 86 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed UPGRADE | 55c | 271.96$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.84 | 728 | 60.2%438 W · 290 L | +72.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked UPGRADE | 50c | 269.63$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.61 | 8,133 | 50.3%4,091 W · 4,042 L | +169.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75d…0717backed UPGRADE | 38c | 263.01$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…afaebacked UPGRADE | 48c | 262.42$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.96 | 126 | 42.9%54 W · 72 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Black Phoenix | 58c | 256.89$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.11 | 6,540 | 42.9%2,805 W · 3,735 L | -81.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b8…abf5backed UPGRADE | 51c | 256.47$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.41 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7f…2d2dbacked Black Phoenix | 64c | 255$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +98.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed UPGRADE | 54c | 254.02$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.99 | 623 | 42.7%266 W · 357 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Black Phoenix | 48c | 233$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 1,984 | 42.2%838 W · 1,146 L | -74.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed UPGRADE | 50c | 230.22$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.11 | 454 | 52.2%237 W · 217 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Black Phoenix | 47c | 229$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.08 | 356 | 44.4%158 W · 198 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f20…934fbacked Black Phoenix | 45c | 227.24$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.98 | 356 | 63.5%226 W · 130 L | +21.2wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x797b…26d2backed UPGRADE | 53c | 226.41$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e83…00aabacked UPGRADE | 49c | 218.45$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.04 | 181 | 41.4%75 W · 106 L | -11.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0f59backed UPGRADE | 39c | 205.13$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 238 | 45.8%109 W · 129 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked UPGRADE | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 282 | 44.7%126 W · 156 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb49d…f760backed Black Phoenix | 50c | 197.03$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.7 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x230b…d318backed UPGRADE | 62c | 193.49$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.58 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3187…f61abacked UPGRADE | 54c | 184.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Black Phoenix | 49c | 182.75$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.2 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked UPGRADE | 49c | 177$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.73 | 591 | 34.7%205 W · 386 L | -14.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Black Phoenix | 39c | 167.4$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.81 | 312 | 47.8%149 W · 163 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked UPGRADE | 38c | 165.82$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.31 | 3,706 | 29.5%1,093 W · 2,613 L | -297.7wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked UPGRADE | 50c | 160$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0c…dac0backed UPGRADE | 57c | 157$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.62 | 458 | 75.8%347 W · 111 L | +25.4wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked UPGRADE | 51c | 156$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.56 | 205 | 39%80 W · 125 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed UPGRADE | 50c | 155.52$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.14 | 4,165 | 50.9%2,119 W · 2,046 L | +70.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9330…1deebacked UPGRADE | 59c | 150$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ef…f7a1backed UPGRADE | 50c | 148.04$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.5 | 160 | 60%96 W · 64 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66da…69b0backed UPGRADE | 50c | 145.08$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.54 | 288 | 41.7%120 W · 168 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…e006backed Black Phoenix | 45c | 145$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.75 | 407 | 40%163 W · 244 L | +30.2wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc28f…6193backed UPGRADE | 61c | 142.61$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.26 | 115 | 53.9%62 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4b…ecc5backed UPGRADE | 49c | 130.54$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.54 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: UPGRADE vs Black Phoenix (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: UPGRADE vs Black Phoenix - Map 1 WinnerBlack Phoenix won
- Counter-Strike: UPGRADE vs Black Phoenix - Map 2 WinnerUPGRADE won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.