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Champions League · resolved market

Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-08-26?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$885,334
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$917,303

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $885,334 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 310 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6501…1220backed No26c276,261$72,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72,071.88837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes73c50,151$36,605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,546.281,06236.3%386 W · 676 L+24.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x821d…cf16backed Yes70c37,578$26,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,435.036144.3%27 W · 34 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed No57c31,457$17,785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,785.317133.8%24 W · 47 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes68c30,971$21,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,936.3646533.8%157 W · 308 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-38.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed No22c30,000$6,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,599.4411345.1%51 W · 62 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes75c29,410$22,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,264.031,14135.4%404 W · 737 L-15.0wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes74c25,058$18,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,570.0254239.5%214 W · 328 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes54c22,707$12,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,467.438356.6%47 W · 36 L+7.8wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+32.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6afc…f7ddbacked No36c21,117$7,634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,633.73520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-74.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes72c19,695$14,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,419.281,59639.8%636 W · 960 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-16.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes75c19,000$14,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,75010950.5%55 W · 54 L+9.3wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+80.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes74c18,475$13,637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,838.220936.8%77 W · 132 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed No44c17,484$7,657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,657.185545.5%25 W · 30 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Yes73c17,364$12,665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,698.762060%12 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+17.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Yes52c10,141$5,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,826.22657.7%15 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3b62…5cc8backed No34c10,000$3,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,399.051540%6 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Yes74c10,000$7,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,60011346%52 W · 61 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No27c9,333$2,514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,513.5311659.5%69 W · 47 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+11.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes65c7,646$4,963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,683.249442.6%40 W · 54 L+0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes74c7,595$5,622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,972.6539043.6%170 W · 220 L-11.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80cf…30aabacked Yes50c7,494$3,753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,740.881181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.9wins+0.26per pick56cpaid+55.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Yes59c7,463$4,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,095.44641.3%19 W · 27 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf584…3979backed No45c7,448$3,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,369.85450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes53c6,271$3,329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,941.9563137.7%238 W · 393 L-27.4wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-24.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x98a6…ae20backed Yes80c6,104$4,853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,250.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46ca…ac4cbacked Yes77c6,089$4,717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,371.471369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes25c5,839$1,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,384.4118141.4%75 W · 106 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Yes55c5,445$3,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,426.963148.4%15 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4bc5…e563backed Yes62c5,395$3,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,039.532941.4%12 W · 17 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick32cpaid-14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe23c…5ae7backed Yes59c5,347$3,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,192.21118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick30cpaid-69.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes74c5,280$3,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,359.9651746.2%239 W · 278 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes75c5,243$3,917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,326.1641743.4%181 W · 236 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x611a…c8e9backed Yes60c4,681$2,818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,863.041070%7 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+21.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes74c4,500$3,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1805545.5%25 W · 30 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick40cpaid-5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed No24c4,113$986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$986.428460.7%51 W · 33 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9030…4a23backed No77c4,056$3,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,123.31450%7 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-22%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf97…2cb3backed Yes50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0001681.3%13 W · 3 L+4.9wins+0.30per pick51cpaid+84.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No74c3,919$2,914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,914.0370446.3%326 W · 378 L-21.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7349…cc3abacked Yes75c3,917$2,937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.891040%4 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-30%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5a…87efbacked Yes26c3,846$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,846.154839.6%19 W · 29 L+4.6wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+91.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No76c3,708$2,802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,802.0449751.9%258 W · 239 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cfd…95c4backed Yes25c3,215$802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,412.87366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick27cpaid+157%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes70c3,149$2,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$952.2979935.3%282 W · 517 L-36.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-31.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed No76c2,807$2,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,131.9919447.9%93 W · 101 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55b9…a814backed Yes75c2,453$1,852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601.461450%7 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed01…83a8backed Yes61c2,347$1,429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$918.072100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+74.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes32c2,315$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,565.4528636.4%104 W · 182 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-22.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6739…132cbacked Yes35c2,284$796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,488.25333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick19cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes33c2,194$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,465.1842850.2%215 W · 213 L+25.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa0b8…e424backed No77c2,080$1,602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,601.571136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-30.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f8a…01cdbacked No42c2,069$869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$868.973040%12 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes25c1,953$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,474.329945.5%45 W · 54 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes59c1,949$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$798.7732931.9%105 W · 224 L-26.8wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-44.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed Yes77c1,940$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.945955.9%33 W · 26 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No75c1,822$1,367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,366.7339042.3%165 W · 225 L-14.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9db…6789backed No39c1,741$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.321346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+39.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4348…f08abacked No24c1,596$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.432763%17 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5a4a…3da9backed No33c1,545$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.8530%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No40c1,541$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.172070%14 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No75c1,524$1,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,143.461741.5%256 W · 361 L-21.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8973…f760backed Yes45c1,500$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8252931%9 W · 20 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick23cpaid+65.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbcba…c950backed Yes45c1,441$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$797.212045%9 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xad31…c93abacked Yes31c1,429$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$985.712560%15 W · 10 L+4.0wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+104.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes25c1,393$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,044.7212339.8%49 W · 74 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb3…97cfbacked No45c1,374$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.271338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+75.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked No76c1,320$1,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,003.1216852.4%88 W · 80 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-5.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f6…e517backed Yes76c1,316$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.79250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes74c1,294$953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.6513349.6%66 W · 67 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No75c1,215$914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$914.052,10143.6%917 W · 1,184 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76bc…fccabacked Yes32c1,201$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812.718041.3%33 W · 47 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes23c1,090$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$839.35450%27 W · 27 L+7.7wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+36.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd23a…d952backed No22c1,088$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.5520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Yes78c1,062$829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.617846.2%36 W · 42 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked No25c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502941.4%12 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+22.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f40…eb64backed Yes23c1,000$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77012236.9%45 W · 77 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5652…00c9backed No75c1,000$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7502147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2614…4442backed Yes76c999.99$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2401442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+43.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6509…2dc5backed No24c960.54$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.57333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-55%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x03ed…c077backed No76c931.92$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.269360.2%56 W · 37 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9618…77e6backed No45c909.09$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.092532%8 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick32cpaid+10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes60c877.77$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.6126145.6%119 W · 142 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb399…9435backed Yes46c858.47$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.294247.6%20 W · 22 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+24.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4941…a2bebacked No24c843.05$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20040%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed No3c804.52$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.14825%2 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick17cpaid+259.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked No2c800$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.82817.9%5 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-61.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ac3…00b2backed No39c780.63$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.23366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+79.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x36ab…d5a7backed Yes36c779.82$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.231233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+13.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5128…13d9backed Yes26c769.47$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked No41c768.61$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.1810546.7%49 W · 56 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-23.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2393…d54dbacked Yes25c757.61$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.563834.2%13 W · 25 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick24cpaid+20.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked No23c700$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.310945%49 W · 60 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed No77c689.17$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.6597332.2%313 W · 660 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Yes34c683.54$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.142245.5%10 W · 12 L+4.5wins+0.21per pick25cpaid+49.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe0b0…5294backed Yes76c679.98$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-55.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22af…399abacked No24c674.44$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.875226.9%14 W · 38 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes23c625.21$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.4136744.4%163 W · 204 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No74c600$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44423747.7%113 W · 124 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x487e…0d66backed Yes25c600$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick31cpaid+140.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes24c597$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.937345.2%33 W · 40 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.