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Champions League · resolved market

Will Olympique Lyonnais vs. Fenerbahçe SK end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$296,753
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$302,685

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $296,753 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 194 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1610…ae49backed Yes26c99,483$25,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,418.26540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Yes28c54,317$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f00…73cebacked Yes28c33,507$9,476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,475.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0353…c2ffbacked Yes26c24,996$6,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,469.454429.5%13 W · 31 L-6.7wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-32.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x927c…6633backed No76c24,300$18,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,939.99650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No75c16,460$12,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,196.379935.3%282 W · 517 L-36.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-31.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed No72c16,000$11,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,4802944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No73c12,556$9,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,400.770446.3%326 W · 378 L-21.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed No72c12,447$8,962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,485.252060%12 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+17.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x821d…cf16backed No77c9,164$7,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,120.036144.3%27 W · 34 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No72c7,414$5,351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,062.961741.5%256 W · 361 L-21.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2829…12a0backed No72c7,400$5,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0721100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc42…6bd4backed No72c7,200$5,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,016250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No73c6,612$4,855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,756.9451746.2%239 W · 278 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x322e…ef2cbacked No72c6,000$4,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,680366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No72c5,190$3,758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,431.8146533.8%157 W · 308 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-38.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b4e…5c01backed No74c5,176$3,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,345.77250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked No72c5,000$3,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4001656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x77fe…a351backed Yes20c4,519$894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$893.59757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+15.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No73c4,109$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,109.4328747.4%136 W · 151 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No73c3,636$2,647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$988.7549751.9%258 W · 239 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed No73c3,483$2,534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$948.8719447.9%93 W · 101 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No74c3,084$2,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801.822,10143.6%917 W · 1,184 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No69c3,037$2,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$928.6732931.9%105 W · 224 L-26.8wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-44.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No73c3,000$2,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$817.5157347.6%273 W · 300 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55b9…a814backed No78c2,587$2,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.91450%7 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked No68c2,533$1,714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819.093271.9%23 W · 9 L+6.7wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+57.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No74c2,412$1,781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.59442.6%40 W · 54 L+0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No70c2,405$1,688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.663137.7%238 W · 393 L-27.4wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-24.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No72c2,232$1,609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.655259.6%31 W · 21 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed No79c2,096$1,646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.918357.8%48 W · 35 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid+1.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked No72c2,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5603857.9%22 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5652…00c9backed No74c2,000$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5302147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73f6…a10abacked No72c2,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560887.5%7 W · 1 L+3.2wins+0.39per pick48cpaid+89.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed No72c2,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5605749.1%28 W · 29 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No73c2,000$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55039042.3%165 W · 225 L-14.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No72c1,887$1,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.8835746.8%167 W · 190 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No73c1,743$1,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.3736744.4%163 W · 204 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No78c1,642$1,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.442070%14 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked Yes45c1,431$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.344969.4%34 W · 15 L+6.8wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+46.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1430…a753backed No73c1,397$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.264332.6%14 W · 29 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick36cpaid+1.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x98fc…a4a2backed No74c1,351$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.35250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89a6…429abacked No74c1,345$995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No74c1,185$877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30811659.5%69 W · 47 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+11.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked No73c1,176$858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.4911346%52 W · 61 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked No68c1,155$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.4510546.7%49 W · 56 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-23.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8e90…4f65backed No74c1,040$764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.025754.4%31 W · 26 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6e0…ff0fbacked No72c1,000$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2802065%13 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+28%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x64ef…befcbacked No72c1,000$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2801687.5%14 W · 2 L+5.3wins+0.33per pick54cpaid+68.2%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked Yes52c958.58$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.734158.5%24 W · 17 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+24.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Yes53c938.92$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.737070%49 W · 21 L+10.2wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+31.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No77c877.04$677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.1211742.7%50 W · 67 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-28.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No72c849.99$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.5316852.4%88 W · 80 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Yes28c802.54$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.718460.7%51 W · 33 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes16c736.47$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.651,59639.8%636 W · 960 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-16.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x071c…bab9backed Yes8c625$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504242.9%18 W · 24 L+4.7wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+43.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes33c617.8$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.7640253.7%216 W · 186 L+22.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+16.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd4c3…60d9backed Yes17c600$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1022365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+22.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No72c600$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16823747.7%113 W · 124 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No73c600$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1623863.2%24 W · 14 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes17c588.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007529.3%22 W · 53 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick25cpaid+23.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x307e…a827backed Yes22c572.87$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5577…53d2backed No64c560$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.231250%6 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+113.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27d2…b0f8backed No74c531.08$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.08475%3 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick77cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes57c518.03$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.067265.3%47 W · 25 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+25%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f58…d93abacked Yes30c515$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.53444.1%15 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf45…c508backed No73c500$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1353435.3%12 W · 22 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-31.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes19c500$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.412846.9%60 W · 68 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeb46…48efbacked No72c500$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1408100%8 W · 0 L+3.7wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+109.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf12d…0fddbacked Yes23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+22.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No73c400$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1082962.1%18 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x613a…2185backed Yes26c371$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.46850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-13%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x78e1…7337backed Yes28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002050%10 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fae…b849backed Yes28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001450%7 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes27c319.44$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.797332.2%313 W · 660 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa29…9ce5backed Yes27c298.32$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.862937.9%11 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0580…e50dbacked Yes27c294.44$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaaca…f5d5backed No73c294.01$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.382236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-47%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No79c283.92$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.4639043.6%170 W · 220 L-11.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed No74c273.47$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.11361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked No62c272.92$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.962937.9%11 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-32.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked No72c265.03$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.358318.1%15 W · 68 L-7.1wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-69.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003756.8%21 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+15.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fb2…9811backed Yes28c250.29$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94bb…02ccbacked No72c250$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703959%23 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7403…b24abacked Yes23c241.29$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554250%21 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca10backed No41c241$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1413458.8%20 W · 14 L+8.1wins+0.24per pick35cpaid+93.4%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes27c240.58$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.428636.4%104 W · 182 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-22.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7525…fd3cbacked No73c205.48$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.481040%4 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick33cpaid-14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1002…1ef5backed Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503542.9%15 W · 20 L-3.7wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-24.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed No72c200$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564050%20 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked No73c200$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545259.6%31 W · 21 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked No73c200$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544959.2%29 W · 20 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked No73c200$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544365.1%28 W · 15 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+14.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No73c200$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548457.1%48 W · 36 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No73c200$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545166.7%34 W · 17 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+17%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed No74c199.99$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5223145.9%106 W · 125 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No73c199.99$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546564.6%42 W · 23 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+14.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed No55c199$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.985549.1%27 W · 28 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50ab…144bbacked Yes16c187.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick23cpaid+33.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.