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Champions League · resolved market

Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-08-26?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$453,824
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$451,026

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $453,824 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 296 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x20b8…aa04backed No53c129,411$68,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61,011.29666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+35.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1610…ae49backed Yes47c114,527$53,828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53,827.76540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a39…b0b9backed Yes47c40,884$19,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,215.43450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed No49c30,000$14,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,199.864156.1%23 W · 18 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+28.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ea2…e8e5backed No53c25,000$13,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,7503100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+52.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No51c24,115$12,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,843.664351.2%22 W · 21 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0353…c2ffbacked Yes46c23,001$10,486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,486.214429.5%13 W · 31 L-6.7wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-32.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe0ac…de2abacked No53c20,000$10,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,4002100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+179.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes10c14,263$1,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,361.581,59639.8%636 W · 960 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-16.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x495d…68d8backed Yes48c11,866$5,662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,662.162250%11 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x821d…cf16backed Yes33c10,525$3,492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,492.286144.3%27 W · 34 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes51c10,000$5,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,10011345.1%51 W · 62 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb31…fe71backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1040%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4e…e5b7backed Yes50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0001118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.25per pick43cpaid-59.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No49c9,975$4,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,055.052,10143.6%917 W · 1,184 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes13c7,456$973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972.8354239.5%214 W · 328 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x885f…8ed9backed Yes48c6,457$3,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,099.351040%4 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-26.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb3a…d1ccbacked No78c6,374$4,967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,407.051353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Yes50c5,981$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000.2716852.4%88 W · 80 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-5.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed Yes50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5007250%36 W · 36 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+20.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9f2f…2ca8backed Yes48c5,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,400540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-31.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe23c…5ae7backed Yes4c5,000$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.991118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick30cpaid-69.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes47c4,990$2,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,340.4751746.2%239 W · 278 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes49c4,936$2,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,421.118141.4%75 W · 106 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No70c4,418$3,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,322.3141743.4%181 W · 236 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6d1…286abacked No51c4,214$2,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,045.2875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+45.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes48c4,111$1,965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,964.8961741.5%256 W · 361 L-21.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc638…43b4backed No50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,000580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+58.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7cfd…9227backed No50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,000250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes50c3,593$1,803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,802.6897332.2%313 W · 660 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes25c3,502$876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$875.620936.8%77 W · 132 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes48c3,372$1,624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,623.7357347.6%273 W · 300 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f8a…01cdbacked No55c3,018$1,657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,360.993040%12 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd239…4ac2backed No53c3,000$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4101100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked No52c3,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4403759.5%22 W · 15 L+3.7wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x37e6…794ebacked Yes1c2,999$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.99287.1%2 W · 26 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick12cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed No51c2,942$1,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,438.9519447.9%93 W · 101 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb72…291fbacked No52c2,843$1,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,364.64757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes19c2,825$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.83271.9%23 W · 9 L+6.7wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+57.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No51c2,803$1,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,378.8649751.9%258 W · 239 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes49c2,798$1,383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,382.9135832.7%117 W · 241 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked No50c2,313$1,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,156.545450%27 W · 27 L+7.7wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+36.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Yes7c2,237$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.678318.1%15 W · 68 L-7.1wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-69.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed No52c2,083$1,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0003148.4%15 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cef…fe2dbacked No50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0001100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddf4…2680backed No50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+39.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes48c1,967$939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93936744.4%163 W · 204 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc23e…98a4backed No52c1,924$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes48c1,759$844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$844.4435746.8%167 W · 190 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f0b…027fbacked Yes51c1,750$893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$892.63728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick53cpaid-38.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x64c4…1018backed No50c1,716$854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$862.19771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+32.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No73c1,690$1,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.041,14135.4%404 W · 737 L-15.0wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes50c1,644$830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8305424.1%13 W · 41 L-6.6wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-33.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5652…00c9backed No49c1,591$779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811.242147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes22c1,590$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.0863137.7%238 W · 393 L-27.4wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-24.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes48c1,528$739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$738.59945.5%45 W · 54 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22af…399abacked Yes50c1,486$748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$747.865226.9%14 W · 38 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Yes48c1,449$691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$690.616852.4%88 W · 80 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac4c…2200backed Yes35c1,329$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.5728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Yes21c1,259$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.3910546.7%49 W · 56 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-23.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x67f8…6f42backed Yes8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick42cpaid+55.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x42ef…1576backed No50c1,185$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.53145.2%14 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x611a…c8e9backed Yes8c1,181$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001070%7 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+21.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Yes48c1,121$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5388460.7%51 W · 33 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes14c1,101$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.2546533.8%157 W · 308 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-38.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x32be…6da7backed No53c1,062$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.02580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+47.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes48c1,061$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.1770446.3%326 W · 378 L-21.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No49c1,056$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.642850.2%215 W · 213 L+25.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010825%27 W · 81 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4c9…617dbacked No52c999.93$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.97933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-36.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe6bf…16b9backed Yes51c980.39$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005131.4%16 W · 35 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5daa…d74fbacked Yes50c978.38$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.1930%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes32c882.04$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.5828636.4%104 W · 182 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-22.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x583e…a2a6backed No52c874.26$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.65475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+54.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes48c852.63$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.2639042.3%165 W · 225 L-14.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2bef…f80abacked No49c816.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.332934.5%10 W · 19 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No50c790.9$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.4528747.4%136 W · 151 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55b9…a814backed Yes10c740$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.11450%7 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4b1…d21fbacked No52c673.08$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.082100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+139%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xefe8…dc05backed Yes48c657.6$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.65250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked No49c612.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.245056%28 W · 22 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Yes50c603.57$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.798357.8%48 W · 35 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid+1.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e90…4f65backed Yes48c578.29$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.895754.4%31 W · 26 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fae…b849backed No52c576.92$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.921450%7 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a47…3b21backed No50c551$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.453548.6%17 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed Yes50c537.01$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.849349.5%46 W · 47 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f58…d93abacked Yes10c503.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.353444.1%15 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb29…947abacked No50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2504748.9%23 W · 24 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No51c441$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.6113349.6%66 W · 67 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5b2…ee5bbacked Yes51c435.29$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2222626.9%7 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d0a…1bd3backed Yes49c410$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.9650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes28c405.63$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.7532931.9%105 W · 224 L-26.8wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-44.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed No49c401.84$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.226157.4%35 W · 26 L+6.5wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+43.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Yes50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20029334.5%101 W · 192 L+15.8wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+16.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes40c397.86$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.279935.3%282 W · 517 L-36.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-31.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe1b9…c40bbacked Yes51c383.51$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.59520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-48.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4b6…41b4backed Yes49c378.29$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.36450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc5a…07b6backed Yes8c366.25$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.25per pick32cpaid+55.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x15a0…a523backed Yes51c352.94$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+61%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaaca…f5d5backed Yes49c349$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.012236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-47%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.