MLB · resolved market
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c244746cf70d2bafff4f4625c65a0d3b18b4db04fd217771b4187cbe840f34d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $300,135
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $305,107
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $300,135 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 62c | 158,799$98,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,739.97 | 1,386 | 50.6%702 W · 684 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Over | 38c | 99,454$37,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,949.77 | 237 | 38%90 W · 147 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Over | 39c | 55,756$21,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,995.94 | 481 | 48.6%234 W · 247 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 62c | 30,077$18,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,394.65 | 1,884 | 53%998 W · 886 L | +16.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Under | 61c | 26,869$16,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,479 | 884 | 46.3%409 W · 475 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc8…2f68backed Over | 38c | 22,946$8,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,719.49 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 60c | 15,721$9,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,275.14 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…b04cbacked Over | 37c | 14,850$5,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,494.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 40c | 12,815$5,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,128.1 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 61c | 10,860$6,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,261.91 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Over | 39c | 8,249$3,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,217.19 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 38c | 8,172$3,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,129.25 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 60c | 6,561$3,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,624.25 | 1,586 | 48.5%770 W · 816 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02c5…c13abacked Over | 40c | 5,845$2,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,338 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd5…a179backed Under | 62c | 5,244$3,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,002.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Over | 37c | 4,698$1,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,751.51 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 38c | 4,575$1,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,746.48 | 1,635 | 49.3%806 W · 829 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 38c | 4,487$1,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,711.87 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 60c | 4,439$2,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,768.4 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed Under | 60c | 3,500$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 343 | 53.4%183 W · 160 L | +18.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Over | 38c | 2,805$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.6 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 39c | 2,707$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.11 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 40c | 2,367$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.94 | 2,329 | 49.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L | +41.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…00c9backed Over | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Over | 40c | 1,878$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751 | 356 | 58.1%207 W · 149 L | +26.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Under | 58c | 1,544$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.31 | 2,044 | 39.5%808 W · 1,236 L | -24.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1171…98dcbacked Over | 39c | 1,535$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.65 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Over | 41c | 1,476$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefe8…e0f2backed Over | 38c | 1,355$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 30c | 1,108$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.63 | 1,848 | 49.6%917 W · 931 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeba0…4586backed Over | 11c | 1,009$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 98 | 35.7%35 W · 63 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Over | 39c | 984.5$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.51 | 325 | 52.9%172 W · 153 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Under | 62c | 968.59$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.59 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 38c | 822.18$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.43 | 411 | 41.4%170 W · 241 L | -21.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 61c | 798.38$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.85 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x189c…c9aebacked Under | 60c | 779.06$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.31 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +7.6wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 40c | 730.04$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.02 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Over | 40c | 711.12$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.34 | 575 | 51.7%297 W · 278 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…f409backed Over | 40c | 565.13$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 38c | 527.69$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.17 | 474 | 47.3%224 W · 250 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 1,845 | 50.7%936 W · 909 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 710 | 44.5%316 W · 394 L | -23.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 39c | 490$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.2 | 1,855 | 44%817 W · 1,038 L | -31.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Under | 61c | 483$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.4 | 336 | 49.1%165 W · 171 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 39c | 468$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.52 | 736 | 50.7%373 W · 363 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Under | 60c | 468$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.2 | 333 | 52.3%174 W · 159 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 63c | 445.46$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.35 | 1,797 | 50.4%906 W · 891 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…bf33backed Under | 62c | 385.06$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.32 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb8…7017backed Over | 39c | 384.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd4…de15backed Over | 40c | 369.97$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.98 | 201 | 61.2%123 W · 78 L | +12.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Under | 61c | 336.55$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.05 | 671 | 52.5%352 W · 319 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Under | 61c | 326.22$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.23 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 43c | 315.84$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.81 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Over | 39c | 311.03$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.3 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Under | 57c | 307$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.01 | 820 | 42.6%349 W · 471 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…68b6backed Over | 38c | 260$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.6 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66fe…42c6backed Under | 61c | 222.7$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.85 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17d9…84afbacked Over | 39c | 221$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.19 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4eea…8896backed Over | 40c | 221$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Over | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 134 | 47%63 W · 71 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x235d…450bbacked Over | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3708…b397backed Over | 38c | 198.91$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Under | 60c | 198.08$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.9 | 520 | 45.2%235 W · 285 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…c7a2backed Over | 38c | 184.21$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3618…b2b2backed Over | 44c | 170.45$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 98 | 40.8%40 W · 58 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Over | 38c | 169$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.22 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8a…24c2backed Over | 44c | 150$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Over | 40c | 138.15$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.41 | 2,172 | 39.9%866 W · 1,306 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,212 | 50%606 W · 606 L | +5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Under | 61c | 126.19$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.06 | 274 | 47.8%131 W · 143 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed Over | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Over | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 527 | 52.2%275 W · 252 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…153bbacked Over | 40c | 120.79$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 57c | 110$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.3 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf0…ffe4backed Over | 41c | 90.63$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.16 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Over | 38c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 96 | 35.4%34 W · 62 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 40c | 80$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 785 | 50.2%394 W · 391 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Over | 23c | 79.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.16 | 1,176 | 43.8%515 W · 661 L | -33.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 38c | 76.79$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.18 | 216 | 50.5%109 W · 107 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 37c | 73$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.01 | 999 | 24.6%246 W · 753 L | -70.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x17be…e5b4backed Over | 40c | 65.6$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.24 | 462 | 51.7%239 W · 223 L | +14.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc40…6ae3backed Over | 39c | 64.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…2e36backed Over | 40c | 54.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.17 | 242 | 50%121 W · 121 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2,413 | 49.9%1,205 W · 1,208 L | +22.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 61c | 49.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 838 | 54.7%458 W · 380 L | +29.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…7ce5backed Over | 40c | 48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 123 | 40.7%50 W · 73 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Over | 39c | 45.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 328 | 46.6%153 W · 175 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Over | 39c | 45.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ce…feb1backed Over | 39c | 45.28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.66 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -9.7wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 70c | 41$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 906 | 69.9%633 W · 273 L | +94.6wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x03f8…99d0backed Over | 40c | 36.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 141 | 54.6%77 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad90…1012backed Under | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc221…d938backed Under | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +99.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b6…e0a0backed Over | 39c | 31.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf2…ac54backed Over | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49c5…3de7backed Over | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 390 | 49%191 W · 199 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15a7…5ed1backed Over | 40c | 25.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 247 | 63.6%157 W · 90 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 62c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 551 | 46.8%258 W · 293 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Over | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 881 | 53.7%473 W · 408 L | +40.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5this page
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Detroit TigersTampa Bay Rays won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Detroit Tigers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Detroit Tigers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Detroit Tigers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 4.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 5.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Detroit TigersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.