MLB · resolved market
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe5cf766ee7b3843ebd613c48ca458c64d5f8395ac544d12686de1314890bfd56
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $168,387
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $168,612
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $168,387 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Over | 51c | 134,987$68,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68,740.7 | 481 | 48.6%234 W · 247 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 49c | 29,399$14,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,041.66 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 49c | 20,785$10,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,599.31 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Under | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,200 | 884 | 46.3%409 W · 475 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Under | 49c | 12,631$6,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,441.86 | 323 | 51.7%167 W · 156 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…71bdbacked Under | 49c | 9,576$4,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,883.76 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | +9.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb68…4ef3backed Over | 52c | 8,481$4,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,410.02 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 49c | 8,472$4,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,319.47 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 49c | 5,939$2,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,028.77 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 49c | 5,106$2,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,580.98 | 1,386 | 50.6%702 W · 684 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Over | 52c | 4,738$2,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,463.66 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Under | 50c | 4,500$2,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,235 | 475 | 52%247 W · 228 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Under | 49c | 2,883$1,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470.26 | 795 | 55.6%442 W · 353 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 50c | 2,781$1,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.99 | 1,884 | 53%998 W · 886 L | +16.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 51c | 2,371$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171.66 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Under | 49c | 2,066$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.64 | 792 | 47.5%376 W · 416 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Under | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.81 | 356 | 43.5%155 W · 201 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a3…9e12backed Under | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.81 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Under | 51c | 1,973$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.66 | 736 | 50.7%373 W · 363 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 49c | 1,600$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816 | 647 | 52.4%339 W · 308 L | +28.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 49c | 1,469$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.78 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Under | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612 | 570 | 53.3%304 W · 266 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 49c | 1,158$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.5 | 1,586 | 48.5%770 W · 816 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 53c | 1,048$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.81 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed Under | 48c | 999.98$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.99 | 343 | 53.4%183 W · 160 L | +18.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…5b1dbacked Under | 51c | 964.41$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.71 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 49c | 844.21$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.51 | 1,635 | 49.3%806 W · 829 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 49c | 822$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.22 | 495 | 40.2%199 W · 296 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dae…72febacked Over | 50c | 813.72$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.86 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 51c | 813.65$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.77 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Under | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 878 | 50.5%443 W · 435 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc279…6465backed Under | 49c | 777.31$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.43 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09b5…7e72backed Under | 46c | 740.85$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.06 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 50c | 731.42$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.71 | 1,797 | 50.4%906 W · 891 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Under | 49c | 692.5$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.22 | 325 | 52.9%172 W · 153 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Under | 49c | 635$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.7 | 284 | 52.5%149 W · 135 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3814…17bcbacked Under | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Under | 49c | 594.39$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.14 | 1,737 | 49.1%852 W · 885 L | +7.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d23…251cbacked Under | 49c | 594.39$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.14 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 49c | 509.93$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.41 | 2,329 | 49.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L | +41.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Under | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 291 | 53.6%156 W · 135 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Under | 64c | 481.77$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.83 | 1,848 | 49.6%917 W · 931 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Under | 64c | 458.05$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.67 | 301 | 50.8%153 W · 148 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…e183backed Under | 49c | 444.9$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.9 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 2,588 | 61.5%1,591 W · 997 L | +72.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fca…3487backed Under | 49c | 373.06$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.26 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Under | 51c | 370.47$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.53 | 336 | 49.1%165 W · 171 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Under | 49c | 296.94$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.44 | 410 | 48.3%198 W · 212 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Under | 50c | 270.49$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.69 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3c…35cfbacked Under | 49c | 256$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.56 | 138 | 53.6%74 W · 64 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe66f…0f3ebacked Under | 49c | 237.55$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.15 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 49c | 221.5$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.6 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17d9…84afbacked Over | 51c | 221$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.71 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab8…c5c3backed Under | 45c | 211.78$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.48 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2470…dc4dbacked Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Over | 49c | 203.41$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.01 | 671 | 52.5%352 W · 319 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 134 | 47%63 W · 71 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 1,219 | 53.9%657 W · 562 L | +32.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 1,855 | 44%817 W · 1,038 L | -31.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 162 | 46.3%75 W · 87 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Over | 47c | 184.62$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.77 | 520 | 45.2%235 W · 285 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ae…d117backed Under | 48c | 175$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 148 | 49.3%73 W · 75 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 50c | 164$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.78 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Under | 48c | 155$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.6 | 333 | 52.3%174 W · 159 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Under | 49c | 126.83$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.68 | 575 | 51.7%297 W · 278 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb42…176ebacked Under | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7f…d002backed Under | 49c | 115.8$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.06 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 48c | 115$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.1 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 49c | 110.19$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.2 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e9…7302backed Over | 50c | 110$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…1306backed Under | 49c | 108.16$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.16 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf8…27cfbacked Under | 51c | 107.84$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.84 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Under | 51c | 106$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.94 | 366 | 50.8%186 W · 180 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 53c | 104$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.12 | 4,087 | 57.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L | +66.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 31c | 103.23$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1,194 | 29%346 W · 848 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14a9…0f04backed Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…b8a0backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 106 | 58.5%62 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5519…f7e1backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…68b6backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 40c | 98.45$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.07 | 1,947 | 53.1%1,033 W · 914 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 49c | 92$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 474 | 47.3%224 W · 250 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd6…bf96backed Over | 51c | 91.98$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.59 | 133 | 48.9%65 W · 68 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Under | 75c | 79.63$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.96 | 1,176 | 43.8%515 W · 661 L | -33.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8599…ad67backed Under | 49c | 64$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.64 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e4…d492backed Under | 51c | 63.53$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.13 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Under | 49c | 61.51$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.37 | 313 | 54.6%171 W · 142 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa188…62eabacked Under | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 252 | 48%121 W · 131 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 800 | 52%416 W · 384 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9f…10cabacked Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad90…1012backed Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa96b…7d92backed Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 193 | 41.5%80 W · 113 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 50c | 40.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.83 | 2,995 | 47.9%1,435 W · 1,560 L | +12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Under | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 134 | 53.7%72 W · 62 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 741 | 43.5%322 W · 419 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc221…d938backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +99.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5692…b1b0backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd355…e402backed Under | 50c | 39.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.51 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 49c | 37.96$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.26 | 906 | 69.9%633 W · 273 L | +94.6wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ce…feb1backed Over | 50c | 30.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -9.7wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x472e…f338backed Under | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5this page
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Detroit TigersTampa Bay Rays won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Detroit Tigers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Detroit Tigers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Detroit Tigers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 4.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 5.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Detroit TigersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.