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Europa Conference League · resolved market

FC Red Bull Salzburg vs. Mjällby AIF: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$115,035
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$130,782

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $115,035 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4d30…a42dbacked Over45c41,374$18,698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,697.662850%14 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under63c18,760$11,863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,896.652,73840.2%1,100 W · 1,638 L-1.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under70c11,101$7,773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,327.9518037.8%68 W · 112 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Under55c10,000$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,5002227.3%6 W · 16 L-4.9wins-0.22per pick49cpaid-49.5%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Over46c7,500$3,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,45023736.7%87 W · 150 L-14.8wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under64c6,786$4,342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,444.812845.3%58 W · 70 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over36c6,514$2,352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,352.231,10445.4%501 W · 603 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over45c6,490$2,921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,920.5925141%103 W · 148 L+0.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x821d…cf16backed Under73c4,162$3,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,114.2333442.5%142 W · 192 L-13.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under58c4,077$2,369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,708.323,24742.2%1,370 W · 1,877 L+4.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5652…00c9backed Under54c4,000$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,839.993759.5%22 W · 15 L+4.5wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+26.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under64c3,568$2,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,281.016442.2%27 W · 37 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under62c3,141$1,955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,186.652,79534.8%973 W · 1,822 L-86.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9acc…9f44backed Over45c3,108$1,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,398.42254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+20.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under54c2,704$1,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,243.983327.3%9 W · 24 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-35.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under54c2,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92010655.7%59 W · 47 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over25c1,752$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.111,22245.3%553 W · 669 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Under54c1,568$847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721.287855.1%43 W · 35 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc48c…1548backed Over33c1,530$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.850%0 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x71c0…13b5backed Over42c1,500$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.981136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+63.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Over36c1,159$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.9455953.1%297 W · 262 L+16.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over26c1,158$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.962,43437.3%909 W · 1,525 L-9.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under55c1,112$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.971,29049.1%633 W · 657 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under55c1,043$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.071,20047.4%569 W · 631 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45013057.7%75 W · 55 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under55c932.7$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.3147342.1%199 W · 274 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbe8…1141backed Under58c907.41$526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.116149.2%30 W · 31 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over30c794.27$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.951,89538.7%734 W · 1,161 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Under57c747.51$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.4314561.4%89 W · 56 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Under55c695.45$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.952646.2%12 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c5b…ec01backed Under55c666.07$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.7324149%118 W · 123 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked Under54c666$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.366456.3%36 W · 28 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Under65c634.85$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.364755.3%26 W · 21 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a39…b0b9backed Over45c630.18$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.582934.5%10 W · 19 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under54c600$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2769051.1%46 W · 44 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Under54c533.69$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.59959.6%59 W · 40 L+9.4wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+20.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under56c512$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.2832547.7%155 W · 170 L+12.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+24%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked Over44c457.59$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.342240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Under54c400$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1848955.1%49 W · 40 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under54c400$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18410956.9%62 W · 47 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under54c400$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1848956.2%50 W · 39 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Under54c400$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1845954.2%32 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Under54c400$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1846660.6%40 W · 26 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+17.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under54c400$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1849358.1%54 W · 39 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under54c400$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18415558.1%90 W · 65 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x383f…5631backed Over43c400$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1722931%9 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick35cpaid+2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over31c394$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.383845%377 W · 461 L+14.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f41…260ebacked Under54c369$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.742850%14 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2396…9485backed Over45c324.51$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.033441.2%14 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d78…a4ccbacked Under58c300$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1261450%7 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over13c288.34$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6841645.9%191 W · 225 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ddd…8011backed Over46c238.33$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.63742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a03…92d3backed Under65c215.26$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.344944.9%22 W · 27 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d93…fdefbacked Over32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648944.9%40 W · 49 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed Under55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906336.5%23 W · 40 L-6.8wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-24.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x085d…c89ebacked Under55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Under54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$928955.1%49 W · 40 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927758.4%45 W · 32 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcb8…067cbacked Under54c199.99$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925060%30 W · 20 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+8.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Under63c189.3$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.4522237.8%84 W · 138 L-14.1wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-25.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked Under54c156$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.765360.4%32 W · 21 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x125a…df71backed Over32c134.38$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-27.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over30c121$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.9753747.9%257 W · 280 L-1.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Over46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5029337.5%110 W · 183 L-1.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Under54c102$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.926361.9%39 W · 24 L+5.8wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+17.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0270…5a30backed Under54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+93.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Over33c86.65$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.420646.1%95 W · 111 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under55c80$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3689153.4%476 W · 415 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Under54c80$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.810158.4%59 W · 42 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Under55c80$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3642957.1%245 W · 184 L+16.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Over43c75$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2547036%169 W · 301 L-19.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Under54c64$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.446558.5%38 W · 27 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over34c60$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.240844.4%181 W · 227 L-11.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x403c…7f06backed Under56c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.46454.7%35 W · 29 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f38…13c8backed Under57c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.61369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+23.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b18…dd26backed Under54c59.44$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.348149.4%40 W · 41 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over43c59$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4241442.3%175 W · 239 L-1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over45c57.71$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.731,21936.3%442 W · 777 L-18.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Under57c53.86$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.427737.9%105 W · 172 L-17.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0dff…bb1ebacked Under58c52.28$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.962948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed Over45c51.92$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3611440.4%46 W · 68 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Over32c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1612239.3%48 W · 74 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-27%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x360a…1098backed Under54c43$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.781741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-32.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under56c41.51$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.091,79354.8%983 W · 810 L+11.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd4b…d965backed Under55c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under54c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.48154.3%44 W · 37 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed Under55c39$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5541343.3%179 W · 234 L-12.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3d0…2fefbacked Under67c37.31$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.312657.7%15 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6515…b867backed Under55c34$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under54c32.7$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0477248.8%377 W · 395 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Under63c30.64$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3954353.8%292 W · 251 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4eef…5275backed Over33c30.36$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.025664.3%36 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick61cpaid-4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7eb…da58backed Under55c29.99$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+26.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x657c…66a3backed Under54c28$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.881747.1%8 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-26.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7809…6600backed Over39c28$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.831428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe668…7a6bbacked Under58c26$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.921145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Under54c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.26259.7%37 W · 25 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Under54c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.27959.5%47 W · 32 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad22…1e9fbacked Under55c19.98$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.991553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e6f…15f8backed Under58c18$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.56250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.