Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: FC København (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x31af22cce854196bf97b7deffe409405a7f585610c4f679336fee4a68e704862
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FC Inter Turkuof FC København, FC Inter Turku
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,926
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,781
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,926 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed FC Inter Turku | 78c | 5,573$4,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,202.81 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed FC København | 21c | 3,723$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.97 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed FC Inter Turku | 76c | 2,429$1,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.17 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x298b…f406backed FC København | 36c | 1,639$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked FC Inter Turku | 73c | 1,583$1,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.88 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed FC København | 11c | 842.48$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.41 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked FC København | 33c | 568.74$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.43 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed FC København | 32c | 508.92$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.85 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…00c9backed FC København | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked FC København | 11c | 462$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.57 | 149 | 31.5%47 W · 102 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked FC Inter Turku | 64c | 434.22$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.33 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed FC København | 33c | 374$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.42 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed FC København | 33c | 179$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.07 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed FC København | 26c | 155.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.1 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked FC København | 32c | 122.48$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.19 | 370 | 46.5%172 W · 198 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9deb…536fbacked FC København | 32c | 109.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked FC København | 42c | 90.22$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.89 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed FC København | 37c | 76.2$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.94 | 189 | 40.2%76 W · 113 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfecc…7551backed FC København | 41c | 72.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked FC København | 34c | 72.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.95 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed FC Inter Turku | 67c | 63.41$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed FC Inter Turku | 58c | 58.25$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…1aa7backed FC Inter Turku | 65c | 58.22$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.38 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed FC Inter Turku | 78c | 52.33$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.51 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed FC Inter Turku | 61c | 43$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.77 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed FC Inter Turku | 61c | 43$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.77 | 393 | 57.5%226 W · 167 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47fc…973cbacked FC København | 36c | 39.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.33per pick | 55cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed FC København | 32c | 37.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…cee8backed FC Inter Turku | 60c | 31.1$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.44 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed FC Inter Turku | 64c | 27.78$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 239 | 51.5%123 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed FC København | 40c | 27.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 254 | 40.6%103 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked FC Inter Turku | 59c | 24.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.19 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed FC Inter Turku | 58c | 24.28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab95…6c79backed FC Inter Turku | 67c | 22.66$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed FC Inter Turku | 79c | 20.35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.21 | 72 | 68.1%49 W · 23 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed FC Inter Turku | 69c | 18.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee9c…c449backed FC Inter Turku | 69c | 17.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +5.4wins | +0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: FC København (-1.5)this page
- FC Inter Turku vs. FC København: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- FC Inter Turku vs. FC København: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Inter Turku vs. FC København: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Inter Turku vs. FC København: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Inter Turku vs. FC København: FC Inter Turku O/U 0.5Under won
- FC Inter Turku vs. FC København: FC København O/U 0.5Under won
- FC Inter Turku vs. FC København: FC København O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Inter Turku vs. FC København: FC København O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Inter Turku vs. FC København: O/U 0.5Under won
- FC Inter Turku vs. FC København: O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Inter Turku vs. FC København: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Inter Turku vs. FC København: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Inter Turku vs. FC København: O/U 4.5Under won
- FC Inter Turku vs. FC København: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FC Inter Turku (-1.5)FC København won
- Spread: FC København (-2.5)FC Inter Turku won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.