Europa Conference League · resolved market
FC Inter Turku vs. FC København: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68b61fd8c4f55c9958fc523aa07d3b24ef98a28116fd12865cf69594d1443c6b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,014
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,114
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,014 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 14c | 3,146$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.48 | 1,611 | 38.8%625 W · 986 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 71c | 2,339$1,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.73 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Over | 11c | 1,493$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.76 | 149 | 31.5%47 W · 102 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd2…7f85backed Under | 72c | 1,380$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.26 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Over | 30c | 1,300$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 95 | 38.9%37 W · 58 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 79c | 758.98$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.67 | 2,175 | 37.6%817 W · 1,358 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Over | 39c | 510$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.9 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Under | 62c | 499.98$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.99 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f28…ff9abacked Over | 38c | 377.93$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 27c | 329$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.92 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ab…0dc8backed Over | 35c | 284.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb3…f890backed Under | 72c | 224.1$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.48 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 38c | 207.95$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.02 | 658 | 35.6%234 W · 424 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a34…a28bbacked Under | 73c | 141.83$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.95 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd629…1e72backed Over | 24c | 119.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9deb…536fbacked Over | 35c | 110$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 62c | 95.06$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.12 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 34c | 83$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.22 | 275 | 39.6%109 W · 166 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Over | 33c | 72.37$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 29c | 66.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 1,037 | 46.1%478 W · 559 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 63c | 59.31$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.74 | 387 | 44.4%172 W · 215 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed Under | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 42 | 78.6%33 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 75cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Under | 63c | 39.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 182 | 52.7%96 W · 86 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee9c…c449backed Under | 70c | 38.97$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +5.4wins | +0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 71c | 28.97$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 294 | 70.1%206 W · 88 L | +21.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 65c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 62c | 25.05$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab95…6c79backed Under | 68c | 22.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.08 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Under | 60c | 17.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 390 | 52.6%205 W · 185 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd97…ae50backed Under | 69c | 17.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 72c | 17.01$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 73c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.38 | 134 | 67.9%91 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Inter Turku vs. FC København: O/U 3.5this page
- FC Inter Turku vs. FC København: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- FC Inter Turku vs. FC København: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Inter Turku vs. FC København: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Inter Turku vs. FC København: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Inter Turku vs. FC København: FC Inter Turku O/U 0.5Under won
- FC Inter Turku vs. FC København: FC København O/U 0.5Under won
- FC Inter Turku vs. FC København: FC København O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Inter Turku vs. FC København: FC København O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Inter Turku vs. FC København: O/U 0.5Under won
- FC Inter Turku vs. FC København: O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Inter Turku vs. FC København: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Inter Turku vs. FC København: O/U 4.5Under won
- FC Inter Turku vs. FC København: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FC Inter Turku (-1.5)FC København won
- Spread: FC København (-1.5)FC Inter Turku won
- Spread: FC København (-2.5)FC Inter Turku won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.