Europa Conference League · resolved market
FC Inter Turku vs. FC København: 1st Half O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb6b3a05f32115a76790df4f54e22e32969d036d1ff09a9aaf97b8da1f4a01da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,426
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,711
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,426 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x308b…b223backed Over | 41c | 485.71$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 70c | 332.61$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.53 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 60c | 221.99$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.44 | 239 | 51.5%123 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 40c | 218$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.71 | 270 | 39.3%106 W · 164 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 59c | 148.24$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.78 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 59c | 147$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.27 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 31c | 126$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.27 | 278 | 46.4%129 W · 149 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 58c | 115.71$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.3 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 68c | 106.66$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.22 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 41c | 88.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.27 | 239 | 50.2%120 W · 119 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 41c | 83$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.73 | 334 | 46.7%156 W · 178 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd170…a9d9backed Over | 32c | 80$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 20c | 70$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 146 | 41.1%60 W · 86 L | -14.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 42c | 69.66$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 40c | 62.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Over | 33c | 36.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee0…64b1backed Over | 38c | 31.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 57c | 27.35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Under | 58c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Inter Turku vs. FC København: 1st Half O/U 1.5this page
- FC Inter Turku vs. FC København: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- FC Inter Turku vs. FC København: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Inter Turku vs. FC København: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Inter Turku vs. FC København: FC Inter Turku O/U 0.5Under won
- FC Inter Turku vs. FC København: FC København O/U 0.5Under won
- FC Inter Turku vs. FC København: FC København O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Inter Turku vs. FC København: FC København O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Inter Turku vs. FC København: O/U 0.5Under won
- FC Inter Turku vs. FC København: O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Inter Turku vs. FC København: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Inter Turku vs. FC København: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Inter Turku vs. FC København: O/U 4.5Under won
- FC Inter Turku vs. FC København: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FC Inter Turku (-1.5)FC København won
- Spread: FC København (-1.5)FC Inter Turku won
- Spread: FC København (-2.5)FC Inter Turku won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.