Asian League · resolved market
Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC win on 2026-08-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ac0415ea9ad08d544b47320be972a2742845de3e53c308c372636876c390d0f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $278,235
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $218,134
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $278,235 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x122b…ac59backed Yes | 29c | 48,882$14,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,217.73 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +7.2wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 71c | 40,657$28,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,786.36 | 1,804 | 36.6%660 W · 1,144 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Yes | 27c | 37,464$10,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,195.82 | 215 | 42.3%91 W · 124 L | +10.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Yes | 21c | 30,969$6,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,535.19 | 140 | 41.4%58 W · 82 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b62…5cc8backed No | 70c | 25,000$17,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,416.21 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 73c | 12,498$9,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,398.88 | 986 | 35.1%346 W · 640 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 24c | 11,101$2,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,676.97 | 2,620 | 42%1,101 W · 1,519 L | +51.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe23c…5ae7backed Yes | 27c | 9,887$2,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,669.6 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad31…c93abacked Yes | 25c | 5,775$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460.07 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +8.1wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +101.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 30c | 5,400$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620 | 1,882 | 50%941 W · 941 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…00c9backed Yes | 29c | 5,000$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 18c | 4,672$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.7 | 2,612 | 37.8%988 W · 1,624 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 18c | 4,278$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.35 | 2,650 | 40.2%1,065 W · 1,585 L | -17.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 79c | 4,245$3,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.92 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 25c | 3,821$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.19 | 302 | 36.1%109 W · 193 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 29c | 3,795$1,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,113.14 | 358 | 33%118 W · 240 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 2c | 3,436$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.26 | 256 | 23.8%61 W · 195 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…b511backed Yes | 16c | 2,988$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed No | 70c | 2,529$1,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.51 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 28c | 2,494$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.03 | 993 | 44.4%441 W · 552 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked Yes | 27c | 1,977$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.79 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9618…77e6backed Yes | 27c | 1,854$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.16 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed Yes | 28c | 1,833$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.75 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +7.5wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 29c | 1,830$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.58 | 1,278 | 50.2%642 W · 636 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24e…1be8backed Yes | 27c | 1,505$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.98 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed No | 73c | 1,295$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.99 | 219 | 39.7%87 W · 132 L | -14.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed No | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 29c | 1,200$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 230 | 43%99 W · 131 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a00…59e2backed No | 71c | 996.52$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 41c | 931.41$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.48 | 497 | 67.4%335 W · 162 L | +67.5wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 30c | 897.49$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.75 | 1,196 | 46.2%553 W · 643 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe419…8aedbacked Yes | 20c | 878.73$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.7 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a4a…3da9backed No | 71c | 743.98$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78e1…7337backed Yes | 29c | 689.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b9…775dbacked Yes | 29c | 670.34$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.4 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 20c | 633$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.83 | 858 | 47.8%410 W · 448 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc800…4117backed No | 73c | 633$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.24 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +142.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaae5…7974backed Yes | 17c | 590.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.37 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1031…2febbacked No | 71c | 563.38$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.38 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 76c | 561.5$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.48 | 185 | 44.9%83 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Yes | 26c | 497.92$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.03 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 71c | 428$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.12 | 146 | 51.4%75 W · 71 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Yes | 35c | 403.05$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.72 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -6.1wins | -0.17per pick | 36cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed Yes | 29c | 371.18$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.09 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 74c | 369.33$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.46 | 265 | 48.7%129 W · 136 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 30c | 353.04$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.16 | 436 | 50.5%220 W · 216 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 23c | 351.81$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.58 | 798 | 42.4%338 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb069…9568backed No | 68c | 342.44$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.58 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 30c | 311.55$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.47 | 427 | 50.4%215 W · 212 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5891…4912backed No | 70c | 256.81$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 75cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 22c | 251.01$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.22 | 1,084 | 41.5%450 W · 634 L | -39.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Yes | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed No | 73c | 196.4$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.03 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 69c | 181$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.84 | 641 | 42.7%274 W · 367 L | -31.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 31c | 180$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 207 | 41.1%85 W · 122 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 32c | 178.93$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.56 | 245 | 59.6%146 W · 99 L | +17.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Yes | 30c | 173.42$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.76 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb66a…b156backed Yes | 21c | 172.46$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.42 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 73c | 171$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.19 | 496 | 52.8%262 W · 234 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 31c | 170.97$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.33 | 2,076 | 54.2%1,126 W · 950 L | +34.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6728…a070backed No | 71c | 168.58$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.58 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…c62bbacked Yes | 19c | 165.89$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 16c | 162.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 87 | 9.2%8 W · 79 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d29…65e7backed Yes | 31c | 160$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.93 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +7.0wins | +0.25per pick | 32cpaid | +82.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2f…2586backed No | 70c | 159.14$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 22c | 145.45$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.45 | 311 | 24.8%77 W · 234 L | -14.9wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 75c | 145$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.82 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 29c | 138$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.02 | 475 | 55.4%263 W · 212 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Yes | 20c | 130$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Yes | 8c | 129.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 169 | 52.7%89 W · 80 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da6…9ac4backed Yes | 29c | 128.7$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddfc…cd9ebacked No | 70c | 127.8$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.34 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 54c | 124.44$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.24 | 281 | 48.8%137 W · 144 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02b9…60c6backed Yes | 31c | 121.15$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.35 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Yes | 30c | 119.98$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.97 | 176 | 58.5%103 W · 73 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Yes | 25c | 116$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes | 32c | 109.38$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 187 | 29.4%55 W · 132 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Yes | 29c | 106.15$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.78 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Yes | 30c | 105.17$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.03 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41ef…34cabacked No | 70c | 102.57$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8af5…4bbabacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5577…53d2backed No | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad6…eab6backed Yes | 22c | 99.71$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.48 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c8e…cebfbacked Yes | 29c | 98.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.53 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed No | 71c | 98.38$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.53 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ab…144bbacked Yes | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Yes | 26c | 78.13$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.61 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x732d…8b00backed No | 71c | 74.2$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 22c | 72.83$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 586 | 45.4%266 W · 320 L | -23.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked No | 63c | 72.11$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.53 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8974…fc7cbacked No | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed No | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked No | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd82…6a10backed No | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa29…9ce5backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 29c | 64.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 590 | 46.6%275 W · 315 L | -20.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 20c | 61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 841 | 53.6%451 W · 390 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd75a…d264backed No | 76c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed No | 71c | 56.01$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC win on 2026-08-28?this page
- Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-08-28?Yes won
- Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.