TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Atlanta Braves vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$167,551
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$167,061

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $167,551 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5e94…5ba1backed Over53c146,418$77,688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68,730.1546949%230 W · 239 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under48c20,115$9,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,6554,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under45c20,000$9,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,00085645.3%388 W · 468 L+18.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+36.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under48c18,559$8,821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,820.611,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Under46c16,069$7,419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,418.963,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe075…f2ddbacked Under47c15,815$7,433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,433.0530%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x78b0…9f1abacked Over55c9,091$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,090.9139047.4%185 W · 205 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8efa…894cbacked Under46c8,022$3,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,730.145445.2%205 W · 249 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under47c7,927$3,726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,725.691,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked Under48c6,000$2,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,87016753.9%90 W · 77 L+10.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under46c4,932$2,257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,256.68,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Under48c4,097$1,967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,966.5977647.4%368 W · 408 L+1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x746e…68cabacked Under46c3,500$1,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6102445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Under49c3,000$1,455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,45545252.4%237 W · 215 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under47c2,781$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,320.3310,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under47c2,500$1,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1751,29250.2%648 W · 644 L+18.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed Under47c2,000$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94012939.5%51 W · 78 L-11.1wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Under47c2,000$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94044451.1%227 W · 217 L+1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5652…00c9backed Under49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.981833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-30%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under46c1,976$917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$917.036,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x138b…0467backed Under4c1,658$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.3220%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under47c1,611$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$765.185,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under58c1,574$919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$918.962,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over51c1,563$797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$765.714,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed Under46c1,500$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6909642.7%41 W · 55 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under47c1,365$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.61,55548.9%761 W · 794 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2de2…11a9backed Under45c1,111$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcba5…cd88backed Under45c1,111$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.9566050.2%331 W · 329 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under48c1,060$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.48,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under45c1,024$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.82,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1262…056fbacked Under46c856$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.7627448.2%132 W · 142 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb68…4ef3backed Over51c836.94$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.15543.6%24 W · 31 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bbb…4a56backed Under48c826.08$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.15846.6%27 W · 31 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc279…6465backed Under50c766.04$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.024250%21 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under47c745$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.151,52148.6%739 W · 782 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c5b…ec01backed Under47c688.23$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.4722050.5%111 W · 109 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under49c663.13$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.224,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under48c499.99$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.161,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04a…7cffbacked Under34c499.99$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1702030%6 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-38.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Under46c416.63$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.6570744.7%316 W · 391 L-22.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4dd2…14c2backed Over51c400$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1966246.8%29 W · 33 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf92a…80a7backed Over52c335.58$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.415666.1%37 W · 19 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+36.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under45c300$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1351,20653.7%648 W · 558 L+29.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over52c291$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.61,85153.1%982 W · 869 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Under48c289.46$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.3765549.3%323 W · 332 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over55c250$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.51,29151%658 W · 633 L-15.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9fe…db0dbacked Under48c242.33$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.1658352.1%304 W · 279 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under47c241.48$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.52050%10 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Under32c237.49$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761,87940.6%763 W · 1,116 L-39.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Under48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9678854.6%430 W · 358 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Over50c186.78$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.391,77749.5%880 W · 897 L+25.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeef6…cd4cbacked Under48c168$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.6455653.4%297 W · 259 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under47c144$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.6848339.8%192 W · 291 L+2.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under48c142.25$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.282,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under47c142$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.7441346.7%193 W · 220 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Under47c138$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.8654642.5%232 W · 314 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddfc…cd9ebacked Over51c128.47$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.9516250.6%82 W · 80 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over51c127$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.952,29152.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L+24.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49c5…3de7backed Under47c124.99$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.3434149.3%168 W · 173 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over28c120.7$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.2512,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ed1…fd2abacked Under47c119.87$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.348245.1%37 W · 45 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-7.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under48c114.57$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.993,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3003…30f5backed Under47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506261.3%38 W · 24 L+8.1wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+26.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under47c100.64$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.340341.4%167 W · 236 L-20.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4799447.3%470 W · 524 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f41…260ebacked Under46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466741.8%28 W · 39 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9a9…68b6backed Under47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474746.8%22 W · 25 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87f7…8f45backed Under46c99$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.6546444.4%206 W · 258 L-18.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x58ad…be98backed Over54c97.22$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.721752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under46c83.51$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.792,94547.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L+3.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe947…ee6abacked Under27c69.57$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe90f…a908backed Under47c66.38$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.29755.7%54 W · 43 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb428…74c8backed Under49c61.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3044245.5%201 W · 241 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4108…a80dbacked Under47c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.22147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b04…403fbacked Under47c55.04$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.876048.3%29 W · 31 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under48c54.56$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.981,72550.1%864 W · 861 L-4.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba5e…153bbacked Under46c51.84$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2411550.4%58 W · 57 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6016…1ab5backed Over51c50.97$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.985851.7%30 W · 28 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.51,80453.8%970 W · 834 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Under47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.548751.5%251 W · 236 L+1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x089c…33dabacked Under47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.56852.9%36 W · 32 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a81…9070backed Under46c49$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5427252.9%144 W · 128 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under44c45.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.911,91253%1,014 W · 898 L+42.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Under48c43.52$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.921,05644.3%468 W · 588 L-25.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x88fb…db3abacked Over52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4673243.4%318 W · 414 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed Under47c38.28$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.991,24556.9%708 W · 537 L+31.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c58…e330backed Over65c35$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.388053.8%473 W · 407 L+41.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbbdf…b8a0backed Over54c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.89259.8%55 W · 37 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee60…6902backed Under35c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.52147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcbb…07d9backed Under58c26.52$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3825355.7%141 W · 112 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29b3…966bbacked Under50c26.16$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.081250%6 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over77c25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.758,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9a1…13d6backed Under42c24.76$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.51450%7 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Under47c23.97$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2721547%101 W · 114 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd934…ab75backed Under68c15.92$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.783641.7%15 W · 21 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.