TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe947…ee6a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
48
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Tennis, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 56 out of 100; worst CS2 at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-35.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.09
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.05
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.87
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.7
LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Groupbacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+108.8%+$16.33
LoL: UP2UMEDIA Cebulaki vs devils.one (BO3) - Rift Legends Regular Seasonbacked UP2UMEDIA Cebulaki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Team WE vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+178.7%+$95
Game Handicap: WE (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)backed Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$31.7
All 11 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+134.6%+$26.93
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Athletics vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.55
Atlanta Braves vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$22.17
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+123.5%+$22.22
Atlanta Braves vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago White Sox vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.9
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Detroit Tigers vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$27.65
All 8 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-59.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FURIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.85
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.18
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.91
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.36
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs ex-Sashi Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsbacked Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: Alter Ego vs FlyQuest (BO3) - Asia Championships Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
All 8 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick38cpaid+75.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+69.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Toledo Rockets (-1.5)backed Toledo Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.13
Idaho Vandals vs. Montana Grizzliesbacked Idaho Vandals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$38.69
San Jose State Spartans vs. Boise State Broncosbacked San Jose State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+72.7%+$45.92
All 3 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-50.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Celtics vs. Thunderbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Timberwolves vs. Clippersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+49.3%+$4.95
All 3 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-08-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$15.32
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-08-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.36
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorantlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: DRX vs Sharper Esport (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-Inbacked Sharper Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.9
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.