CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Alter Ego vs FlyQuest (BO3) - Asia Championships Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc380c20925aca74227bb94b25ffbce100cc52bedef29a6d3e6ad1765e0b47ac9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alter Egoof Alter Ego, FlyQuest
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,663
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,663 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa02b…70d6backed FlyQuest | 49c | 1,209$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.92 | 178 | 57.3%102 W · 76 L | +27.9wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +47%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Alter Ego | 24c | 1,140$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.33 | 376 | 46.3%174 W · 202 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca82…fcfebacked FlyQuest | 79c | 901.98$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.79 | 149 | 71.8%107 W · 42 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Alter Ego | 21c | 824.55$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.39 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab80…ffc0backed FlyQuest | 75c | 701.44$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.76 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed FlyQuest | 50c | 611.41$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.69 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x169d…398dbacked Alter Ego | 49c | 542.8$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab5…ff12backed FlyQuest | 62c | 484.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed FlyQuest | 75c | 400$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 392 | 45.9%180 W · 212 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78bc…5616backed Alter Ego | 47c | 352.73$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.07 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e25…3aecbacked Alter Ego | 49c | 348.98$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.98 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked FlyQuest | 76c | 327.74$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.08 | 148 | 39.2%58 W · 90 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4de…0da4backed Alter Ego | 68c | 294.39$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.39 | 339 | 60.8%206 W · 133 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd705…fb7cbacked FlyQuest | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 325 | 36%117 W · 208 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Alter Ego | 16c | 278.49$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.8 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked Alter Ego | 22c | 255.5$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.04 | 345 | 42.3%146 W · 199 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0e…8763backed Alter Ego | 28c | 255.18$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.05 | 225 | 51.1%115 W · 110 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Alter Ego | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…a8e5backed Alter Ego | 45c | 245.92$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.37 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked FlyQuest | 51c | 204.28$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.84 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f4…59eabacked Alter Ego | 5c | 200$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 104 | 28.8%30 W · 74 L | +12.1wins | +0.12per pick | 17cpaid | +99.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xae35…5dd3backed FlyQuest | 55c | 199.98$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.99 | 239 | 40.2%96 W · 143 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4010…77d4backed FlyQuest | 53c | 187.73$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.62 | 230 | 57%131 W · 99 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Alter Ego | 44c | 180$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.5 | 372 | 32.5%121 W · 251 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Alter Ego | 26c | 150$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…ee6abacked FlyQuest | 70c | 140.94$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…8ee7backed FlyQuest | 32c | 137.69$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.63 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…d22bbacked FlyQuest | 74c | 134.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79f6…ac00backed Alter Ego | 43c | 123$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3462…94aabacked Alter Ego | 43c | 122$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 59cpaid | +83.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85e1…c8c3backed Alter Ego | 43c | 122$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x716d…ea9ebacked Alter Ego | 43c | 104$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x820b…d27abacked FlyQuest | 52c | 103.83$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.03 | 260 | 46.2%120 W · 140 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…3d4cbacked FlyQuest | 56c | 96.24$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.89 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb673…1412backed FlyQuest | 57c | 96$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51a0…8d6dbacked FlyQuest | 57c | 92$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74c9…c852backed FlyQuest | 57c | 92$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7b…655ebacked FlyQuest | 57c | 91$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b63…775bbacked FlyQuest | 57c | 87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked FlyQuest | 60c | 82.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.72 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Alter Ego | 37c | 80.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.15 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Alter Ego | 22c | 79.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Alter Ego | 14c | 78.79$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.76 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b17…cb13backed Alter Ego | 33c | 69.35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.75 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe00d…4251backed Alter Ego | 73c | 64.1$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3de…fe0ebacked Alter Ego | 44c | 60.45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.96 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80e5…5228backed Alter Ego | 41c | 58.76$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.67 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5f…3492backed FlyQuest | 61c | 57.38$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Alter Ego | 52c | 46.52$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 719 | 51%367 W · 352 L | +28.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe93f…6769backed Alter Ego | 58c | 46.26$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.43 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Alter Ego | 38c | 46.07$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.39 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…b34bbacked FlyQuest | 72c | 44.44$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94fe…1c44backed Alter Ego | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2c…3ec7backed FlyQuest | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5de…88dabacked FlyQuest | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x287c…81b2backed Alter Ego | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d9…a661backed FlyQuest | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 73cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70d4…e3b3backed FlyQuest | 54c | 25.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…20fabacked Alter Ego | 76c | 19.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b1…63ecbacked FlyQuest | 60c | 17.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 216 | 23.6%51 W · 165 L | -27.4wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x29f0…cdedbacked FlyQuest | 78c | 16.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.